AGO
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
AGO's fundamentals are weak: its operating margin fell 13 points to 40% and earnings per share fell 12%. At 10x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 10x. Analysts expect earnings growth.
COIN
Coinbase Global, Inc.
There isn't enough reported data to score COIN yet.
AGO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
AGO's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AGO.
COIN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Weak | |
| Under pressure | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
COIN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COIN.
AGO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.2x | $51.41 | -30% |
| Fair | 10x | $70.70 | -3.4% |
| Current | 10x | $73.16 | — |
| Forward | 11x | $73.16 | — |
| Expensive | 14x | $101 | +38% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AGO's PE is in its fair range at 10x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 11x.
COIN PE Valuation
COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AGO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect AGO's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
COIN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect COIN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AGO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.76 | -4.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.10 | -12% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.53 | -17% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.73 | +3.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.26 | +49% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.10 | -37% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.09 | -25% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.42 | -34% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.87 | -44% |
AGO has the edge over COIN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
COIN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.36 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$2.77 | -124% |
| Q2 2026 | -$3.78 | -137% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.72 | -49% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.45 | -53% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.54 | +94% |
| Q2 2025 | $10.32 | +82% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.32 | +4.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $9.48 | +2462% |
COIN has swung to a loss: it lost $2.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
AGO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $214M | +3.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $195M | -31% |
| Q1 2026 | $261M | -24% |
| Q4 2025 | $277M | +78% |
| Q3 2025 | $207M | -23% |
| Q2 2025 | $281M | +39% |
| Q1 2025 | $345M | +41% |
| Q4 2024 | $156M | -52% |
AGO's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $214M last quarter, up 3.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 46% | -19 points |
| Q2 2026 | 25% | -22 points |
| Q1 2026 | 25% | -42 points |
| Q4 2025 | 60% | +40 points |
| Q3 2025 | 65% | -17 points |
| Q2 2025 | 47% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 66% | +7.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 19% | -43 points |
AGO has the edge over COIN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
COIN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | -35% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | -19% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | -31% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.8B | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.9B | +55% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.5B | +3.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $2B | +24% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.3B | +138% |
COIN has the edge over AGO on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.1% | -21 points |
| Q2 2026 | -9.3% | -7.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.5% | -36 points |
| Q4 2025 | 15% | -30 points |
| Q3 2025 | 26% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -1.6% | -25 points |
| Q1 2025 | 35% | -12 points |
| Q4 2024 | 46% | +33 points |
COIN's operating margin was 5.1% last quarter, down 21 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AGO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92M | +67% |
| Q2 2026 | $40M | -49% |
| Q1 2026 | $190M | +118% |
| Q4 2025 | $39M | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $55M | +224% |
| Q2 2025 | $78M | +34% |
| Q1 2025 | $87M | +$161M |
| Q4 2024 | $46M | -77% |
AGO has the edge over COIN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
COIN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $405.5M | +$1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $197.3M | -40% |
| Q1 2026 | $182.7M | +$365.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $3.1B | +218% |
| Q3 2025 | -$784.5M | -213% |
| Q2 2025 | $328.5M | -32% |
| Q1 2025 | -$182.7M | -144% |
| Q4 2024 | $964.6M | +$969.8M |
COIN's free cash flow was $3.9B over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.
AGO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.7% | -300K shares |
| 1 year | -7.7% | -3.7M shares |
| 3 years | -26% | -15.3M shares |
| 5 years | -40% | -29.3M shares |
| Available history | -56% | -55.9M shares |
AGO has the edge over COIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $10M |
| Q2 2026 | $45M |
| Q1 2026 | $75M |
| Q4 2025 | $131M |
| Q3 2025 | $118M |
| Q2 2025 | $131M |
| Q1 2025 | $120M |
| Q4 2024 | $90M |
AGO spent $261M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 43% from the year before.
COIN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.3% | +24.6M shares |
| 1 year | -1.4% | -4M shares |
| 3 years | +21% | +50.7M shares |
| 5 years | +15% | +37.4M shares |
| Available history | +330% | +221M shares |
COIN has 288M diluted shares, down 1.4% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5.3M |
| Q2 2026 | $181.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
| Q4 2019 | $10.5M |
AGO Net Leverage
COIN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -4.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
COIN has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.
AGO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 37.1 | Neutral |
AGO's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 37 (neutral).
COIN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 5.0 | Oversold |
COIN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
AGO PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | AGO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10x | 13x | 21% below |
| PE % | 56 | 63 | 7 pts below |
AGO is trading at 10x earnings, a 21% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | COIN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 13x | — |
COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AGO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $70.7 | 3.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $75.3 | 2.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $79.9 | 8.5% below |
| 100 week MA | $82.8 | 12% below |
| 200 week MA | $76.8 | 4.7% below |
AGO has the edge over COIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
COIN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $163.0 | 20% below |
| 20 week MA | $165.6 | 21% below |
| 50 week MA | $184.4 | 29% below |
| 100 week MA | $232.8 | 44% below |
| 200 week MA | $190.3 | 31% below |
COIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.
AGO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $49.0 | $31.7 | -35% |
| 2021 | $31.7 | $48.9 | +54% |
| 2022 | $48.9 | $63.2 | +29% |
| 2023 | $63.2 | $74.8 | +18% |
| 2024 | $74.8 | $89.6 | +20% |
| 2025 | $89.6 | $90.7 | +1.2% |
| 2026 YTD | $90.7 | $73.2 | -19% |
AGO has the edge over COIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
COIN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $342.0 | $268.2 | -22% |
| 2022 | $268.2 | $35.5 | -87% |
| 2023 | $35.5 | $173.9 | +390% |
| 2024 | $173.9 | $265.7 | +53% |
| 2025 | $265.7 | $236.9 | -11% |
| 2026 YTD | $236.9 | $130.7 | -45% |
COIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +390% in 2023 to −87% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.