AENT

Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation

44
Fundamentals35/ 100
Valuation49/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

AENT trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NFLX

Netflix, Inc.

79
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NFLX has the edge over AENT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

AENT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

AENT's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

NFLX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AENT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x44x59x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x44x59x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap13x$4.13-21%
Current17x$5.20—
Fair19x$6.03+16%
Expensive30x$9.28+78%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AENT's PE is in its cheap range at 17x.

NFLX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$62.69—
Current18x$62.69—
Cheap27x$94.95+51%
Fair47x$161+157%
Expensive81x$281+348%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NFLX has the edge over AENT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AENT Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for AENT to show an outlook.

NFLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NFLX, with profitability improving.

AENT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+64%$8.51
Downside-49%$2.65

Calculated from the latest close: $5.20 on Nov 12.

AENT trails NFLX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NFLX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$98.20
Downside-9%$56.77

Calculated from the latest close: $62.69 on Nov 12.

NFLX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AENT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AENT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.15Q1 2024: $-0.06Q2 2024: $0.09Q3 2024: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.13Q1 2025: $0.24Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.39Q4 2025: $0.43Q1 2026: $0.44Q2 2026: $0.26Q3 2026: $0.31
Q4 2023: $-0.15Q1 2024: $-0.06Q2 2024: $0.09Q3 2024: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.13Q1 2025: $0.24Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.39Q4 2025: $0.43Q1 2026: $0.44Q2 2026: $0.26Q3 2026: $0.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.31-21%
Q2 2026$0.26-13%
Q1 2026$0.44+83%
Q4 2025$0.43+231%
Q3 2025$0.39+129%
Q2 2025$0.30+233%
Q1 2025$0.24+$0.30
Q4 2024$0.13+$0.28

AENT earned $0.31 per share over the past year, down 21% from the year before.

NFLX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.58+3.5%
Q3 2026$3.46+45%
Q2 2026$3.18+35%
Q1 2026$3.10+46%
Q4 2025$2.53+28%
Q3 2025$2.39+35%
Q2 2025$2.35+47%
Q1 2025$2.12+47%
Q4 2024$1.98+65%

NFLX has the edge over AENT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AENT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $426MQ1 2024: $211MQ2 2024: $237MQ3 2024: $229MQ4 2024: $394MQ1 2025: $213MQ2 2025: $228MQ3 2025: $254MQ4 2025: $369MQ1 2026: $258MQ2 2026: $500,000Q3 2026: $279M
Q4 2023: $426MQ1 2024: $211MQ2 2024: $237MQ3 2024: $229MQ4 2024: $394MQ1 2025: $213MQ2 2025: $228MQ3 2025: $254MQ4 2025: $369MQ1 2026: $258MQ2 2026: $500,000Q3 2026: $279M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$278.8M+9.8%
Q2 2026$500K-100%
Q1 2026$258.2M+21%
Q4 2025$368.7M-6.3%
Q3 2025$254M+11%
Q2 2025$227.8M-3.9%
Q1 2025$213M+0.9%
Q4 2024$393.7M-7.5%

AENT's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $279M last quarter, up 9.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

NFLX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.9B+12%
Q2 2026$12.6B+13%
Q1 2026$12.2B+16%
Q4 2025$12.1B+18%
Q3 2025$11.5B+17%
Q2 2025$11.1B+16%
Q1 2025$10.5B+13%
Q4 2024$10.2B+16%

NFLX has the edge over AENT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AENT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $21MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: −$12MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $11MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: −$17MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: −$9MQ3 2026: $4M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $21MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: −$12MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $11MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: −$17MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: −$9MQ3 2026: $4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.1M+72%
Q2 2026-$9.1M-185%
Q1 2026$20.9M+762%
Q4 2025-$16.9M-167%
Q3 2025$2.4M+$14M
Q2 2025$10.7M+30%
Q1 2025$2.4M-89%
Q3 2024-$11.6M-$8.9M

AENT's free cash flow was −$1M over the past year, against $41M the year before.

NFLX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B+8.4%
Q2 2026$1.5B-33%
Q1 2026$5.1B+91%
Q4 2025$1.9B+36%
Q3 2025$2.7B+21%
Q2 2025$2.3B+87%
Q1 2025$2.7B+25%
Q4 2024$1.4B-13%

NFLX has the edge over AENT on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AENT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 51MQ2 2024: 51MQ3 2024: 51MQ4 2024: 51MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 51MQ4 2025: 51MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
Q4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 51MQ2 2024: 51MQ3 2024: 51MQ4 2024: 51MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 51MQ4 2025: 51MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+30.4K shares
1 year+0.2%+86K shares
3 years+1.1%+580K shares

AENT has 51M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

NFLX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-66.2M shares
1 year-3.3%-145M shares
3 years-6.8%-305M shares
5 years-7.8%-354M shares
Available history-7.1%-323M shares

NFLX has the edge over AENT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AENT Net Leverage

Q1 2024: 4.8xQ2 2024: 8.9xQ3 2024: 8.7xQ4 2024: 7.4xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 4.5x
Q1 2024: 4.8xQ2 2024: 8.9xQ3 2024: 8.7xQ4 2024: 7.4xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 4.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.5xHigh
Q2 20262.4xModerate
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20251.6xHealthy
Q1 20252.7xModerate
Q4 20247.4xHigh

AENT's net debt is about 4.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.3 years a year ago.

NFLX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

NFLX has the edge over AENT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AENT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.3Neutral
Stochastic14.9Oversold

AENT's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

NFLX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

AENT PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricAENTSector medianRelative
PE17x16x1.7% above
PE %32293 pts above

AENT has the edge over NFLX on valuation relative to its sector.

NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNFLXSector medianRelative
PE18x16x9.8% above
PE %42622 pts below

NFLX is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

AENT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.6512% above
20 week MA$5.261.1% below
50 week MA$6.1215% below
100 week MA$5.597% below
200 week MA$4.1725% above

AENT has the edge over NFLX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NFLX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.65.9% below
20 week MA$71.813% below
50 week MA$82.424% below
100 week MA$96.035% below
200 week MA$74.416% below

NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

AENT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$9.65$9.79+1.5%
2022$9.79$10.1+3.6%
2023$10.1$0.93-91%
2024$0.93$8.75+841%
2025$8.75$7.73-12%
2026 YTD$7.73$5.20-33%

AENT has the edge over NFLX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NFLX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.9$51.4+56%
2021$51.4$61.4+19%
2022$61.4$29.5-52%
2023$29.5$48.7+65%
2024$48.7$90.8+86%
2025$90.8$94.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$94.5$62.7-34%

NFLX is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

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