AFG

American Financial Group, Inc.

53
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation40/ 100
Upside potential49/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

AFG's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 13x earnings, in line with its usual 12x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

CIFR

Cipher Mining Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.

AFG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

AFG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AFG.

CIFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.

AFG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.8x18x26x35x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.8x18x26x35x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.4x$90.43-44%
Fair12x$151-5.6%
Current13x$160โ€”
Forward13x$160โ€”
Expensive15x$179+12%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AFG's PE is in its expensive range at 13.1x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 13.4x.

CIFR PE Valuation

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AFG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect AFG's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

CIFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

CIFR has the edge over AFG on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

AFG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+12%$179.34
Downside-12%$140.76

Calculated from the latest close: $160.27 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AFG and CIFR's risk to reward.

CIFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $7.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AFG and CIFR's risk to reward.

AFG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $10.05Q1 2024: $10.45Q2 2024: $10.60Q3 2024: $10.67Q4 2024: $10.57Q1 2025: $9.52Q2 2025: $9.10Q3 2025: $9.52Q4 2025: $10.08Q1 2026: $10.53Q2 2026: $11.45Q3 2026: $12.27Forward: $11.98
Q4 2023: $10.05Q1 2024: $10.45Q2 2024: $10.60Q3 2024: $10.67Q4 2024: $10.57Q1 2025: $9.52Q2 2025: $9.10Q3 2025: $9.52Q4 2025: $10.08Q1 2026: $10.53Q2 2026: $11.45Q3 2026: $12.27Forward: $11.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.98-2.4%
Q3 2026$12.27+29%
Q2 2026$11.45+26%
Q1 2026$10.53+11%
Q4 2025$10.08-4.6%
Q3 2025$9.52-11%
Q2 2025$9.10-14%
Q1 2025$9.52-8.9%
Q4 2024$10.57+5.2%

AFG has the edge over CIFR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CIFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.06-$2.86
Q2 2026-$2.85-$2.40
Q1 2026-$2.32-$1.94
Q4 2025-$2.15-$2.01
Q3 2025-$0.20-$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.45-850%
Q1 2025-$0.38-733%
Q4 2024-$0.14-$0.04

CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

AFG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+11%
Q2 2026$2B+5.5%
Q1 2026$1.9B-0.1%
Q4 2025$2.1B-4%
Q3 2025$2.3B-1.6%
Q2 2025$1.9B+1.3%
Q1 2025$1.9B-2.6%
Q4 2024$2.1B+3.2%

AFG has the edge over CIFR on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CIFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.7M-63%
Q2 2026$24.8M-43%
Q1 2026$34.8M-29%
Q4 2025$59.7M+41%
Q3 2025$71.7M+198%
Q2 2025$43.6M+18%
Q1 2025$49M+1.7%
Q4 2024$42.2M-2.8%

CIFR's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $27M last quarter, down 63% from the same quarter a year ago.

AFG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $756MQ1 2024: $107MQ2 2024: โˆ’$88MQ3 2024: $459MQ4 2024: $674MQ1 2025: $342MQ2 2025: $191MQ3 2025: $216MQ4 2025: $784MQ1 2026: $474MQ2 2026: $92MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: $756MQ1 2024: $107MQ2 2024: โˆ’$88MQ3 2024: $459MQ4 2024: $674MQ1 2025: $342MQ2 2025: $191MQ3 2025: $216MQ4 2025: $784MQ1 2026: $474MQ2 2026: $92MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405M+88%
Q2 2026$92M-52%
Q1 2026$474M+39%
Q4 2025$784M+16%
Q3 2025$216M-53%
Q2 2025$191M+$279M
Q1 2025$342M+220%
Q4 2024$674M-11%

AFG has the edge over CIFR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CIFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$114MQ1 2024: โˆ’$35MQ2 2024: โˆ’$33MQ3 2024: โˆ’$83MQ4 2024: โˆ’$76MQ1 2025: โˆ’$72MQ2 2025: โˆ’$88MQ3 2025: โˆ’$256MQ4 2025: โˆ’$280MQ1 2026: โˆ’$462MQ2 2026: โˆ’$654MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.7B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$114MQ1 2024: โˆ’$35MQ2 2024: โˆ’$33MQ3 2024: โˆ’$83MQ4 2024: โˆ’$76MQ1 2025: โˆ’$72MQ2 2025: โˆ’$88MQ3 2025: โˆ’$256MQ4 2025: โˆ’$280MQ1 2026: โˆ’$462MQ2 2026: โˆ’$654MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.7B-$1.4B
Q2 2026-$653.8M-$566.3M
Q1 2026-$462.5M-$390.7M
Q4 2025-$280.3M-$204.2M
Q3 2025-$256.2M-$173.1M
Q2 2025-$87.5M-$54.3M
Q1 2025-$71.8M-$37.3M
Q4 2024-$76.1M+$38M

CIFR's free cash flow was โˆ’$3.1B over the past year, against โˆ’$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

AFG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 85MQ1 2024: 84MQ2 2024: 84MQ3 2024: 84MQ4 2024: 84MQ1 2025: 84MQ2 2025: 84MQ3 2025: 83MQ4 2025: 84MQ1 2026: 83MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 83M
Q4 2023: 85MQ1 2024: 84MQ2 2024: 84MQ3 2024: 84MQ4 2024: 84MQ1 2025: 84MQ2 2025: 84MQ3 2025: 83MQ4 2025: 84MQ1 2026: 83MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 83M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-100K shares
1 year-0.6%-500K shares
3 years-2.1%-1.8M shares
5 years-2.7%-2.3M shares
Available history-9.2%-8.4M shares

AFG has the edge over CIFR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+30.3M shares
1 year+12%+46.5M shares
3 years+75%+188M shares
5 years+102%+222M shares

CIFR has 440M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago, despite $151M in buybacks over the past year.

AFG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.4xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.2xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low

AFG's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like AFG.

CIFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025125.4xHigh
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.1xNet Cash

CIFR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

AFG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI75.1Overbought
Stochastic87.0Overbought

AFG's weekly RSI is 75 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).

CIFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

AFG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricAFGSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.3% above
PE %69636 pts above

AFG is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIFRSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AFG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$148.48% above
20 week MA$145.210% above
50 week MA$137.317% above
100 week MA$134.120% above
200 week MA$129.224% above

AFG has the edge over CIFR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CIFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.633% below
20 week MA$15.554% below
50 week MA$17.058% below
100 week MA$12.241% below
200 week MA$7.869% below

CIFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 200-week average.

AFG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$109.2$87.6-20%
2021$87.6$135.4+55%
2022$135.4$137.8+1.8%
2023$137.8$118.9-14%
2024$118.9$137.0+15%
2025$137.0$138.2+0.8%
2026 YTD$138.2$160.3+16%

AFG has the edge over CIFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CIFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.92$9.95+0.3%
2021$9.95$5.21-48%
2022$5.21$0.54-90%
2023$0.54$4.13+665%
2024$4.13$4.86+18%
2025$4.86$15.2+213%
2026 YTD$15.2$7.15-53%

CIFR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +665% in 2023 to โˆ’90% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

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