AGO
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
AGO's fundamentals are weak: its operating margin fell 13 points to 40% and earnings per share fell 12%. At 10x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 10x. Analysts expect earnings growth.
IREN
IREN Limited
There isn't enough reported data to score IREN yet.
AGO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
AGO's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AGO.
IREN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
IREN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like IREN.
AGO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.2x | $51.41 | -30% |
| Fair | 10x | $70.70 | -3.4% |
| Current | 10x | $73.16 | — |
| Forward | 11x | $73.16 | — |
| Expensive | 14x | $101 | +38% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AGO's PE is in its fair range at 10x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 11x.
IREN PE Valuation
IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AGO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect AGO's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
IREN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect IREN's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AGO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.76 | -4.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.10 | -12% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.53 | -17% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.73 | +3.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.26 | +49% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.10 | -37% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.09 | -25% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.42 | -34% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.87 | -44% |
AGO has the edge over IREN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
IREN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.96 | -347% |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.22 | -988% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.51 | +$1.10 |
| Q4 2025 | $1.18 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | $1.60 | +$1.99 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.25 | +$0.45 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.59 | -$0.43 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.44 | -$0.15 |
IREN has swung to a loss: it lost $3.96 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
AGO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $214M | +3.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $195M | -31% |
| Q1 2026 | $261M | -24% |
| Q4 2025 | $277M | +78% |
| Q3 2025 | $207M | -23% |
| Q2 2025 | $281M | +39% |
| Q1 2025 | $345M | +41% |
| Q4 2024 | $156M | -52% |
AGO's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $214M last quarter, up 3.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 46% | -19 points |
| Q2 2026 | 25% | -22 points |
| Q1 2026 | 25% | -42 points |
| Q4 2025 | 60% | +40 points |
| Q3 2025 | 65% | -17 points |
| Q2 2025 | 47% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 66% | +7.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 19% | -43 points |
AGO has the edge over IREN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
IREN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $228M | -5.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $137.2M | -27% |
| Q1 2026 | $144.8M | 0% |
| Q4 2025 | $184.7M | +59% |
| Q3 2025 | $240.3M | +355% |
| Q2 2025 | $187.3M | +230% |
| Q1 2025 | $144.8M | +168% |
| Q4 2024 | $116.1M | +176% |
IREN has the edge over AGO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -82% | -50 points |
| Q2 2026 | -452% | -461 points |
| Q1 2026 | -161% | -180 points |
| Q4 2025 | -63% | -79 points |
| Q3 2025 | -32% | +57 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9% | +49 points |
| Q1 2025 | 19% | +8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +21 points |
IREN's operating margin was −82% last quarter, down 50 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AGO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92M | +67% |
| Q2 2026 | $40M | -49% |
| Q1 2026 | $190M | +118% |
| Q4 2025 | $39M | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $55M | +224% |
| Q2 2025 | $78M | +34% |
| Q1 2025 | $87M | +$161M |
| Q4 2024 | $46M | -77% |
AGO has the edge over IREN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
IREN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.6B | -$1.6B |
| Q2 2026 | $482.2M | +2895% |
| Q1 2026 | -$873.8M | -$523.1M |
| Q4 2025 | -$468M | -$334M |
| Q3 2025 | -$38M | +$349.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $16.1M | +$179M |
| Q1 2025 | -$350.7M | -$128.7M |
| Q4 2024 | -$134M | -$105.2M |
IREN's free cash flow was −$2.5B over the past year, against −$507M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.
AGO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.7% | -300K shares |
| 1 year | -7.7% | -3.7M shares |
| 3 years | -26% | -15.3M shares |
| 5 years | -40% | -29.3M shares |
| Available history | -56% | -55.9M shares |
AGO has the edge over IREN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $10M |
| Q2 2026 | $45M |
| Q1 2026 | $75M |
| Q4 2025 | $131M |
| Q3 2025 | $118M |
| Q2 2025 | $131M |
| Q1 2025 | $120M |
| Q4 2024 | $90M |
AGO spent $261M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 43% from the year before.
IREN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +26% | +82.4M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +36.9M shares |
| 3 years | +511% | +333M shares |
| 5 years | +624% | +344M shares |
| Available history | +2346% | +382M shares |
IREN has 399M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
AGO Net Leverage
IREN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | 157.6x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 22.2x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 4.1x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 2.0x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | -4.6x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -16.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2024 | -15.9x | Net Cash |
IREN's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.
AGO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 37.1 | Neutral |
AGO's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 37 (neutral).
IREN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 8.2 | Oversold |
IREN's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
AGO PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | AGO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10x | 13x | 21% below |
| PE % | 56 | 63 | 7 pts below |
AGO is trading at 10x earnings, a 21% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
IREN PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | IREN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 13x | — |
IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AGO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $70.7 | 3.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $75.3 | 2.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $79.9 | 8.5% below |
| 100 week MA | $82.8 | 12% below |
| 200 week MA | $76.8 | 4.7% below |
AGO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 4.7% below its 200-week average.
IREN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $29.8 | 35% below |
| 20 week MA | $36.2 | 46% below |
| 50 week MA | $42.8 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $32.0 | 39% below |
| 200 week MA | $19.1 | 2.1% above |
IREN has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.1% above its 200-week average.
AGO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $49.0 | $31.7 | -35% |
| 2021 | $31.7 | $48.9 | +54% |
| 2022 | $48.9 | $63.2 | +29% |
| 2023 | $63.2 | $74.8 | +18% |
| 2024 | $74.8 | $89.6 | +20% |
| 2025 | $89.6 | $90.7 | +1.2% |
| 2026 YTD | $90.7 | $73.2 | -19% |
AGO has the edge over IREN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
IREN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $24.8 | $17.2 | -31% |
| 2022 | $17.2 | $1.19 | -93% |
| 2023 | $1.19 | $7.15 | +501% |
| 2024 | $7.15 | $10.7 | +50% |
| 2025 | $10.7 | $40.3 | +276% |
| 2026 YTD | $40.3 | $19.5 | -52% |
IREN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2023 to −93% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.