AFG
American Financial Group, Inc.
AFG has a slight edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
BLK
BlackRock, Inc.
BLK offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
AFG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
AFG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AFG.
BLK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.
AFG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.4x | $90.43 | -44% |
| Fair | 12x | $151 | -5.6% |
| Current | 13x | $160 | — |
| Forward | 13x | $160 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $179 | +12% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AFG's PE is in its expensive range at 13.1x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 13.4x.
BLK PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 19x | $848 | -30% |
| Fair | 22x | $973 | -20% |
| Expensive | 26x | $1,149 | -5.5% |
| Current | 28x | $1,217 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BLK has the edge over AFG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
AFG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect AFG's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.
BLK Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.
AFG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $11.98 | -2.4% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.27 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.45 | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.53 | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.08 | -4.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.52 | -11% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.10 | -14% |
| Q1 2025 | $9.52 | -8.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.57 | +5.2% |
AFG's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $12.27 over the past year, against $27.03 in late 2021.
BLK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $43.87 | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $41.73 | -0.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $39.73 | -4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $35.31 | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $39.42 | -2.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $41.89 | +4% |
| Q1 2025 | $41.69 | +5.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.53 | +16% |
BLK has the edge over AFG on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
AFG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.6B | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | +5.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.9B | -0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.1B | -4% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.3B | -1.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.9B | +1.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | -2.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.1B | +3.2% |
AFG's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $2.6B last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | +2.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 16% | +3.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | +2.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 12% | +1.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 12% | -2.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | -5.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | -1.2 points |
AFG's operating margin was 14% last quarter, up 2.4 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BLK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $7.8B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.1B | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.7B | +27% |
| Q4 2025 | $7B | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.5B | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.4B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.3B | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.7B | +23% |
BLK has the edge over AFG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 30% | 0 points |
| Q2 2026 | 35% | +2.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 42% | +9.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 24% | -13 points |
| Q3 2025 | 30% | -8.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 32% | -5.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 32% | -3.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 37% | +2.3 points |
BLK has the edge over AFG on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AFG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $405M | +88% |
| Q2 2026 | $92M | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $474M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $784M | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $216M | -53% |
| Q2 2025 | $191M | +$279M |
| Q1 2025 | $342M | +220% |
| Q4 2024 | $674M | -11% |
AFG's free cash flow was $1.8B over the past year, up 23% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like AFG.
BLK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.6B | +95% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | +$120M |
| Q4 2025 | $2.1B | -15% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | -6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.2B | -$734M |
| Q4 2024 | $2.5B | +35% |
| Q2 2024 | $1.4B | +47% |
BLK's free cash flow was $4.8B over the past year, up 22% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.
AFG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -100K shares |
| 1 year | -0.6% | -500K shares |
| 3 years | -2.1% | -1.8M shares |
| 5 years | -2.7% | -2.3M shares |
| Available history | -9.2% | -8.4M shares |
AFG has the edge over BLK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $26M |
| Q2 2026 | $26M |
| Q1 2026 | $60M |
| Q4 2025 | $1M |
| Q3 2025 | $1M |
| Q2 2025 | $39M |
| Q1 2025 | $58M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
AFG spent $113M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 15% from the year before.
BLK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -148K shares |
| 1 year | -0.4% | -677K shares |
| 3 years | +9.3% | +14M shares |
| 5 years | +6.2% | +9.6M shares |
| Available history | +4.4% | +7M shares |
BLK has 165M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2025 | $396M |
| Q1 2025 | $657M |
| Q4 2024 | $386M |
| Q2 2024 | $519M |
| Q1 2024 | $634M |
| Q4 2023 | $384M |
| Q3 2023 | $396M |
| Q2 2023 | $383M |
AFG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
AFG's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like AFG.
BLK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2024 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
BLK has the edge over AFG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
AFG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 75.1 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 87.0 | Overbought |
AFG's weekly RSI is 75 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).
BLK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 64.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 79.0 | Neutral |
BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).
AFG PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | AFG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 13x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 69 | 63 | 6 pts above |
AFG has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.
BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | BLK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 113% above |
| PE % | 97 | 63 | 34 pts above |
BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
AFG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $148.4 | 8% above |
| 20 week MA | $145.2 | 10% above |
| 50 week MA | $137.3 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $134.1 | 20% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.2 | 24% above |
AFG is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 24% above its 200-week average.
BLK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1,128.0 | 7.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $1,108.9 | 9.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $1,071.6 | 14% above |
| 100 week MA | $1,051.1 | 16% above |
| 200 week MA | $914.1 | 33% above |
BLK is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% above its 200-week average.
AFG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $109.2 | $87.6 | -20% |
| 2021 | $87.6 | $135.4 | +55% |
| 2022 | $135.4 | $137.8 | +1.8% |
| 2023 | $137.8 | $118.9 | -14% |
| 2024 | $118.9 | $137.0 | +15% |
| 2025 | $137.0 | $138.2 | +0.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $138.2 | $160.3 | +16% |
AFG has the edge over BLK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
BLK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $503.0 | $707.2 | +41% |
| 2021 | $707.2 | $913.9 | +29% |
| 2022 | $913.9 | $703.9 | -23% |
| 2023 | $703.9 | $811.8 | +15% |
| 2024 | $811.8 | $1,044.2 | +29% |
| 2025 | $1,044.2 | $1,088.1 | +4.2% |
| 2026 YTD | $1,088.1 | $1,216.6 | +12% |
BLK has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 12% so far in 2026.