AGEN

Agenus Inc.

47
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential45/ 100

AGEN trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over AGEN overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

AGEN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Weak
Strong

AGEN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AGEN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.6x9.3x14x19x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.6x9.3x14x19x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap2.1x$1.52-78%
Fair3.1x$2.20-68%
Current9.7x$6.87—
Expensive15x$10.89+58%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AGEN's PE is 9.7x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY has the edge over AGEN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AGEN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Turning to a loss
Strong decline
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect AGEN's earnings and revenue to decline, though with profitability holding steady.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

AGEN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+82%$12.51
Downside-45%$3.75

Calculated from the latest close: $6.87 on Nov 12.

AGEN trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AGEN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AGEN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $-10.59Q1 2025: $-8.58Q2 2025: $-7.06Q3 2025: $-2.04Q4 2025: $-0.41Q1 2026: $1.64Q2 2026: $2.63Q3 2026: $0.71
Q4 2024: $-10.59Q1 2025: $-8.58Q2 2025: $-7.06Q3 2025: $-2.04Q4 2025: $-0.41Q1 2026: $1.64Q2 2026: $2.63Q3 2026: $0.71
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.71+$2.75
Q2 2026$2.63+$9.69
Q1 2026$1.64+$10.22
Q4 2025-$0.41+$10.18
Q3 2022-$14.52-$12.16
Q2 2022$3.34+$25.32
Q1 2022-$0.59+$19.63
Q4 2021-$2.16+$18.84

AGEN has returned to profit: it earned $0.71 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over AGEN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AGEN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $84MQ1 2024: $28MQ2 2024: $24MQ3 2024: $25MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $34MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $35MQ3 2026: $31M
Q4 2023: $84MQ1 2024: $28MQ2 2024: $24MQ3 2024: $25MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $34MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $35MQ3 2026: $31M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$31.5M+4.1%
Q2 2026$34.5M+34%
Q1 2026$33.7M+40%
Q4 2025$34.2M+27%
Q3 2025$30.2M+20%
Q2 2025$25.7M+9.3%
Q1 2025$24.1M-14%
Q4 2024$26.8M-68%

AGEN's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $31M last quarter, up 4.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over AGEN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AGEN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$41MQ1 2024: −$38MQ2 2024: −$39MQ3 2024: −$53MQ4 2024: −$29MQ1 2025: −$26MQ2 2025: −$20MQ3 2025: −$15MQ4 2025: −$17MQ1 2026: −$36MQ2 2026: −$31MQ3 2026: −$20M
Q4 2023: −$41MQ1 2024: −$38MQ2 2024: −$39MQ3 2024: −$53MQ4 2024: −$29MQ1 2025: −$26MQ2 2025: −$20MQ3 2025: −$15MQ4 2025: −$17MQ1 2026: −$36MQ2 2026: −$31MQ3 2026: −$20M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$20.1M-$5.4M
Q2 2026-$31.2M-$11M
Q1 2026-$36M-$10.3M
Q4 2025-$16.6M+$12.1M
Q3 2025-$14.7M+$38.6M
Q2 2025-$20.2M+$18.4M
Q1 2025-$25.6M+$12.6M
Q4 2024-$28.7M+$11.9M

AGEN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$104M over the past year, against −$89M the year before.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over AGEN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AGEN Total Shares

Q1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 22MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 24MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 38MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 83M
Q1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 22MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 24MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 38MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 83M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+101%+41.9M shares
1 year+196%+55.2M shares
3 years+795%+74M shares

AGEN has 83M diluted shares, up 196% from a year ago.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over AGEN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AGEN Net Leverage

Q1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: -0.7x
Q1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2022-3.6xNet Cash
Q1 2022-6.1xNet Cash
Q4 2021-8.6xNet Cash
Q3 2021-3.7xNet Cash

AGEN has the edge over LLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

AGEN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic22.9Neutral

AGEN's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

AGEN PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricAGENSector medianRelative
PE9.7x26x62% below
PE %642935 pts above

AGEN has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

AGEN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$7.224.8% below
20 week MA$6.810.9% above
50 week MA$4.7844% above
100 week MA$4.3060% above
200 week MA$11.741% below

AGEN's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 41% below its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over AGEN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AGEN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$82.8$67.7-18%
2021$67.7$71.6+5.8%
2022$71.6$49.1-32%
2023$49.1$16.6-66%
2024$16.6$2.75-83%
2025$2.75$3.31+20%
2026 YTD$3.31$6.87+108%

AGEN has the edge over LLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 32% so far in 2026.

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