AHCO

AdaptHealth Corp.

38
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

AHCO offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has the edge over AHCO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

AHCO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Under pressure
Under pressure

AHCO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AHCO PE Valuation

AHCO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

AHCO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Turning to a loss
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AHCO's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

OSCR has the edge over AHCO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

AHCO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+72%$13.54
Downside-42%$4.54

Calculated from the latest close: $7.87 on Nov 12.

AHCO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OSCR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR trails AHCO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AHCO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.31Q1 2024: $-5.27Q2 2024: $-5.23Q3 2024: $-1.65Q4 2024: $0.61Q1 2025: $0.58Q2 2025: $0.55Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $-0.52Q1 2026: $-0.59Q2 2026: $-1.68Q3 2026: $-2.97
Q4 2023: $-5.31Q1 2024: $-5.27Q2 2024: $-5.23Q3 2024: $-1.65Q4 2024: $0.61Q1 2025: $0.58Q2 2025: $0.55Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $-0.52Q1 2026: $-0.59Q2 2026: $-1.68Q3 2026: $-2.97
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.97-630%
Q2 2026-$1.68-405%
Q1 2026-$0.59-202%
Q4 2025-$0.52-185%
Q3 2025$0.56+$2.21
Q2 2025$0.55+$5.78
Q1 2025$0.58+$5.85
Q4 2024$0.61+$5.92

AHCO has swung to a loss: it lost $2.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has the edge over AHCO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AHCO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $858MQ1 2024: $792MQ2 2024: $806MQ3 2024: $806MQ4 2024: $857MQ1 2025: $778MQ2 2025: $800MQ3 2025: $820MQ4 2025: $846MQ1 2026: $820MQ2 2026: $740MQ3 2026: $746M
Q4 2023: $858MQ1 2024: $792MQ2 2024: $806MQ3 2024: $806MQ4 2024: $857MQ1 2025: $778MQ2 2025: $800MQ3 2025: $820MQ4 2025: $846MQ1 2026: $820MQ2 2026: $740MQ3 2026: $746M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$745.6M-9.1%
Q2 2026$740.3M-7.5%
Q1 2026$819.8M+5.4%
Q4 2025$846.3M-1.2%
Q3 2025$820.3M+1.8%
Q2 2025$800.4M-0.7%
Q1 2025$777.9M-1.8%
Q4 2024$856.6M-0.2%

AHCO's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $746M last quarter, down 9.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over AHCO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AHCO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $67MQ1 2024: −$39MQ2 2024: $117MQ3 2024: $85MQ4 2024: $73MQ1 2025: −$58,000Q2 2025: $73MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $79MQ1 2026: −$27MQ2 2026: −$21MQ3 2026: $51M
Q4 2023: $67MQ1 2024: −$39MQ2 2024: $117MQ3 2024: $85MQ4 2024: $73MQ1 2025: −$58,000Q2 2025: $73MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $79MQ1 2026: −$27MQ2 2026: −$21MQ3 2026: $51M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$51.1M-24%
Q2 2026-$20.9M-129%
Q1 2026-$27.5M-$27.4M
Q4 2025$79.3M+8.5%
Q3 2025$66.8M-21%
Q2 2025$73.3M-37%
Q1 2025-$58K+$38.8M
Q4 2024$73.1M+9.7%

AHCO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $82M over the past year.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR has the edge over AHCO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AHCO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 134MQ1 2024: 133MQ2 2024: 136MQ3 2024: 137MQ4 2024: 136MQ1 2025: 135MQ2 2025: 137MQ3 2025: 137MQ4 2025: 135MQ1 2026: 136MQ2 2026: 136MQ3 2026: 136M
Q4 2023: 134MQ1 2024: 133MQ2 2024: 136MQ3 2024: 137MQ4 2024: 136MQ1 2025: 135MQ2 2025: 137MQ3 2025: 137MQ4 2025: 135MQ1 2026: 136MQ2 2026: 136MQ3 2026: 136M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+276K shares
1 year-0.6%-815K shares
3 years+1%+1.4M shares
5 years-2.8%-3.9M shares
Available history+225%+94.4M shares

AHCO has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

AHCO Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 6.1xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 2.8xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 3.8x
Q3 2024: 6.1xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 2.8xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 3.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20263.8xElevated
Q4 20253.5xElevated
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20252.8xModerate
Q1 20253.2xElevated
Q4 20243.0xModerate
Q3 20246.1xHigh
Q3 202354.3xHigh

AHCO's net debt is about 3.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.2 years a year ago.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has more cash than debt.

AHCO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.5Neutral
Stochastic47.7Neutral

AHCO's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 48 (neutral).

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

AHCO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricAHCOSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

AHCO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR is trading at 13x earnings, a 50% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

AHCO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.2925% above
20 week MA$7.258.6% above
50 week MA$9.2615% below
100 week MA$9.3115% below
200 week MA$10.122% below

AHCO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 22% below its 200-week average.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR has the edge over AHCO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AHCO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.7$37.9+256%
2021$37.9$23.7-37%
2022$23.7$19.1-19%
2023$19.1$7.29-62%
2024$7.29$9.53+31%
2025$9.53$10.3+7.6%
2026 YTD$10.3$7.87-23%

AHCO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +256% in 2020 to −62% in 2023. It's down 23% so far in 2026.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over AHCO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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