AEIS
Advanced Energy Industries, Inc.
AEIS has the edge over CAT overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AEIS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
AEIS's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently strong, but its cash flow is under pressure.
CAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
AEIS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 14x | $229 | — |
| Cheap | 21x | $150 | -35% |
| Current | 33x | $229 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $234 | +2.5% |
| Expensive | 67x | $465 | +103% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AEIS has the edge over CAT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
CAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $380 | -37% |
| Fair | 18x | $461 | -24% |
| Forward | 20x | $605 | — |
| Current | 24x | $605 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $840 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
AEIS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AEIS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
CAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AEIS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $16.91 | +143% |
| Q3 2026 | $6.97 | +83% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.38 | +143% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.77 | +146% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.84 | +169% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.81 | +234% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.21 | -7.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.94 | -29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.43 | -58% |
AEIS has the edge over CAT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $29.73 | +17% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.48 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.23 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.08 | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.81 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.46 | -9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.64 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.50 | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.05 | +9.6% |
CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.
AEIS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $696.4M | +50% |
| Q2 2026 | $574.1M | +30% |
| Q1 2026 | $511M | +26% |
| Q4 2025 | $489.4M | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $463.3M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | $441.5M | +21% |
| Q1 2025 | $404.6M | +24% |
| Q4 2024 | $415.4M | +2.5% |
AEIS has the edge over CAT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 21% | +9.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +9.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | +5.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | +3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | +14 points |
| Q2 2025 | 7.2% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.6% | +7.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | +4.8 points |
AEIS has the edge over CAT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
CAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.5B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.4B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.6B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.2B | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | -5% |
CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
CAT's operating margin was 20% last quarter, up 3.1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AEIS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $34M | -33% |
| Q2 2026 | $35.5M | +108% |
| Q1 2026 | -$42.6M | -384% |
| Q4 2025 | $43M | -39% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.8M | +137% |
| Q2 2025 | $17.1M | +$25.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $15M | +$24.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $69.9M | +0.2% |
AEIS has the edge over CAT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.8B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +97% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $579M | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | -22% |
CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.
AEIS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.1% | -900K shares |
| 1 year | +7.5% | +2.9M shares |
| 3 years | +9.4% | +3.5M shares |
| 5 years | +7.9% | +3M shares |
| Available history | +7.5% | +2.9M shares |
AEIS has 41M diluted shares, up 7.5% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $500,000 |
| Q4 2025 | $6.5M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $23.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $500,000 |
| Q4 2024 | — |
AEIS has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
CAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -51.7M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -86.7M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -107M shares |
CAT has the edge over AEIS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $340M |
| Q3 2025 | $362M |
| Q2 2025 | $828M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $640M |
CAT spent $8.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 47% from the year before.
AEIS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
AEIS has more cash than debt.
CAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
CAT has the edge over AEIS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
AEIS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.2 | Oversold |
AEIS's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
CAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.7 | Oversold |
CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
AEIS PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | AEIS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 33x | 24x | 37% above |
| PE % | 48 | 58 | 10 pts below |
AEIS is trading at 33x earnings, a 37% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
CAT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 1.1% below |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
CAT has the edge over AEIS on valuation relative to its sector.
AEIS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $246.9 | 7.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $275.8 | 17% below |
| 50 week MA | $292.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $214.9 | 6.5% above |
| 200 week MA | $158.7 | 44% above |
AEIS has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.
CAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $709.0 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $797.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $771.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $586.7 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $443.1 | 37% above |
CAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.
AEIS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $71.5 | $98.9 | +38% |
| 2021 | $98.9 | $89.1 | -10% |
| 2022 | $89.1 | $83.7 | -6% |
| 2023 | $83.7 | $108.9 | +30% |
| 2024 | $108.9 | $115.1 | +5.7% |
| 2025 | $115.1 | $217.9 | +89% |
| 2026 YTD | $217.9 | $228.8 | +5% |
AEIS has the edge over CAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
CAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.3 | $179.6 | +21% |
| 2021 | $179.6 | $206.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $206.2 | $239.9 | +16% |
| 2023 | $239.9 | $295.7 | +23% |
| 2024 | $295.7 | $364.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $364.9 | $583.0 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $583.0 | $605.3 | +3.8% |
CAT has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 3.8% so far in 2026.