AENT

Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation

44
Fundamentals35/ 100
Valuation49/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

AENT trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

META

Meta Platforms, Inc.

65
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

META has the edge over AENT overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

AENT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

AENT's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

META Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

META's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

AENT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x44x59x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x44x59x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap13x$4.13-21%
Current17x$5.20—
Fair19x$6.03+16%
Expensive30x$9.28+78%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AENT has the edge over META in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

META PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$624—
Cheap21x$613-1.7%
Current21x$624—
Fair27x$803+29%
Expensive32x$934+50%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

META's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

AENT Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for AENT to show an outlook.

META Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for META, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AENT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+64%$8.51
Downside-49%$2.65

Calculated from the latest close: $5.20 on Nov 12.

AENT trails META on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

META Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$829.21
Downside-18%$513.25

Calculated from the latest close: $623.61 on Nov 12.

META has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AENT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AENT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.15Q1 2024: $-0.06Q2 2024: $0.09Q3 2024: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.13Q1 2025: $0.24Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.39Q4 2025: $0.43Q1 2026: $0.44Q2 2026: $0.26Q3 2026: $0.31
Q4 2023: $-0.15Q1 2024: $-0.06Q2 2024: $0.09Q3 2024: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.13Q1 2025: $0.24Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.39Q4 2025: $0.43Q1 2026: $0.44Q2 2026: $0.26Q3 2026: $0.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.31-21%
Q2 2026$0.26-13%
Q1 2026$0.44+83%
Q4 2025$0.43+231%
Q3 2025$0.39+129%
Q2 2025$0.30+233%
Q1 2025$0.24+$0.30
Q4 2024$0.13+$0.28

AENT earned $0.31 per share over the past year, down 21% from the year before.

META Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $14.87Q1 2024: $17.38Q2 2024: $19.56Q3 2024: $21.20Q4 2024: $23.86Q1 2025: $25.58Q2 2025: $27.56Q3 2025: $22.58Q4 2025: $23.49Q1 2026: $27.50Q2 2026: $26.54Q3 2026: $29.32Forward: $32.16
Q4 2023: $14.87Q1 2024: $17.38Q2 2024: $19.56Q3 2024: $21.20Q4 2024: $23.86Q1 2025: $25.58Q2 2025: $27.56Q3 2025: $22.58Q4 2025: $23.49Q1 2026: $27.50Q2 2026: $26.54Q3 2026: $29.32Forward: $32.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$32.16+9.7%
Q3 2026$29.32+30%
Q2 2026$26.54-3.7%
Q1 2026$27.50+7.5%
Q4 2025$23.49-1.6%
Q3 2025$22.58+6.5%
Q2 2025$27.56+41%
Q1 2025$25.58+47%
Q4 2024$23.86+60%

META earned $29.32 per share over the past year, up 30% from the year before.

AENT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $426MQ1 2024: $211MQ2 2024: $237MQ3 2024: $229MQ4 2024: $394MQ1 2025: $213MQ2 2025: $228MQ3 2025: $254MQ4 2025: $369MQ1 2026: $258MQ2 2026: $500,000Q3 2026: $279M
Q4 2023: $426MQ1 2024: $211MQ2 2024: $237MQ3 2024: $229MQ4 2024: $394MQ1 2025: $213MQ2 2025: $228MQ3 2025: $254MQ4 2025: $369MQ1 2026: $258MQ2 2026: $500,000Q3 2026: $279M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$278.8M+9.8%
Q2 2026$500K-100%
Q1 2026$258.2M+21%
Q4 2025$368.7M-6.3%
Q3 2025$254M+11%
Q2 2025$227.8M-3.9%
Q1 2025$213M+0.9%
Q4 2024$393.7M-7.5%

AENT's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $279M last quarter, up 9.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

META Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $40.1BQ1 2024: $36.5BQ2 2024: $39.1BQ3 2024: $40.6BQ4 2024: $48.4BQ1 2025: $42.3BQ2 2025: $47.5BQ3 2025: $51.2BQ4 2025: $59.9BQ1 2026: $56.3BQ2 2026: $60.8BQ3 2026: $64.6B
Q4 2023: $40.1BQ1 2024: $36.5BQ2 2024: $39.1BQ3 2024: $40.6BQ4 2024: $48.4BQ1 2025: $42.3BQ2 2025: $47.5BQ3 2025: $51.2BQ4 2025: $59.9BQ1 2026: $56.3BQ2 2026: $60.8BQ3 2026: $64.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$64.6B+26%
Q2 2026$60.8B+28%
Q1 2026$56.3B+33%
Q4 2025$59.9B+24%
Q3 2025$51.2B+26%
Q2 2025$47.5B+22%
Q1 2025$42.3B+16%
Q4 2024$48.4B+21%

META has the edge over AENT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AENT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $21MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: −$12MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $11MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: −$17MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: −$9MQ3 2026: $4M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $21MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: −$12MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $11MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: −$17MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: −$9MQ3 2026: $4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.1M+72%
Q2 2026-$9.1M-185%
Q1 2026$20.9M+762%
Q4 2025-$16.9M-167%
Q3 2025$2.4M+$14M
Q2 2025$10.7M+30%
Q1 2025$2.4M-89%
Q3 2024-$11.6M-$8.9M

AENT's free cash flow was −$1M over the past year, against $41M the year before.

META Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $11.7BQ1 2024: $12.8BQ2 2024: $11.2BQ3 2024: $16.5BQ4 2024: $13.6BQ1 2025: $11.1BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.2BQ4 2025: $14.8BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $11.7BQ1 2024: $12.8BQ2 2024: $11.2BQ3 2024: $16.5BQ4 2024: $13.6BQ1 2025: $11.1BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.2BQ4 2025: $14.8BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-110%
Q2 2026$1.7B-81%
Q1 2026$13.2B+19%
Q4 2025$14.8B+9.3%
Q3 2025$11.2B-32%
Q2 2025$9B-19%
Q1 2025$11.1B-14%
Q4 2024$13.6B+16%

META has the edge over AENT on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AENT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 51MQ2 2024: 51MQ3 2024: 51MQ4 2024: 51MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 51MQ4 2025: 51MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
Q4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 51MQ2 2024: 51MQ3 2024: 51MQ4 2024: 51MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 51MQ4 2025: 51MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+30.4K shares
1 year+0.2%+86K shares
3 years+1.1%+580K shares

AENT has 51M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

META Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.6BQ1 2024: 2.6BQ2 2024: 2.6BQ3 2024: 2.6BQ4 2024: 2.6BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
Q4 2023: 2.6BQ1 2024: 2.6BQ2 2024: 2.6BQ3 2024: 2.6BQ4 2024: 2.6BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+7M shares
1 year0%+1M shares
3 years-2.6%-68M shares
5 years-10%-286M shares
Available history-11%-303M shares

META has the edge over AENT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AENT Net Leverage

Q1 2024: 4.8xQ2 2024: 8.9xQ3 2024: 8.7xQ4 2024: 7.4xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 4.5x
Q1 2024: 4.8xQ2 2024: 8.9xQ3 2024: 8.7xQ4 2024: 7.4xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 4.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.5xHigh
Q2 20262.4xModerate
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20251.6xHealthy
Q1 20252.7xModerate
Q4 20247.4xHigh

AENT's net debt is about 4.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.3 years a year ago.

META Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

META has the edge over AENT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AENT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.3Neutral
Stochastic14.9Oversold

AENT's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

META Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.2Neutral
Stochastic33.7Neutral

META's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

AENT PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricAENTSector medianRelative
PE17x16x1.7% above
PE %32293 pts above

AENT has the edge over META on valuation relative to its sector.

META PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricMETASector medianRelative
PE21x16x29% above
PE %18268 pts below

META is trading at 21x earnings, a 29% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

AENT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.6512% above
20 week MA$5.261.1% below
50 week MA$6.1215% below
100 week MA$5.597% below
200 week MA$4.1725% above

AENT has the edge over META on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

META Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$674.97.6% below
20 week MA$634.51.7% below
50 week MA$630.81.1% below
100 week MA$647.83.7% below
200 week MA$517.521% above

META has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 21% above its 200-week average.

AENT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$9.65$9.79+1.5%
2022$9.79$10.1+3.6%
2023$10.1$0.93-91%
2024$0.93$8.75+841%
2025$8.75$7.73-12%
2026 YTD$7.73$5.20-33%

AENT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +841% in 2024 to −91% in 2023. It's down 33% so far in 2026.

META Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$208.1$267.4+28%
2021$267.4$335.2+25%
2022$335.2$118.0-65%
2023$118.0$354.0+200%
2024$354.0$599.8+69%
2025$599.8$663.3+11%
2026 YTD$663.3$623.6-6%

META has the edge over AENT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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