AGCO
AGCO Corporation
AGCO's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.
VRT
Vertiv Holdings Co
VRT has the edge over AGCO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
AGCO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable |
AGCO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
VRT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
VRT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
AGCO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.8x | $34.04 | -69% |
| Fair | 13x | $51.31 | -54% |
| Forward | 17x | $111 | — |
| Current | 29x | $111 | — |
| Expensive | 34x | $131 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AGCO's PE is in its expensive range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
VRT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 23x | $210 | — |
| Current | 39x | $210 | — |
| Cheap | 58x | $308 | +47% |
| Fair | 72x | $383 | +83% |
| Expensive | 88x | $472 | +125% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VRT has the edge over AGCO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
AGCO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AGCO's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
VRT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
VRT has the edge over AGCO on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
AGCO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.42 | +65% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.89 | -23% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.23 | +440% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.37 | +$18.17 |
| Q4 2025 | $9.75 | +$15.44 |
| Q3 2025 | $5.03 | +123% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.34 | -76% |
| Q1 2025 | -$7.80 | -153% |
| Q4 2024 | -$5.69 | -136% |
AGCO's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.89 over the past year, against $15.63 in late 2023.
VRT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.14 | +71% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.35 | +102% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | +111% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.98 | +131% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.41 | +166% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.65 | +75% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.09 | +62% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.72 | +64% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.28 | +7.6% |
VRT has the edge over AGCO on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AGCO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.3B | -8.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.6B | -1% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.3B | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.9B | +1.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.5B | -4.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.1B | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.9B | -24% |
AGCO's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $2.3B last quarter, down 8.6% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.1% | -1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5.4% | -0.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.4% | +1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.9% | +17 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.1% | +1.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 6.2% | +14 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.4% | -6.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -9.3% | -20 points |
AGCO's operating margin was 5.1% last quarter, down 1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
VRT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.3B | +61% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.3B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.6B | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.9B | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7B | +29% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | +35% |
| Q1 2025 | $2B | +24% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.3B | +26% |
VRT has the edge over AGCO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +3.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 19% | +2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | +2.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | +0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 19% | +1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | +1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 19% | +4.2 points |
VRT has the edge over AGCO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AGCO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$33.8M | -1710% |
| Q2 2026 | $108.2M | -67% |
| Q1 2026 | -$455M | -$194.6M |
| Q4 2025 | $675M | -1.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.1M | +$61.9M |
| Q2 2025 | $323.5M | +135% |
| Q1 2025 | -$260.4M | +$204.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $683.9M | -7.6% |
AGCO usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$34M, but it generated $294M over the past year.
VRT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $654.9M | +41% |
| Q2 2026 | $926.5M | +233% |
| Q1 2026 | $654.2M | +145% |
| Q4 2025 | $885.6M | +143% |
| Q3 2025 | $463.5M | +36% |
| Q2 2025 | $277.9M | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $266.8M | +162% |
| Q4 2024 | $364.5M | +18% |
VRT has the edge over AGCO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AGCO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.4% | -1.7M shares |
| 1 year | -7% | -5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -7.3% | -5.5M shares |
| 5 years | -8.1% | -6.1M shares |
| Available history | -9.7% | -7.5M shares |
AGCO has the edge over VRT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $56.7M |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | $60M |
| Q3 2021 | $75M |
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
VRT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -64.9K shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +1.8M shares |
| 3 years | +1.1% | +4.4M shares |
| 5 years | +10% | +36M shares |
| Available history | +63% | +152M shares |
VRT has 393M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | $599.9M |
AGCO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 4.6x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 5.9x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 9.7x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 4.0x | Elevated |
AGCO's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.6 years a year ago.
VRT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 1.0x | Healthy |
VRT has the edge over AGCO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
AGCO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 49.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 34.4 | Neutral |
AGCO's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).
VRT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 26.4 | Neutral |
VRT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
AGCO PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | AGCO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29x | 24x | 19% above |
| PE % | 78 | 58 | 20 pts above |
AGCO has the edge over VRT on valuation relative to its sector.
VRT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | VRT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 39x | 24x | 63% above |
| PE % | 3 | 58 | 55 pts below |
VRT is trading at 39x earnings, a 63% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
AGCO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $109.8 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $112.3 | 0.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $114.9 | 3% below |
| 100 week MA | $108.4 | 2.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $111.7 | 0.2% below |
AGCO's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 0.2% below its 200-week average.
VRT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $221.8 | 5.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $254.4 | 18% below |
| 50 week MA | $253.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $189.1 | 11% above |
| 200 week MA | $123.5 | 70% above |
VRT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 70% above its 200-week average.
AGCO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $77.8 | $103.2 | +33% |
| 2021 | $103.2 | $115.6 | +12% |
| 2022 | $115.6 | $134.2 | +16% |
| 2023 | $134.2 | $121.4 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $121.4 | $93.2 | -23% |
| 2025 | $93.2 | $105.5 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $105.5 | $111.4 | +5.7% |
AGCO has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 5.7% so far in 2026.
VRT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.9 | $18.9 | +73% |
| 2021 | $18.9 | $24.9 | +31% |
| 2022 | $24.9 | $12.8 | -48% |
| 2023 | $12.8 | $48.0 | +275% |
| 2024 | $48.0 | $115.1 | +140% |
| 2025 | $115.1 | $167.6 | +46% |
| 2026 YTD | $167.6 | $209.6 | +25% |
VRT has the edge over AGCO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.