AGM

Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation

60
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation59/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

AGM's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 16%, but its operating margin fell 3 points to 63%. At 9.3x earnings, it's trading below its usual 11x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

CIFR

Cipher Mining Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.

AGM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

AGM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AGM.

CIFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.

AGM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.7x7.4x11x15x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.7x7.4x11x15x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward8x$175โ€”
Cheap9x$169-3.4%
Current9.3x$175โ€”
Fair11x$198+13%
Expensive12x$230+31%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AGM's PE is in its cheap range at 9.3x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.0x next year's earnings.

CIFR PE Valuation

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AGM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AGM, with profitability improving.

CIFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect CIFR's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AGM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$228.96
Downside-13%$152.08

Calculated from the latest close: $175.24 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AGM and CIFR's risk to reward.

CIFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $7.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AGM and CIFR's risk to reward.

AGM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $15.81Q1 2024: $16.40Q2 2024: $16.38Q3 2024: $15.55Q4 2024: $16.44Q1 2025: $16.17Q2 2025: $16.97Q3 2025: $17.55Q4 2025: $16.62Q1 2026: $17.36Q2 2026: $18.29Q3 2026: $18.88Forward: $21.78
Q4 2023: $15.81Q1 2024: $16.40Q2 2024: $16.38Q3 2024: $15.55Q4 2024: $16.44Q1 2025: $16.17Q2 2025: $16.97Q3 2025: $17.55Q4 2025: $16.62Q1 2026: $17.36Q2 2026: $18.29Q3 2026: $18.88Forward: $21.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$21.78+15%
Q3 2026$18.88+7.6%
Q2 2026$18.29+7.8%
Q1 2026$17.36+7.4%
Q4 2025$16.62+1.1%
Q3 2025$17.55+13%
Q2 2025$16.97+3.6%
Q1 2025$16.17-1.4%
Q4 2024$16.44+4%

AGM has the edge over CIFR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CIFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.06-$2.86
Q2 2026-$2.85-$2.40
Q1 2026-$2.32-$1.94
Q4 2025-$2.15-$2.01
Q3 2025-$0.20-$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.45-850%
Q1 2025-$0.38-733%
Q4 2024-$0.14-$0.04

CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

AGM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $85MQ1 2024: $94MQ2 2024: $90MQ3 2024: $90MQ4 2024: $101MQ1 2025: $94MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $104MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $109MQ2 2026: $125MQ3 2026: $125M
Q4 2023: $85MQ1 2024: $94MQ2 2024: $90MQ3 2024: $90MQ4 2024: $101MQ1 2025: $94MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $104MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $109MQ2 2026: $125MQ3 2026: $125M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$125.3M+20%
Q2 2026$125M+22%
Q1 2026$109.1M+16%
Q4 2025$107.5M+6.1%
Q3 2025$104M+15%
Q2 2025$102.6M+14%
Q1 2025$94.3M+0.7%
Q4 2024$101.3M+19%

AGM has the edge over CIFR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.7M-63%
Q2 2026$24.8M-43%
Q1 2026$34.8M-29%
Q4 2025$59.7M+41%
Q3 2025$71.7M+198%
Q2 2025$43.6M+18%
Q1 2025$49M+1.7%
Q4 2024$42.2M-2.8%

CIFR's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $27M last quarter, down 63% from the same quarter a year ago.

AGM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$167MQ1 2024: $232MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: โˆ’$44MQ4 2024: $368MQ1 2025: โˆ’$50MQ2 2025: โˆ’$48MQ3 2025: $74MQ4 2025: $103MQ1 2026: $92MQ2 2026: $40MQ3 2026: $363M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$167MQ1 2024: $232MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: โˆ’$44MQ4 2024: $368MQ1 2025: โˆ’$50MQ2 2025: โˆ’$48MQ3 2025: $74MQ4 2025: $103MQ1 2026: $92MQ2 2026: $40MQ3 2026: $363M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$362.7M+389%
Q2 2026$40.4M+$88.1M
Q1 2026$92.1M+$141.9M
Q4 2025$103.4M-72%
Q3 2025$74.2M+$118.6M
Q2 2025-$47.7M-191%
Q1 2025-$49.8M-122%
Q4 2024$367.5M+$534.4M

AGM has the edge over CIFR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CIFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$114MQ1 2024: โˆ’$35MQ2 2024: โˆ’$33MQ3 2024: โˆ’$83MQ4 2024: โˆ’$76MQ1 2025: โˆ’$72MQ2 2025: โˆ’$88MQ3 2025: โˆ’$256MQ4 2025: โˆ’$280MQ1 2026: โˆ’$462MQ2 2026: โˆ’$654MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.7B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$114MQ1 2024: โˆ’$35MQ2 2024: โˆ’$33MQ3 2024: โˆ’$83MQ4 2024: โˆ’$76MQ1 2025: โˆ’$72MQ2 2025: โˆ’$88MQ3 2025: โˆ’$256MQ4 2025: โˆ’$280MQ1 2026: โˆ’$462MQ2 2026: โˆ’$654MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.7B-$1.4B
Q2 2026-$653.8M-$566.3M
Q1 2026-$462.5M-$390.7M
Q4 2025-$280.3M-$204.2M
Q3 2025-$256.2M-$173.1M
Q2 2025-$87.5M-$54.3M
Q1 2025-$71.8M-$37.3M
Q4 2024-$76.1M+$38M

CIFR's free cash flow was โˆ’$3.1B over the past year, against โˆ’$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

AGM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 11MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 11MQ3 2026: 11M
Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 11MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 11MQ3 2026: 11M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+27K shares
1 year-0.6%-63K shares
3 years-0.3%-29K shares
5 years+0.6%+67K shares
Available history+1.2%+131K shares

AGM has the edge over CIFR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+30.3M shares
1 year+12%+46.5M shares
3 years+75%+188M shares
5 years+102%+222M shares

CIFR has 440M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago, despite $151M in buybacks over the past year.

AGM Net Leverage

CIFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025125.4xHigh
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.1xNet Cash

CIFR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

AGM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.8Neutral
Stochastic8.2Oversold

AGM's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

CIFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

AGM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricAGMSector medianRelative
PE9.3x13x29% below
PE %236340 pts below

AGM is trading at 9.3x earnings, a 29% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIFRSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AGM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$199.212% below
20 week MA$211.217% below
50 week MA$186.66.1% below
100 week MA$185.75.6% below
200 week MA$177.61.3% below

AGM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.3% below its 200-week average.

CIFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.633% below
20 week MA$15.554% below
50 week MA$17.058% below
100 week MA$12.241% below
200 week MA$7.869% below

CIFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 200-week average.

AGM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$84.2$73.9-12%
2021$73.9$120.7+63%
2022$120.7$114.0-5.5%
2023$114.0$191.2+68%
2024$191.2$197.3+3.2%
2025$197.3$177.6-10%
2026 YTD$177.6$175.2-1.3%

AGM has the edge over CIFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CIFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.92$9.95+0.3%
2021$9.95$5.21-48%
2022$5.21$0.54-90%
2023$0.54$4.13+665%
2024$4.13$4.86+18%
2025$4.86$15.2+213%
2026 YTD$15.2$7.15-53%

CIFR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +665% in 2023 to โˆ’90% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

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