AHCO

AdaptHealth Corp.

38
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

AHCO trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over AHCO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

AHCO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Under pressure
Under pressure

AHCO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AHCO PE Valuation

AHCO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

AHCO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Turning to a loss
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AHCO's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over AHCO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

AHCO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+72%$13.54
Downside-42%$4.54

Calculated from the latest close: $7.87 on Nov 12.

AHCO trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AHCO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AHCO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.31Q1 2024: $-5.27Q2 2024: $-5.23Q3 2024: $-1.65Q4 2024: $0.61Q1 2025: $0.58Q2 2025: $0.55Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $-0.52Q1 2026: $-0.59Q2 2026: $-1.68Q3 2026: $-2.97
Q4 2023: $-5.31Q1 2024: $-5.27Q2 2024: $-5.23Q3 2024: $-1.65Q4 2024: $0.61Q1 2025: $0.58Q2 2025: $0.55Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $-0.52Q1 2026: $-0.59Q2 2026: $-1.68Q3 2026: $-2.97
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.97-630%
Q2 2026-$1.68-405%
Q1 2026-$0.59-202%
Q4 2025-$0.52-185%
Q3 2025$0.56+$2.21
Q2 2025$0.55+$5.78
Q1 2025$0.58+$5.85
Q4 2024$0.61+$5.92

AHCO has swung to a loss: it lost $2.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over AHCO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AHCO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $858MQ1 2024: $792MQ2 2024: $806MQ3 2024: $806MQ4 2024: $857MQ1 2025: $778MQ2 2025: $800MQ3 2025: $820MQ4 2025: $846MQ1 2026: $820MQ2 2026: $740MQ3 2026: $746M
Q4 2023: $858MQ1 2024: $792MQ2 2024: $806MQ3 2024: $806MQ4 2024: $857MQ1 2025: $778MQ2 2025: $800MQ3 2025: $820MQ4 2025: $846MQ1 2026: $820MQ2 2026: $740MQ3 2026: $746M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$745.6M-9.1%
Q2 2026$740.3M-7.5%
Q1 2026$819.8M+5.4%
Q4 2025$846.3M-1.2%
Q3 2025$820.3M+1.8%
Q2 2025$800.4M-0.7%
Q1 2025$777.9M-1.8%
Q4 2024$856.6M-0.2%

AHCO's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $746M last quarter, down 9.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over AHCO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AHCO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $67MQ1 2024: −$39MQ2 2024: $117MQ3 2024: $85MQ4 2024: $73MQ1 2025: −$58,000Q2 2025: $73MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $79MQ1 2026: −$27MQ2 2026: −$21MQ3 2026: $51M
Q4 2023: $67MQ1 2024: −$39MQ2 2024: $117MQ3 2024: $85MQ4 2024: $73MQ1 2025: −$58,000Q2 2025: $73MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $79MQ1 2026: −$27MQ2 2026: −$21MQ3 2026: $51M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$51.1M-24%
Q2 2026-$20.9M-129%
Q1 2026-$27.5M-$27.4M
Q4 2025$79.3M+8.5%
Q3 2025$66.8M-21%
Q2 2025$73.3M-37%
Q1 2025-$58K+$38.8M
Q4 2024$73.1M+9.7%

AHCO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $82M over the past year.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over AHCO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AHCO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 134MQ1 2024: 133MQ2 2024: 136MQ3 2024: 137MQ4 2024: 136MQ1 2025: 135MQ2 2025: 137MQ3 2025: 137MQ4 2025: 135MQ1 2026: 136MQ2 2026: 136MQ3 2026: 136M
Q4 2023: 134MQ1 2024: 133MQ2 2024: 136MQ3 2024: 137MQ4 2024: 136MQ1 2025: 135MQ2 2025: 137MQ3 2025: 137MQ4 2025: 135MQ1 2026: 136MQ2 2026: 136MQ3 2026: 136M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+276K shares
1 year-0.6%-815K shares
3 years+1%+1.4M shares
5 years-2.8%-3.9M shares
Available history+225%+94.4M shares

AHCO has 136M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has 893M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

AHCO Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 6.1xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 2.8xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 3.8x
Q3 2024: 6.1xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 2.8xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 3.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20263.8xElevated
Q4 20253.5xElevated
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20252.8xModerate
Q1 20253.2xElevated
Q4 20243.0xModerate
Q3 20246.1xHigh
Q3 202354.3xHigh

AHCO's net debt is about 3.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.2 years a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

AHCO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.5Neutral
Stochastic47.7Neutral

AHCO's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 48 (neutral).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

AHCO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricAHCOSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

AHCO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

AHCO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.2925% above
20 week MA$7.258.6% above
50 week MA$9.2615% below
100 week MA$9.3115% below
200 week MA$10.122% below

AHCO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 22% below its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over AHCO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AHCO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.7$37.9+256%
2021$37.9$23.7-37%
2022$23.7$19.1-19%
2023$19.1$7.29-62%
2024$7.29$9.53+31%
2025$9.53$10.3+7.6%
2026 YTD$10.3$7.87-23%

AHCO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +256% in 2020 to −62% in 2023. It's down 23% so far in 2026.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over AHCO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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