AGI

Alamos Gold Inc.

74
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation72/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

AGI's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and its operating margin rose 18 points to 57%. Its PE of 10x looks cheaper than it really is, because one-off gains boosted its recent earnings. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

AGI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

AGI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

AGI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE45x90x135x180x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE45x90x135x180x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$28.75—
Forward10x$28.75—
Cheap21x$58.40+103%
Fair31x$86.85+202%
Expensive51x$142+394%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AGI's PE is in its cheap range at 10.4x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 10.3x.

AGI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AGI, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AGI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+62%$46.46
Downside-18%$23.46

Calculated from the latest close: $28.75 on Nov 12.

AGI's one-year upside scenario is about three times its downside: +62% against −18%.

AGI Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.51Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.51Q2 2024: $0.49Q3 2024: $0.59Q4 2024: $0.68Q1 2025: $0.62Q2 2025: $0.83Q3 2025: $1.28Q4 2025: $2.10Q1 2026: $2.51Q2 2026: $2.76Forward: $2.80
Q3 2023: $0.51Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.51Q2 2024: $0.49Q3 2024: $0.59Q4 2024: $0.68Q1 2025: $0.62Q2 2025: $0.83Q3 2025: $1.28Q4 2025: $2.10Q1 2026: $2.51Q2 2026: $2.76Forward: $2.80
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.80+1.6%
Q2 2026$2.76+233%
Q1 2026$2.51+305%
Q4 2025$2.10+209%
Q3 2025$1.28+117%
Q2 2025$0.83+69%
Q1 2025$0.62+22%
Q4 2024$0.68+28%
Q3 2024$0.59+16%

AGI's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $2.76 over the past year, about three times what it earned the year before, and higher year over year for 17 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

AGI Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $256MQ4 2023: $255MQ1 2024: $278MQ2 2024: $333MQ3 2024: $361MQ4 2024: $376MQ1 2025: $333MQ2 2025: $438MQ3 2025: $457MQ4 2025: $584MQ1 2026: $588MQ2 2026: $579M
Q3 2023: $256MQ4 2023: $255MQ1 2024: $278MQ2 2024: $333MQ3 2024: $361MQ4 2024: $376MQ1 2025: $333MQ2 2025: $438MQ3 2025: $457MQ4 2025: $584MQ1 2026: $588MQ2 2026: $579M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$579M+32%
Q1 2026$588.4M+77%
Q4 2025$584.1M+55%
Q3 2025$457.2M+27%
Q2 2025$438.2M+32%
Q1 2025$333M+20%
Q4 2024$375.8M+48%
Q3 2024$360.9M+41%

AGI's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $579M last quarter, up 32% from the same quarter a year ago.

AGI Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $37MQ4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $107MQ3 2024: $59MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: −$22MQ2 2025: $78MQ3 2025: $126MQ4 2025: $88MQ1 2026: $55MQ2 2026: $47M
Q3 2023: $37MQ4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $107MQ3 2024: $59MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: −$22MQ2 2025: $78MQ3 2025: $126MQ4 2025: $88MQ1 2026: $55MQ2 2026: $47M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$46.5M-40%
Q1 2026$54.7M+$76.8M
Q4 2025$88.5M+93%
Q3 2025$125.8M+114%
Q2 2025$77.7M-27%
Q1 2025-$22.1M-189%
Q4 2024$45.8M+218%
Q3 2024$58.7M+57%

AGI generated $316M in free cash flow over the past year, up 97% from the year before.

AGI Total Shares

Q3 2023: 399MQ4 2023: 397MQ1 2024: 399MQ2 2024: 401MQ3 2024: 417MQ4 2024: 420MQ1 2025: 423MQ2 2025: 423MQ3 2025: 423MQ4 2025: 423MQ1 2026: 422MQ2 2026: 422M
Q3 2023: 399MQ4 2023: 397MQ1 2024: 399MQ2 2024: 401MQ3 2024: 417MQ4 2024: 420MQ1 2025: 423MQ2 2025: 423MQ3 2025: 423MQ4 2025: 423MQ1 2026: 422MQ2 2026: 422M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-260K shares
1 year-0.3%-1.3M shares
3 years+5.9%+23.3M shares
5 years+7.3%+28.8M shares
Available history+6.9%+27.2M shares

AGI has 422M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

AGI Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.4xQ4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.6xQ3 2024: 0.0xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.2x
Q3 2023: -0.4xQ4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.6xQ3 2024: 0.0xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 20240.0xVery low

AGI has more cash than debt.

AGI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.3Neutral
Stochastic19.9Oversold

AGI's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

AGI PE vs Basic Materials Sector

MetricAGISector medianRelative
PE10x19x44% below
PE %14039 pts below

AGI is trading at 10x earnings, a 44% discount to the Basic Materials sector's median of 19x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

AGI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.28% below
20 week MA$32.311% below
50 week MA$37.924% below
100 week MA$32.411% below
200 week MA$23.423% above

AGI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 23% above its 200-week average.

AGI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.79$8.81+52%
2021$8.81$7.53-15%
2022$7.53$9.99+33%
2023$9.99$13.5+35%
2024$13.5$18.4+36%
2025$18.4$40.8+122%
2026 YTD$40.8$28.8-29%

AGI has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 29% so far in 2026.

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