AENT

Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation

44
Fundamentals35/ 100
Valuation49/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

AENT trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

TMUS

T-Mobile US, Inc.

69
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation82/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

TMUS has the edge over AENT overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

AENT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

AENT's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

TMUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

TMUS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

AENT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x44x59x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x44x59x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap13x$4.13-21%
Current17x$5.20—
Fair19x$6.03+16%
Expensive30x$9.28+78%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AENT's PE is in its cheap range at 17x.

TMUS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$171—
Current16x$171—
Cheap21x$218+27%
Fair26x$274+60%
Expensive56x$581+240%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TMUS has the edge over AENT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AENT Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for AENT to show an outlook.

TMUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TMUS, with profitability improving.

AENT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+64%$8.51
Downside-49%$2.65

Calculated from the latest close: $5.20 on Nov 12.

AENT trails TMUS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TMUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$240.82
Downside-9%$155.85

Calculated from the latest close: $171.03 on Nov 12.

TMUS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AENT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AENT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.15Q1 2024: $-0.06Q2 2024: $0.09Q3 2024: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.13Q1 2025: $0.24Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.39Q4 2025: $0.43Q1 2026: $0.44Q2 2026: $0.26Q3 2026: $0.31
Q4 2023: $-0.15Q1 2024: $-0.06Q2 2024: $0.09Q3 2024: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.13Q1 2025: $0.24Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.39Q4 2025: $0.43Q1 2026: $0.44Q2 2026: $0.26Q3 2026: $0.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.31-21%
Q2 2026$0.26-13%
Q1 2026$0.44+83%
Q4 2025$0.43+231%
Q3 2025$0.39+129%
Q2 2025$0.30+233%
Q1 2025$0.24+$0.30
Q4 2024$0.13+$0.28

AENT has the edge over TMUS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TMUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.49+30%
Q3 2026$10.37-0.2%
Q2 2026$9.56-9.7%
Q1 2026$9.41-8.1%
Q4 2025$9.72+0.6%
Q3 2025$10.39+18%
Q2 2025$10.59+33%
Q1 2025$10.24+39%
Q4 2024$9.66+39%

TMUS earned $10.37 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

AENT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $426MQ1 2024: $211MQ2 2024: $237MQ3 2024: $229MQ4 2024: $394MQ1 2025: $213MQ2 2025: $228MQ3 2025: $254MQ4 2025: $369MQ1 2026: $258MQ2 2026: $500,000Q3 2026: $279M
Q4 2023: $426MQ1 2024: $211MQ2 2024: $237MQ3 2024: $229MQ4 2024: $394MQ1 2025: $213MQ2 2025: $228MQ3 2025: $254MQ4 2025: $369MQ1 2026: $258MQ2 2026: $500,000Q3 2026: $279M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$278.8M+9.8%
Q2 2026$500K-100%
Q1 2026$258.2M+21%
Q4 2025$368.7M-6.3%
Q3 2025$254M+11%
Q2 2025$227.8M-3.9%
Q1 2025$213M+0.9%
Q4 2024$393.7M-7.5%

AENT's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $279M last quarter, up 9.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

TMUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$23.6B+7.4%
Q2 2026$22.8B+7.9%
Q1 2026$23.1B+11%
Q4 2025$24.3B+11%
Q3 2025$22B+8.9%
Q2 2025$21.1B+6.9%
Q1 2025$20.9B+6.6%
Q4 2024$21.9B+6.8%

TMUS has the edge over AENT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AENT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $21MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: −$12MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $11MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: −$17MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: −$9MQ3 2026: $4M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $21MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: −$12MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $11MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: −$17MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: −$9MQ3 2026: $4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.1M+72%
Q2 2026-$9.1M-185%
Q1 2026$20.9M+762%
Q4 2025-$16.9M-167%
Q3 2025$2.4M+$14M
Q2 2025$10.7M+30%
Q1 2025$2.4M-89%
Q3 2024-$11.6M-$8.9M

AENT's free cash flow was −$1M over the past year, against $41M the year before.

TMUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+5.3%
Q2 2026$4.8B+4.4%
Q1 2026$4.6B+4.6%
Q4 2025$4.2B+25%
Q3 2025$4.8B+15%
Q2 2025$4.6B+32%
Q1 2025$4.4B+79%
Q4 2024$3.3B+2%

TMUS has the edge over AENT on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AENT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 51MQ2 2024: 51MQ3 2024: 51MQ4 2024: 51MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 51MQ4 2025: 51MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
Q4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 51MQ2 2024: 51MQ3 2024: 51MQ4 2024: 51MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 51MQ4 2025: 51MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+30.4K shares
1 year+0.2%+86K shares
3 years+1.1%+580K shares

AENT has 51M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

TMUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-10.8M shares
1 year-4.9%-55M shares
3 years-8.8%-103M shares
5 years-15%-182M shares
Available history+24%+207M shares

TMUS has the edge over AENT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AENT Net Leverage

Q1 2024: 4.8xQ2 2024: 8.9xQ3 2024: 8.7xQ4 2024: 7.4xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 4.5x
Q1 2024: 4.8xQ2 2024: 8.9xQ3 2024: 8.7xQ4 2024: 7.4xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 4.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.5xHigh
Q2 20262.4xModerate
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20251.6xHealthy
Q1 20252.7xModerate
Q4 20247.4xHigh

AENT's net debt is about 4.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.3 years a year ago.

TMUS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20242.4xModerate

TMUS has the edge over AENT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AENT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.3Neutral
Stochastic14.9Oversold

AENT's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

TMUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.9Neutral
Stochastic42.1Neutral

TMUS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

AENT PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricAENTSector medianRelative
PE17x16x1.7% above
PE %32293 pts above

AENT is trading at 17x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

TMUS PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTMUSSector medianRelative
PE16x16xSame PE
PE %12625 pts below

TMUS has the edge over AENT on valuation relative to its sector.

AENT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.6512% above
20 week MA$5.261.1% below
50 week MA$6.1215% below
100 week MA$5.597% below
200 week MA$4.1725% above

AENT has the edge over TMUS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TMUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$159.17.5% above
20 week MA$172.00.5% below
50 week MA$187.88.9% below
100 week MA$212.920% below
200 week MA$188.79.4% below

TMUS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 9.4% below its 200-week average.

AENT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$9.65$9.79+1.5%
2022$9.79$10.1+3.6%
2023$10.1$0.93-91%
2024$0.93$8.75+841%
2025$8.75$7.73-12%
2026 YTD$7.73$5.20-33%

AENT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +841% in 2024 to −91% in 2023. It's down 33% so far in 2026.

TMUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$77.2$132.9+72%
2021$132.9$119.9-9.8%
2022$119.9$140.0+17%
2023$140.0$160.3+15%
2024$160.3$223.0+39%
2025$223.0$201.0-9.9%
2026 YTD$201.0$171.0-15%

TMUS has the edge over AENT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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