AFYA

Afya Limited

54
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

AFYA trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

CELH

Celsius Holdings, Inc.

72
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CELH has the edge over AFYA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

AFYA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Healthy

AFYA's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

CELH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Strong

CELH's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

AFYA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x45x68x90x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x45x68x90x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current6.7x$10.33—
Cheap11x$16.60+61%
Fair21x$31.84+208%
Expensive42x$64.46+524%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AFYA has the edge over CELH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CELH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$31.89—
Current35x$31.89—
Cheap40x$35.95+13%
Fair141x$127+299%
Expensive650x$585+1735%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CELH's PE is in its cheap range at 35x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 21x next year's earnings.

AFYA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect AFYA's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

CELH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

CELH has the edge over AFYA on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

AFYA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+40%$14.44
Downside-28%$7.39

Calculated from the latest close: $10.33 on Nov 12.

AFYA trails CELH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CELH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+69%$54.01
Downside-25%$23.76

Calculated from the latest close: $31.89 on Nov 12.

CELH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AFYA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AFYA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.70Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.94Q2 2024: $1.09Q3 2024: $1.14Q4 2024: $1.24Q1 2025: $1.34Q2 2025: $1.36Q3 2025: $1.43Q4 2025: $1.48Q1 2026: $1.48Q2 2026: $1.55
Q3 2023: $0.70Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.94Q2 2024: $1.09Q3 2024: $1.14Q4 2024: $1.24Q1 2025: $1.34Q2 2025: $1.36Q3 2025: $1.43Q4 2025: $1.48Q1 2026: $1.48Q2 2026: $1.55
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$1.55+14%
Q1 2026$1.48+10%
Q4 2025$1.48+19%
Q3 2025$1.43+25%
Q2 2025$1.36+25%
Q1 2025$1.34+43%
Q4 2024$1.24+61%
Q3 2024$1.14+63%

AFYA has the edge over CELH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CELH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.53+70%
Q3 2026$0.90+718%
Q2 2026$0.24-37%
Q1 2026$0.43+30%
Q4 2025$0.25-44%
Q3 2025$0.11-85%
Q2 2025$0.38-62%
Q1 2025$0.33-64%
Q4 2024$0.45-42%

CELH earned $0.90 per share over the past year, about eight times what it earned the year before.

AFYA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $130MQ4 2023: $131MQ1 2024: $144MQ2 2024: $145MQ3 2024: $151MQ4 2024: $152MQ1 2025: $168MQ2 2025: $165MQ3 2025: $166MQ4 2025: $166MQ1 2026: $178MQ2 2026: $178M
Q3 2023: $130MQ4 2023: $131MQ1 2024: $144MQ2 2024: $145MQ3 2024: $151MQ4 2024: $152MQ1 2025: $168MQ2 2025: $165MQ3 2025: $166MQ4 2025: $166MQ1 2026: $178MQ2 2026: $178M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$178M+8.1%
Q1 2026$177.9M+6.1%
Q4 2025$165.9M+9.2%
Q3 2025$166.2M+10%
Q2 2025$164.6M+14%
Q1 2025$167.6M+16%
Q4 2024$152M+16%
Q3 2024$150.6M+16%

AFYA's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $178M last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

CELH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$847.2M+17%
Q2 2026$817.9M+11%
Q1 2026$782.6M+138%
Q4 2025$721.6M+117%
Q3 2025$725.1M+173%
Q2 2025$739.3M+84%
Q1 2025$329.3M-7.4%
Q4 2024$332.2M-4.4%

CELH's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $847M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

AFYA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $12MQ4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $58MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $43MQ1 2025: $73MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $77MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $75MQ2 2026: $31M
Q3 2023: $12MQ4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $58MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $43MQ1 2025: $73MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $77MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $75MQ2 2026: $31M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$31M-3.1%
Q1 2026$74.8M+2.5%
Q4 2025$25.1M-42%
Q3 2025$76.6M+42%
Q2 2025$32M-13%
Q1 2025$73M+25%
Q4 2024$43.1M+$45.6M
Q3 2024$54M+336%

AFYA has the edge over CELH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CELH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$127.7M-60%
Q2 2026$205.5M+479%
Q1 2026$65.8M-32%
Q4 2025-$130M-285%
Q3 2025$321.5M+3599%
Q2 2025$35.5M+17%
Q1 2025$96.4M-26%
Q4 2024$70.3M+16394%

CELH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $269M over the past year.

AFYA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 91MQ4 2023: 91MQ1 2024: 97MQ2 2024: 91MQ3 2024: 91MQ4 2024: 91MQ1 2025: 97MQ2 2025: 92MQ3 2025: 91MQ4 2025: 91MQ1 2026: 90MQ2 2026: 89M
Q3 2023: 91MQ4 2023: 91MQ1 2024: 97MQ2 2024: 91MQ3 2024: 91MQ4 2024: 91MQ1 2025: 97MQ2 2025: 92MQ3 2025: 91MQ4 2025: 91MQ1 2026: 90MQ2 2026: 89M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-830K shares
1 year-2.6%-2.4M shares
3 years-1.1%-982K shares
5 years-5.2%-4.9M shares
Available history+2.8%+2.4M shares

AFYA has the edge over CELH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CELH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-2M shares
1 year-1.1%-2.9M shares
3 years+7.4%+17.6M shares
5 years+8.3%+19.5M shares
Available history+32%+62.4M shares

CELH has 255M diluted shares, down 1.1% from a year ago.

AFYA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 1.9xQ4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 1.8xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 1.3x
Q3 2023: 1.9xQ4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 1.8xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.1xHealthy
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.7xHealthy
Q3 20241.8xHealthy

AFYA's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

CELH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 2025-7.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.5xNet Cash

CELH has the edge over AFYA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AFYA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.7Neutral
Stochastic13.7Oversold

AFYA's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

CELH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.3Neutral
Stochastic56.8Neutral

CELH's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

AFYA PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricAFYASector medianRelative
PE6.7x19x66% below
PE %11817 pts below

AFYA has the edge over CELH on valuation relative to its sector.

CELH PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricCELHSector medianRelative
PE35x19x82% above
PE %11187 pts below

CELH is trading at 35x earnings, a 82% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

AFYA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.618% below
20 week MA$13.624% below
50 week MA$14.127% below
100 week MA$15.232% below
200 week MA$15.835% below

AFYA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 35% below its 200-week average.

CELH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.19.4% above
20 week MA$29.67.8% above
50 week MA$36.112% below
100 week MA$38.818% below
200 week MA$44.629% below

CELH has the edge over AFYA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AFYA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$27.1$25.5-6.2%
2021$25.5$14.6-43%
2022$14.6$15.5+5.8%
2023$15.5$21.9+42%
2024$21.9$15.9-28%
2025$15.9$15.0-5.7%
2026 YTD$15.0$10.3-31%

AFYA has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

CELH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.58$14.7+832%
2021$14.7$24.9+69%
2022$24.9$35.6+43%
2023$35.6$54.5+53%
2024$54.5$26.5-51%
2025$26.5$45.6+72%
2026 YTD$45.6$31.9-30%

CELH has the edge over AFYA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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