AFCG

Advanced Flower Capital Inc.

71
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation90/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

AFCG's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks cheap: trading at 3.2x earnings, less than half its usual 8.0x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

AFCG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

AFCG's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for real estate companies like AFCG.

AFCG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.3x15x22x29x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.3x15x22x29x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current3.2x$3.34—
Forward4.7x$3.34—
Cheap6.7x$7.02+110%
Fair8x$8.34+150%
Expensive18x$18.71+460%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AFCG's PE is in its cheap range at 3.2x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 4.7x.

AFCG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AFCG, with profitability improving.

AFCG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$4.97
Downside-32%$2.26

Calculated from the latest close: $3.34 on Nov 12.

AFCG's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +49% against −32%.

AFCG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.02Q1 2024: $0.52Q2 2024: $0.73Q3 2024: $0.40Q4 2024: $0.78Q1 2025: $0.97Q2 2025: $-0.43Q3 2025: $-1.06Q4 2025: $-0.95Q1 2026: $-0.64Q2 2026: $0.19Q3 2026: $1.04Forward: $0.72
Q4 2023: $1.02Q1 2024: $0.52Q2 2024: $0.73Q3 2024: $0.40Q4 2024: $0.78Q1 2025: $0.97Q2 2025: $-0.43Q3 2025: $-1.06Q4 2025: $-0.95Q1 2026: $-0.64Q2 2026: $0.19Q3 2026: $1.04Forward: $0.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.72-31%
Q3 2026$1.04+$2.10
Q2 2026$0.19+$0.62
Q1 2026-$0.64-166%
Q4 2025-$0.95-222%
Q3 2025-$1.06-365%
Q2 2025-$0.43-159%
Q1 2025$0.97+87%
Q4 2024$0.78-24%

AFCG has returned to profit: it earned $1.04 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

AFCG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $16MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: $16MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2025$5.2M-32%
Q3 2025$6.5M-26%
Q2 2025$6.2M-66%
Q1 2025$6.6M-55%
Q4 2024$7.6M-52%
Q3 2024$8.9M-42%
Q2 2024$18.4M+14%
Q1 2024$14.8M-12%

AFCG's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $5M last quarter, down 32% from the same quarter a year ago.

AFCG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: −$560,882Q1 2026: −$31MQ2 2026: −$6MQ3 2026: $8M
Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: −$560,882Q1 2026: −$31MQ2 2026: −$6MQ3 2026: $8M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8M+30%
Q2 2026-$6.2M-452%
Q1 2026-$30.8M-887%
Q4 2025-$560.9K-125%
Q3 2025$6.1M+131%
Q2 2025$1.8M-83%
Q1 2025$3.9M-38%
Q4 2024$2.2M-64%

AFCG's free cash flow was −$30M over the past year, against $14M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for real estate companies like AFCG.

AFCG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 22MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
Q4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 22MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.7%-616K shares
1 year+1.9%+423K shares
3 years+11%+2.2M shares
5 years+64%+8.8M shares

AFCG has 23M diluted shares, up 1.9% from a year ago.

AFCG Net Leverage

AFCG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.9Neutral
Stochastic51.2Neutral

AFCG's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 51 (neutral).

AFCG PE vs Real Estate Sector

MetricAFCGSector medianRelative
PE3.2x24x87% below
PE %12322 pts below

AFCG is trading at 3.2x earnings, a 87% discount to the Real Estate sector's median of 24x.

AFCG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.214% above
20 week MA$3.165.7% above
50 week MA$2.9812% above
100 week MA$4.2221% below
200 week MA$6.5149% below

AFCG has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 49% below its 200-week average.

AFCG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$15.7$14.8-6%
2022$14.8$11.3-24%
2023$11.3$8.23-27%
2024$8.23$8.69+5.6%
2025$8.69$3.10-64%
2026 YTD$3.10$3.34+7.7%

AFCG has finished lower in four of the last five years. It's up 7.7% so far in 2026.

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