AFG
American Financial Group, Inc.
AFG has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
HOOD has the edge over AFG overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
AFG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
AFG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AFG.
HOOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.
AFG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.4x | $90.43 | -44% |
| Fair | 12x | $151 | -5.6% |
| Current | 13x | $160 | — |
| Forward | 13x | $160 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $179 | +12% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AFG's PE is in its expensive range at 13.1x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 13.4x.
HOOD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $81.35 | — |
| Cheap | 37x | $78.84 | -3.1% |
| Current | 38x | $81.35 | — |
| Fair | 51x | $110 | +35% |
| Expensive | 74x | $160 | +96% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOOD has the edge over AFG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
AFG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect AFG's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.
HOOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
HOOD has the edge over AFG on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
AFG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $11.98 | -2.4% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.27 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.45 | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.53 | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.08 | -4.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.52 | -11% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.10 | -14% |
| Q1 2025 | $9.52 | -8.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.57 | +5.2% |
AFG's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $12.27 over the past year, against $27.03 in late 2021.
HOOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | +26% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.16 | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.26 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.06 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.05 | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.40 | +314% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.96 | +513% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.75 | +1150% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +$2.17 |
HOOD has the edge over AFG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AFG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.6B | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | +5.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.9B | -0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.1B | -4% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.3B | -1.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.9B | +1.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | -2.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.1B | +3.2% |
AFG's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $2.6B last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | +2.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 16% | +3.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | +2.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 12% | +1.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 12% | -2.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | -5.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | -1.2 points |
AFG's operating margin was 14% last quarter, up 2.4 points from the same quarter a year ago.
HOOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +100% |
| Q2 2025 | $989M | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $927M | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +115% |
HOOD has the edge over AFG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | -5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 54% | +9.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 52% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 50% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 40% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +49 points |
HOOD has the edge over AFG on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AFG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $405M | +88% |
| Q2 2026 | $92M | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $474M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $784M | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $216M | -53% |
| Q2 2025 | $191M | +$279M |
| Q1 2025 | $342M | +220% |
| Q4 2024 | $674M | -11% |
AFG's free cash flow was $1.8B over the past year, up 23% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like AFG.
HOOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +$2.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $720M | -79% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +217% |
| Q4 2025 | -$937M | +$463M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.6B | -187% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | +6398% |
| Q1 2025 | $642M | +$1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.4B | -246% |
HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.
AFG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -100K shares |
| 1 year | -0.6% | -500K shares |
| 3 years | -2.1% | -1.8M shares |
| 5 years | -2.7% | -2.3M shares |
| Available history | -9.2% | -8.4M shares |
AFG has 83M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $26M |
| Q2 2026 | $26M |
| Q1 2026 | $60M |
| Q4 2025 | $1M |
| Q3 2025 | $1M |
| Q2 2025 | $39M |
| Q1 2025 | $58M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
AFG spent $113M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 15% from the year before.
HOOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | +1.8% | +15.9M shares |
| 5 years | +292% | +679M shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +60.8M shares |
HOOD has the edge over AFG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M |
| Q2 2026 | $414M |
| Q1 2026 | $250M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | $107M |
| Q2 2025 | $124M |
| Q1 2025 | $322M |
| Q4 2024 | $160M |
HOOD spent $789M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
AFG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
AFG's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like AFG.
HOOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
HOOD has the edge over AFG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
AFG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 75.1 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 87.0 | Overbought |
AFG's weekly RSI is 75 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).
HOOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.5 | Oversold |
HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
AFG PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | AFG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 13x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 69 | 63 | 6 pts above |
AFG has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.
HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HOOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38x | 13x | 189% above |
| PE % | 22 | 66 | 44 pts below |
HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
AFG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $148.4 | 8% above |
| 20 week MA | $145.2 | 10% above |
| 50 week MA | $137.3 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $134.1 | 20% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.2 | 24% above |
AFG has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HOOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $97.8 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $102.2 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $95.4 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $88.5 | 8.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.1 | 56% above |
HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.
AFG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $109.2 | $87.6 | -20% |
| 2021 | $87.6 | $135.4 | +55% |
| 2022 | $135.4 | $137.8 | +1.8% |
| 2023 | $137.8 | $118.9 | -14% |
| 2024 | $118.9 | $137.0 | +15% |
| 2025 | $137.0 | $138.2 | +0.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $138.2 | $160.3 | +16% |
AFG has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
HOOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $35.2 | $18.9 | -46% |
| 2022 | $18.9 | $7.95 | -58% |
| 2023 | $7.95 | $12.7 | +60% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $39.0 | +206% |
| 2025 | $39.0 | $118.1 | +203% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.1 | $81.4 | -31% |
HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.