AFRM

Affirm Holdings, Inc.

70
Fundamentals83/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

AFRM's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

AMD

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

79
Fundamentals90/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

AMD has the edge over AFRM overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

AFRM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Healthy
Weak

AFRM's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.

AMD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

AMD's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

AFRM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE160x320x479x639x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE160x320x479x639x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current11x$65.84—
Cheap14x$82.33+25%
Forward30x$65.84—
Fair68x$393+497%
Expensive113x$651+889%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AFRM has the edge over AMD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AMD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward39x$585—
Cheap40x$182-69%
Fair112x$514-12%
Current127x$585—
Expensive206x$947+62%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMD's PE is in its fair range at 127x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 39x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

AFRM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AFRM, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

AMD has the edge over AFRM on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

AFRM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+53%$100.90
Downside-33%$44.36

Calculated from the latest close: $65.84 on Nov 12.

AFRM trails AMD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+83%$1,068.23
Downside-20%$471.03

Calculated from the latest close: $585.30 on Nov 12.

AMD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AFRM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AFRM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.49Q1 2024: $-2.23Q2 2024: $-1.67Q3 2024: $-1.41Q4 2024: $-0.64Q1 2025: $-0.20Q2 2025: $0.15Q3 2025: $0.69Q4 2025: $0.83Q1 2026: $1.12Q2 2026: $5.53Q3 2026: $5.77Forward: $2.20
Q4 2023: $-2.49Q1 2024: $-2.23Q2 2024: $-1.67Q3 2024: $-1.41Q4 2024: $-0.64Q1 2025: $-0.20Q2 2025: $0.15Q3 2025: $0.69Q4 2025: $0.83Q1 2026: $1.12Q2 2026: $5.53Q3 2026: $5.77Forward: $2.20
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.20-62%
Q3 2026$5.77+736%
Q2 2026$5.53+3587%
Q1 2026$1.12+$1.32
Q4 2025$0.83+$1.47
Q3 2025$0.69+$2.10
Q2 2025$0.15+$1.82
Q1 2025-$0.20+$2.03
Q4 2024-$0.64+$1.85

AFRM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $5.77 over the past year, about eight times what it earned the year before, and higher year over year for 12 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

AMD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$15.05+227%
Q3 2026$4.60+127%
Q2 2026$3.89+122%
Q1 2026$3.05+123%
Q4 2025$2.65+165%
Q3 2025$2.03+81%
Q2 2025$1.75+111%
Q1 2025$1.37+99%
Q4 2024$1.00+89%

AMD's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $4.60 over the past year, up 127% from the year before, and higher year over year for 11 quarters in a row.

AFRM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $591MQ1 2024: $576MQ2 2024: $659MQ3 2024: $698MQ4 2024: $866MQ1 2025: $783MQ2 2025: $876MQ3 2025: $933MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $591MQ1 2024: $576MQ2 2024: $659MQ3 2024: $698MQ4 2024: $866MQ1 2025: $783MQ2 2025: $876MQ3 2025: $933MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+35%
Q2 2026$1.2B+33%
Q1 2026$1B+33%
Q4 2025$1.1B+30%
Q3 2025$933.3M+34%
Q2 2025$876.4M+33%
Q1 2025$783.1M+36%
Q4 2024$866.4M+47%

AFRM's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.3B last quarter, up 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$13.4B+45%
Q2 2026$11.5B+50%
Q1 2026$10.3B+38%
Q4 2025$10.3B+34%
Q3 2025$9.2B+36%
Q2 2025$7.7B+32%
Q1 2025$7.4B+36%
Q4 2024$7.7B+24%

AMD has the edge over AFRM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AFRM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $162MQ2 2024: $31MQ3 2024: $153MQ4 2024: $268MQ1 2025: $157MQ2 2025: $24MQ3 2025: $320MQ4 2025: $118MQ1 2026: $325MQ2 2026: $229MQ3 2026: $145M
Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $162MQ2 2024: $31MQ3 2024: $153MQ4 2024: $268MQ1 2025: $157MQ2 2025: $24MQ3 2025: $320MQ4 2025: $118MQ1 2026: $325MQ2 2026: $229MQ3 2026: $145M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$144.6M-55%
Q2 2026$229.3M+875%
Q1 2026$325.1M+107%
Q4 2025$118M-56%
Q3 2025$320.2M+110%
Q2 2025$23.5M-23%
Q1 2025$157.4M-2.7%
Q4 2024$268.1M+654%

AFRM generated $817M in free cash flow over the past year, up 6.2% from the year before.

AMD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$554M-71%
Q2 2026$1.6B-9.9%
Q1 2026$2.6B+253%
Q4 2025$2.4B+118%
Q3 2025$1.9B+283%
Q2 2025$1.7B+294%
Q1 2025$727M+92%
Q4 2024$1.1B+351%

AMD has the edge over AFRM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AFRM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 308MQ1 2024: 313MQ2 2024: 310MQ3 2024: 318MQ4 2024: 345MQ1 2025: 344MQ2 2025: 341MQ3 2025: 348MQ4 2025: 349MQ1 2026: 348MQ2 2026: 349MQ3 2026: 352M
Q4 2023: 308MQ1 2024: 313MQ2 2024: 310MQ3 2024: 318MQ4 2024: 345MQ1 2025: 344MQ2 2025: 341MQ3 2025: 348MQ4 2025: 349MQ1 2026: 348MQ2 2026: 349MQ3 2026: 352M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+2.9M shares
1 year+1%+3.5M shares
3 years+16%+47.9M shares
5 years+29%+80.1M shares
Available history+68%+142M shares

AFRM has the edge over AMD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+2M shares
1 year+1.2%+20M shares
3 years+2%+32M shares
5 years+35%+431M shares
Available history+40%+473M shares

AMD has 1.7B diluted shares, up 1.2% from a year ago.

AFRM Net Leverage

Q1 2025: 755.3xQ2 2025: 45.4xQ3 2025: 17.9xQ4 2025: 15.1xQ1 2026: 11.8xQ2 2026: 11.3xQ3 2026: 9.5x
Q1 2025: 755.3xQ2 2025: 45.4xQ3 2025: 17.9xQ4 2025: 15.1xQ1 2026: 11.8xQ2 2026: 11.3xQ3 2026: 9.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20269.5xHigh
Q2 202611.3xHigh
Q1 202611.8xHigh
Q4 202515.1xHigh
Q3 202517.9xHigh
Q2 202545.4xHigh
Q1 2025755.3xHigh

AFRM's net debt is about 9.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 18 years a year ago.

AMD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2020-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2020-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2019-1.2xNet Cash

AMD has more cash than debt.

AFRM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.8Neutral
Stochastic14.7Oversold

AFRM's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

AMD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.3Neutral
Stochastic41.4Neutral

AMD's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

AFRM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAFRMSector medianRelative
PE11x28x59% below
PE %04040 pts below

AFRM has the edge over AMD on valuation relative to its sector.

AMD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAMDSector medianRelative
PE127x28x357% above
PE %613526 pts above

AMD is trading at 127x earnings, a 357% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AFRM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$71.88.3% below
20 week MA$74.211% below
50 week MA$67.32.2% below
100 week MA$65.80% above
200 week MA$47.439% above

AFRM has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 39% above its 200-week average.

AMD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$557.25.1% above
20 week MA$525.911% above
50 week MA$389.750% above
100 week MA$266.9119% above
200 week MA$199.6193% above

AMD has the edge over AFRM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AFRM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$117.0$101.2-14%
2022$101.2$9.19-91%
2023$9.19$49.1+435%
2024$49.1$64.6+32%
2025$64.6$75.8+17%
2026 YTD$75.8$65.8-13%

AFRM's yearly returns have swung widely, from +435% in 2023 to −91% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

AMD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$46.2$91.8+99%
2021$91.8$146.1+59%
2022$146.1$64.5-56%
2023$64.5$147.4+128%
2024$147.4$125.2-15%
2025$125.2$215.0+72%
2026 YTD$215.0$585.3+172%

AMD has the edge over AFRM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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