ADSK

Autodesk, Inc.

80
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation81/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

ADSK has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.

90
Fundamentals95/ 100
Valuation88/ 100
Upside potential84/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

PLTR has the edge over ADSK overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

ADSK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

ADSK's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

PLTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

PLTR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

ADSK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE188x376x564x753x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE188x376x564x753x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$259—
Current34x$259—
Cheap48x$373+44%
Fair57x$441+70%
Expensive140x$1,078+315%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ADSK's PE is in its cheap range at 34x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

PLTR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward75x$172—
Current120x$172—
Cheap165x$236+37%
Fair251x$359+109%
Expensive452x$646+277%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PLTR has the edge over ADSK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ADSK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ADSK, with profitability improving.

PLTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for PLTR, with profitability improving.

ADSK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$357.95
Downside-12%$227.47

Calculated from the latest close: $259.48 on Nov 12.

ADSK trails PLTR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PLTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+112%$364.26
Downside-21%$136.16

Calculated from the latest close: $171.58 on Nov 12.

PLTR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ADSK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ADSK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.25Q1 2024: $4.19Q2 2024: $4.60Q3 2024: $4.87Q4 2024: $5.02Q1 2025: $5.12Q2 2025: $4.66Q3 2025: $4.82Q4 2025: $5.15Q1 2026: $5.23Q2 2026: $6.85Q3 2026: $7.72Forward: $13.53
Q4 2023: $4.25Q1 2024: $4.19Q2 2024: $4.60Q3 2024: $4.87Q4 2024: $5.02Q1 2025: $5.12Q2 2025: $4.66Q3 2025: $4.82Q4 2025: $5.15Q1 2026: $5.23Q2 2026: $6.85Q3 2026: $7.72Forward: $13.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.53+75%
Q3 2026$7.72+60%
Q2 2026$6.85+47%
Q1 2026$5.23+2.1%
Q4 2025$5.15+2.6%
Q3 2025$4.82-1%
Q2 2025$4.66+1.3%
Q1 2025$5.12+22%
Q4 2024$5.02+18%

ADSK earned $7.72 per share over the past year, up 60% from the year before.

PLTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.30+61%
Q3 2026$1.43+240%
Q2 2026$1.17+290%
Q1 2026$0.89+287%
Q4 2025$0.63+232%
Q3 2025$0.42+110%
Q2 2025$0.30+76%
Q1 2025$0.23+92%
Q4 2024$0.19+111%

PLTR has the edge over ADSK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ADSK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2B+16%
Q2 2026$1.9B+18%
Q1 2026$2B+19%
Q4 2025$1.9B+18%
Q3 2025$1.8B+17%
Q2 2025$1.6B+15%
Q1 2025$1.6B+12%
Q4 2024$1.6B+11%

ADSK's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $2B last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

PLTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B+96%
Q2 2026$1.9B+93%
Q1 2026$1.6B+85%
Q4 2025$1.4B+70%
Q3 2025$1.2B+63%
Q2 2025$1B+48%
Q1 2025$883.9M+39%
Q4 2024$827.5M+36%

PLTR has the edge over ADSK on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ADSK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $427MQ2 2024: $487MQ3 2024: $203MQ4 2024: $199MQ1 2025: $678MQ2 2025: $556MQ3 2025: $451MQ4 2025: $430MQ1 2026: $972MQ2 2026: $876MQ3 2026: $561M
Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $427MQ2 2024: $487MQ3 2024: $203MQ4 2024: $199MQ1 2025: $678MQ2 2025: $556MQ3 2025: $451MQ4 2025: $430MQ1 2026: $972MQ2 2026: $876MQ3 2026: $561M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$561M+24%
Q2 2026$876M+58%
Q1 2026$972M+43%
Q4 2025$430M+116%
Q3 2025$451M+122%
Q2 2025$556M+14%
Q1 2025$678M+59%
Q4 2024$199M+1431%

ADSK's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $2.8B over the past year, up 51% from the year before.

PLTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+139%
Q2 2026$1.2B+126%
Q1 2026$891.8M+193%
Q4 2025$764M+67%
Q3 2025$500.9M+20%
Q2 2025$531.6M+276%
Q1 2025$304.1M+140%
Q4 2024$457.2M+54%

PLTR has the edge over ADSK on cash flow, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ADSK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 216MQ1 2024: 216MQ2 2024: 217MQ3 2024: 217MQ4 2024: 217MQ1 2025: 217MQ2 2025: 216MQ3 2025: 215MQ4 2025: 215MQ1 2026: 215MQ2 2026: 212MQ3 2026: 211M
Q4 2023: 216MQ1 2024: 216MQ2 2024: 217MQ3 2024: 217MQ4 2024: 217MQ1 2025: 217MQ2 2025: 216MQ3 2025: 215MQ4 2025: 215MQ1 2026: 215MQ2 2026: 212MQ3 2026: 211M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-1M shares
1 year-1.9%-4M shares
3 years-1.9%-4M shares
5 years-5.2%-11.5M shares
Available history-4.9%-10.9M shares

ADSK has the edge over PLTR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PLTR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+5.2M shares
1 year+0.1%+2.9M shares
3 years+11%+248M shares
5 years+31%+610M shares
Available history+184%+1.7B shares

PLTR has 2.6B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

ADSK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low

ADSK has more cash than debt.

PLTR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-6.1xNet Cash

PLTR has the edge over ADSK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ADSK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.6Neutral
Stochastic74.3Neutral

ADSK's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).

PLTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.4Neutral
Stochastic47.4Neutral

PLTR's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

ADSK PE vs Technology Sector

MetricADSKSector medianRelative
PE34x28x21% above
PE %53530 pts below

ADSK has the edge over PLTR on valuation relative to its sector.

PLTR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPLTRSector medianRelative
PE120x28x331% above
PE %13837 pts below

PLTR is trading at 120x earnings, a 331% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ADSK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$240.08.1% above
20 week MA$233.011% above
50 week MA$242.17.2% above
100 week MA$267.73.1% below
200 week MA$249.73.9% above

ADSK's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 3.9% above its 200-week average.

PLTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$185.87.6% below
20 week MA$167.62.4% above
50 week MA$157.19.2% above
100 week MA$143.819% above
200 week MA$83.3106% above

PLTR's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 106% above its 200-week average.

ADSK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$185.4$301.4+63%
2021$301.4$281.0-6.8%
2022$281.0$188.2-33%
2023$188.2$243.5+29%
2024$243.5$297.6+22%
2025$297.6$300.7+1%
2026 YTD$300.7$259.5-14%

ADSK has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 14% so far in 2026.

PLTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.20$27.8+202%
2021$27.8$18.9-32%
2022$18.9$6.29-67%
2023$6.29$17.2+173%
2024$17.2$79.1+361%
2025$79.1$188.7+139%
2026 YTD$188.7$171.6-9.1%

PLTR has the edge over ADSK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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