ADSK

Autodesk, Inc.

80
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation81/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

ADSK's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over ADSK overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

ADSK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

ADSK's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

ADSK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE188x376x564x753x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE188x376x564x753x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$259—
Current34x$259—
Cheap48x$373+44%
Fair57x$441+70%
Expensive140x$1,078+315%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ADSK's PE is in its cheap range at 34x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over ADSK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ADSK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

ADSK has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

ADSK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$357.95
Downside-12%$227.47

Calculated from the latest close: $259.48 on Nov 12.

ADSK trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ADSK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ADSK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.25Q1 2024: $4.19Q2 2024: $4.60Q3 2024: $4.87Q4 2024: $5.02Q1 2025: $5.12Q2 2025: $4.66Q3 2025: $4.82Q4 2025: $5.15Q1 2026: $5.23Q2 2026: $6.85Q3 2026: $7.72Forward: $13.53
Q4 2023: $4.25Q1 2024: $4.19Q2 2024: $4.60Q3 2024: $4.87Q4 2024: $5.02Q1 2025: $5.12Q2 2025: $4.66Q3 2025: $4.82Q4 2025: $5.15Q1 2026: $5.23Q2 2026: $6.85Q3 2026: $7.72Forward: $13.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.53+75%
Q3 2026$7.72+60%
Q2 2026$6.85+47%
Q1 2026$5.23+2.1%
Q4 2025$5.15+2.6%
Q3 2025$4.82-1%
Q2 2025$4.66+1.3%
Q1 2025$5.12+22%
Q4 2024$5.02+18%

ADSK earned $7.72 per share over the past year, up 60% from the year before.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over ADSK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ADSK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2B+16%
Q2 2026$1.9B+18%
Q1 2026$2B+19%
Q4 2025$1.9B+18%
Q3 2025$1.8B+17%
Q2 2025$1.6B+15%
Q1 2025$1.6B+12%
Q4 2024$1.6B+11%

ADSK's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $2B last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over ADSK on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ADSK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $427MQ2 2024: $487MQ3 2024: $203MQ4 2024: $199MQ1 2025: $678MQ2 2025: $556MQ3 2025: $451MQ4 2025: $430MQ1 2026: $972MQ2 2026: $876MQ3 2026: $561M
Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $427MQ2 2024: $487MQ3 2024: $203MQ4 2024: $199MQ1 2025: $678MQ2 2025: $556MQ3 2025: $451MQ4 2025: $430MQ1 2026: $972MQ2 2026: $876MQ3 2026: $561M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$561M+24%
Q2 2026$876M+58%
Q1 2026$972M+43%
Q4 2025$430M+116%
Q3 2025$451M+122%
Q2 2025$556M+14%
Q1 2025$678M+59%
Q4 2024$199M+1431%

ADSK's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $2.8B over the past year, up 51% from the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for six years: $127B over the past year, up 76% from the year before.

ADSK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 216MQ1 2024: 216MQ2 2024: 217MQ3 2024: 217MQ4 2024: 217MQ1 2025: 217MQ2 2025: 216MQ3 2025: 215MQ4 2025: 215MQ1 2026: 215MQ2 2026: 212MQ3 2026: 211M
Q4 2023: 216MQ1 2024: 216MQ2 2024: 217MQ3 2024: 217MQ4 2024: 217MQ1 2025: 217MQ2 2025: 216MQ3 2025: 215MQ4 2025: 215MQ1 2026: 215MQ2 2026: 212MQ3 2026: 211M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-1M shares
1 year-1.9%-4M shares
3 years-1.9%-4M shares
5 years-5.2%-11.5M shares
Available history-4.9%-10.9M shares

ADSK has the edge over NVDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has 24.3B diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago, with $55.3B in buybacks over the past year.

ADSK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low

ADSK has the edge over NVDA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

ADSK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.6Neutral
Stochastic74.3Neutral

ADSK's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

ADSK PE vs Technology Sector

MetricADSKSector medianRelative
PE34x28x21% above
PE %53530 pts below

ADSK is trading at 34x earnings, a 21% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA has the edge over ADSK on valuation relative to its sector.

ADSK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$240.08.1% above
20 week MA$233.011% above
50 week MA$242.17.2% above
100 week MA$267.73.1% below
200 week MA$249.73.9% above

ADSK has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

ADSK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$185.4$301.4+63%
2021$301.4$281.0-6.8%
2022$281.0$188.2-33%
2023$188.2$243.5+29%
2024$243.5$297.6+22%
2025$297.6$300.7+1%
2026 YTD$300.7$259.5-14%

ADSK has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 14% so far in 2026.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA has the edge over ADSK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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