AGM
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation
AGM has a slight edge over HOOD overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
HOOD offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
AGM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
AGM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AGM.
HOOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.
AGM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 8x | $175 | — |
| Cheap | 9x | $169 | -3.4% |
| Current | 9.3x | $175 | — |
| Fair | 11x | $198 | +13% |
| Expensive | 12x | $230 | +31% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AGM's PE is in its cheap range at 9.3x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.0x next year's earnings.
HOOD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $81.35 | — |
| Cheap | 37x | $78.84 | -3.1% |
| Current | 38x | $81.35 | — |
| Fair | 51x | $110 | +35% |
| Expensive | 74x | $160 | +96% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOOD has the edge over AGM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
AGM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AGM, with profitability improving.
HOOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for HOOD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AGM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $21.78 | +15% |
| Q3 2026 | $18.88 | +7.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $18.29 | +7.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.36 | +7.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $16.62 | +1.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.55 | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.97 | +3.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $16.17 | -1.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.44 | +4% |
AGM earned $18.88 per share over the past year, up 7.6% from the year before.
HOOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | +26% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.16 | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.26 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.06 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.05 | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.40 | +314% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.96 | +513% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.75 | +1150% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +$2.17 |
HOOD earned $2.16 per share over the past year, down 10% from the year before.
AGM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $125.3M | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $125M | +22% |
| Q1 2026 | $109.1M | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $107.5M | +6.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $104M | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $102.6M | +14% |
| Q1 2025 | $94.3M | +0.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $101.3M | +19% |
AGM's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $125M last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 64% | -0.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 65% | +1.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 65% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 56% | -11 points |
| Q3 2025 | 64% | -4.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 64% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 67% | -5.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 68% | -3.6 points |
AGM has the edge over HOOD on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
HOOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +100% |
| Q2 2025 | $989M | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $927M | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +115% |
HOOD has the edge over AGM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | -5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 54% | +9.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 52% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 50% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 40% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +49 points |
HOOD's operating margin was 44% last quarter, down 5.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AGM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $362.7M | +389% |
| Q2 2026 | $40.4M | +$88.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $92.1M | +$141.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $103.4M | -72% |
| Q3 2025 | $74.2M | +$118.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$47.7M | -191% |
| Q1 2025 | -$49.8M | -122% |
| Q4 2024 | $367.5M | +$534.4M |
AGM's free cash flow was $599M over the past year, up 74% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like AGM.
HOOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +$2.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $720M | -79% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +217% |
| Q4 2025 | -$937M | +$463M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.6B | -187% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | +6398% |
| Q1 2025 | $642M | +$1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.4B | -246% |
HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.
AGM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +27K shares |
| 1 year | -0.6% | -63K shares |
| 3 years | -0.3% | -29K shares |
| 5 years | +0.6% | +67K shares |
| Available history | +1.2% | +131K shares |
AGM has 11M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $7.1M |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | — |
HOOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | +1.8% | +15.9M shares |
| 5 years | +292% | +679M shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +60.8M shares |
HOOD has the edge over AGM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M |
| Q2 2026 | $414M |
| Q1 2026 | $250M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | $107M |
| Q2 2025 | $124M |
| Q1 2025 | $322M |
| Q4 2024 | $160M |
HOOD spent $789M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
AGM Net Leverage
HOOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.
AGM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 8.2 | Oversold |
AGM's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
HOOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.5 | Oversold |
HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
AGM PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | AGM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.3x | 13x | 29% below |
| PE % | 23 | 63 | 40 pts below |
AGM has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.
HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HOOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38x | 13x | 189% above |
| PE % | 22 | 66 | 44 pts below |
HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
AGM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $199.2 | 12% below |
| 20 week MA | $211.2 | 17% below |
| 50 week MA | $186.6 | 6.1% below |
| 100 week MA | $185.7 | 5.6% below |
| 200 week MA | $177.6 | 1.3% below |
AGM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.3% below its 200-week average.
HOOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $97.8 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $102.2 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $95.4 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $88.5 | 8.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.1 | 56% above |
HOOD has the edge over AGM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AGM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $84.2 | $73.9 | -12% |
| 2021 | $73.9 | $120.7 | +63% |
| 2022 | $120.7 | $114.0 | -5.5% |
| 2023 | $114.0 | $191.2 | +68% |
| 2024 | $191.2 | $197.3 | +3.2% |
| 2025 | $197.3 | $177.6 | -10% |
| 2026 YTD | $177.6 | $175.2 | -1.3% |
AGM has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
HOOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $35.2 | $18.9 | -46% |
| 2022 | $18.9 | $7.95 | -58% |
| 2023 | $7.95 | $12.7 | +60% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $39.0 | +206% |
| 2025 | $39.0 | $118.1 | +203% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.1 | $81.4 | -31% |
HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.