AFG

American Financial Group, Inc.

53
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation40/ 100
Upside potential49/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

AFG's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 13x earnings, in line with its usual 12x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score COIN yet.

AFG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

AFG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AFG.

COIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

COIN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COIN.

AFG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.8x18x26x35x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.8x18x26x35x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.4x$90.43-44%
Fair12x$151-5.6%
Current13x$160โ€”
Forward13x$160โ€”
Expensive15x$179+12%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AFG's PE is in its expensive range at 13.1x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 13.4x.

COIN PE Valuation

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AFG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect AFG's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

COIN has the edge over AFG on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

AFG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+12%$179.34
Downside-12%$140.76

Calculated from the latest close: $160.27 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AFG and COIN's risk to reward.

COIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $130.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AFG and COIN's risk to reward.

AFG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $10.05Q1 2024: $10.45Q2 2024: $10.60Q3 2024: $10.67Q4 2024: $10.57Q1 2025: $9.52Q2 2025: $9.10Q3 2025: $9.52Q4 2025: $10.08Q1 2026: $10.53Q2 2026: $11.45Q3 2026: $12.27Forward: $11.98
Q4 2023: $10.05Q1 2024: $10.45Q2 2024: $10.60Q3 2024: $10.67Q4 2024: $10.57Q1 2025: $9.52Q2 2025: $9.10Q3 2025: $9.52Q4 2025: $10.08Q1 2026: $10.53Q2 2026: $11.45Q3 2026: $12.27Forward: $11.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.98-2.4%
Q3 2026$12.27+29%
Q2 2026$11.45+26%
Q1 2026$10.53+11%
Q4 2025$10.08-4.6%
Q3 2025$9.52-11%
Q2 2025$9.10-14%
Q1 2025$9.52-8.9%
Q4 2024$10.57+5.2%

AFG has the edge over COIN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

COIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.36โ€”
Q3 2026-$2.77-124%
Q2 2026-$3.78-137%
Q1 2026$2.72-49%
Q4 2025$4.45-53%
Q3 2025$11.54+94%
Q2 2025$10.32+82%
Q1 2025$5.32+4.1%
Q4 2024$9.48+2462%

COIN has swung to a loss: it lost $2.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

AFG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+11%
Q2 2026$2B+5.5%
Q1 2026$1.9B-0.1%
Q4 2025$2.1B-4%
Q3 2025$2.3B-1.6%
Q2 2025$1.9B+1.3%
Q1 2025$1.9B-2.6%
Q4 2024$2.1B+3.2%

AFG has the edge over COIN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-35%
Q2 2026$1.2B-19%
Q1 2026$1.4B-31%
Q4 2025$1.8B-22%
Q3 2025$1.9B+55%
Q2 2025$1.5B+3.3%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+138%

COIN's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

AFG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $756MQ1 2024: $107MQ2 2024: โˆ’$88MQ3 2024: $459MQ4 2024: $674MQ1 2025: $342MQ2 2025: $191MQ3 2025: $216MQ4 2025: $784MQ1 2026: $474MQ2 2026: $92MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: $756MQ1 2024: $107MQ2 2024: โˆ’$88MQ3 2024: $459MQ4 2024: $674MQ1 2025: $342MQ2 2025: $191MQ3 2025: $216MQ4 2025: $784MQ1 2026: $474MQ2 2026: $92MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405M+88%
Q2 2026$92M-52%
Q1 2026$474M+39%
Q4 2025$784M+16%
Q3 2025$216M-53%
Q2 2025$191M+$279M
Q1 2025$342M+220%
Q4 2024$674M-11%

AFG has the edge over COIN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: โˆ’$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: โˆ’$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: โˆ’$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: โˆ’$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.5M+$1.2B
Q2 2026$197.3M-40%
Q1 2026$182.7M+$365.5M
Q4 2025$3.1B+218%
Q3 2025-$784.5M-213%
Q2 2025$328.5M-32%
Q1 2025-$182.7M-144%
Q4 2024$964.6M+$969.8M

COIN's free cash flow was $3.9B over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.

AFG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 85MQ1 2024: 84MQ2 2024: 84MQ3 2024: 84MQ4 2024: 84MQ1 2025: 84MQ2 2025: 84MQ3 2025: 83MQ4 2025: 84MQ1 2026: 83MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 83M
Q4 2023: 85MQ1 2024: 84MQ2 2024: 84MQ3 2024: 84MQ4 2024: 84MQ1 2025: 84MQ2 2025: 84MQ3 2025: 83MQ4 2025: 84MQ1 2026: 83MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 83M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-100K shares
1 year-0.6%-500K shares
3 years-2.1%-1.8M shares
5 years-2.7%-2.3M shares
Available history-9.2%-8.4M shares

AFG has 83M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

COIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.3%+24.6M shares
1 year-1.4%-4M shares
3 years+21%+50.7M shares
5 years+15%+37.4M shares
Available history+330%+221M shares

COIN has the edge over AFG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AFG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.4xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.2xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low

AFG's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like AFG.

COIN Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

COIN has the edge over AFG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AFG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI75.1Overbought
Stochastic87.0Overbought

AFG's weekly RSI is 75 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).

COIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic5.0Oversold

COIN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

AFG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricAFGSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.3% above
PE %69636 pts above

AFG is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOINSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AFG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$148.48% above
20 week MA$145.210% above
50 week MA$137.317% above
100 week MA$134.120% above
200 week MA$129.224% above

AFG has the edge over COIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.020% below
20 week MA$165.621% below
50 week MA$184.429% below
100 week MA$232.844% below
200 week MA$190.331% below

COIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

AFG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$109.2$87.6-20%
2021$87.6$135.4+55%
2022$135.4$137.8+1.8%
2023$137.8$118.9-14%
2024$118.9$137.0+15%
2025$137.0$138.2+0.8%
2026 YTD$138.2$160.3+16%

AFG has the edge over COIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

COIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$342.0$268.2-22%
2022$268.2$35.5-87%
2023$35.5$173.9+390%
2024$173.9$265.7+53%
2025$265.7$236.9-11%
2026 YTD$236.9$130.7-45%

COIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +390% in 2023 to โˆ’87% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

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