AESI

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.

48
Fundamentals24/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential44/ 100

AESI lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect losses to shrink, though they disagree widely on how much.

AESI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Weak
Strong

AESI's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are weak.

AESI PE Valuation

AESI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AESI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AESI's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AESI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$9.85
Downside-44%$3.10

Calculated from the latest close: $5.50 on Nov 12.

AESI's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +79% against −44%.

AESI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $0.55Q1 2025: $0.30Q2 2025: $0.13Q3 2025: $-0.10Q4 2025: $-0.41Q1 2026: $-0.80Q2 2026: $-0.96Q3 2026: $-1.13
Q4 2024: $0.55Q1 2025: $0.30Q2 2025: $0.13Q3 2025: $-0.10Q4 2025: $-0.41Q1 2026: $-0.80Q2 2026: $-0.96Q3 2026: $-1.13
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.13-$1.03
Q2 2026-$0.96-838%
Q1 2026-$0.80-367%
Q4 2025-$0.41-175%
Q4 2022$2.18+$2.21
Q3 2022$1.49+$1.49

AESI lost $1.13 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last eight quarters.

AESI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $141MQ1 2024: $193MQ2 2024: $288MQ3 2024: $304MQ4 2024: $271MQ1 2025: $298MQ2 2025: $289MQ3 2025: $260MQ4 2025: $249MQ1 2026: $266MQ2 2026: $293MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $141MQ1 2024: $193MQ2 2024: $288MQ3 2024: $304MQ4 2024: $271MQ1 2025: $298MQ2 2025: $289MQ3 2025: $260MQ4 2025: $249MQ1 2026: $266MQ2 2026: $293MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+3.1%
Q2 2026$293.2M+1.6%
Q1 2026$265.6M-11%
Q4 2025$249.4M-8.1%
Q3 2025$259.6M-15%
Q2 2025$288.7M+0.4%
Q1 2025$297.6M+54%
Q4 2024$271.3M+92%

AESI's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $268M last quarter, up 3.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

AESI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$34MQ1 2024: −$56MQ2 2024: −$55MQ3 2024: −$1MQ4 2024: −$6MQ1 2025: −$60MQ2 2025: $48MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: −$18MQ1 2026: −$10MQ2 2026: −$154MQ3 2026: −$161M
Q4 2023: −$34MQ1 2024: −$56MQ2 2024: −$55MQ3 2024: −$1MQ4 2024: −$6MQ1 2025: −$60MQ2 2025: $48MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: −$18MQ1 2026: −$10MQ2 2026: −$154MQ3 2026: −$161M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$161.3M-$159.9M
Q2 2026-$154.4M-419%
Q1 2026-$10.3M+$49.6M
Q4 2025-$18.1M-$12.5M
Q3 2025-$1.4M-$272K
Q2 2025$48.4M+$103.3M
Q1 2025-$59.8M-$3.9M
Q4 2024-$5.6M+$28.7M

AESI has burned cash in seven of the last eight quarters: −$344M over the past year, against −$18M the year before.

AESI Total Shares

Q1 2024: 104MQ2 2024: 112MQ3 2024: 111MQ4 2024: 109MQ1 2025: 120MQ2 2025: 124MQ3 2025: 124MQ4 2025: 122MQ1 2026: 125MQ2 2026: 125MQ3 2026: 125M
Q1 2024: 104MQ2 2024: 112MQ3 2024: 111MQ4 2024: 109MQ1 2025: 120MQ2 2025: 124MQ3 2025: 124MQ4 2025: 122MQ1 2026: 125MQ2 2026: 125MQ3 2026: 125M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+68K shares
1 year+1%+1.3M shares
3 years+25%+25M shares
5 years-72%-319M shares

AESI has 125M diluted shares, up 1% from a year ago.

AESI Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2023-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2023-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 20220.3xVery low
Q3 20220.3xVery low
Q2 20220.7xVery low
Q1 20221.3xHealthy
Q4 20211.9xHealthy
Q3 20212.3xModerate

AESI has more cash than debt.

AESI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI27.2Oversold
Stochastic6.5Oversold

AESI's weekly RSI is 27 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

AESI PE vs Energy Sector

MetricAESISector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

AESI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AESI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.4342% below
20 week MA$11.652% below
50 week MA$12.656% below
100 week MA$13.760% below

AESI is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 60% below its 100-week average.

AESI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$16.5$17.2+4.4%
2024$17.2$22.0+28%
2025$22.0$9.42-57%
2026 YTD$9.42$5.50-42%

AESI is down 42% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in two of the previous three years.

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