ADSK
Autodesk, Inc.
ADSK has the edge over MSFT overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
ADSK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
ADSK's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
ADSK PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $259 | — |
| Current | 34x | $259 | — |
| Cheap | 48x | $373 | +44% |
| Fair | 57x | $441 | +70% |
| Expensive | 140x | $1,078 | +315% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ADSK's PE is in its cheap range at 34x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over ADSK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
ADSK Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
ADSK has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
ADSK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.53 | +75% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.72 | +60% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.85 | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.23 | +2.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.15 | +2.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.82 | -1% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.66 | +1.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.12 | +22% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.02 | +18% |
ADSK earned $7.72 per share over the past year, up 60% from the year before.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over ADSK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ADSK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2B | +16% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.9B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.9B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.8B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.6B | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.6B | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.6B | +11% |
ADSK's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $2B last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 29% | +4.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 28% | +14 points |
| Q1 2026 | 22% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 25% | +3.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 25% | +2.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -6.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 22% | +0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 22% | -1.6 points |
ADSK's operating margin was 29% last quarter, up 4.1 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over ADSK on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over ADSK on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ADSK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $561M | +24% |
| Q2 2026 | $876M | +58% |
| Q1 2026 | $972M | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $430M | +116% |
| Q3 2025 | $451M | +122% |
| Q2 2025 | $556M | +14% |
| Q1 2025 | $678M | +59% |
| Q4 2024 | $199M | +1431% |
ADSK has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
ADSK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.5% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -1.9% | -4M shares |
| 3 years | -1.9% | -4M shares |
| 5 years | -5.2% | -11.5M shares |
| Available history | -4.9% | -10.9M shares |
ADSK has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $453M |
| Q2 2026 | $448M |
| Q1 2026 | $331M |
| Q4 2025 | $359M |
| Q3 2025 | $358M |
| Q2 2025 | $354M |
| Q1 2025 | $409M |
| Q4 2024 | $323M |
ADSK spent $1.6B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 10% from the year before.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
ADSK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.6x | Very low |
ADSK has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
ADSK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 58.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 74.3 | Neutral |
ADSK's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
ADSK PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ADSK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 34x | 28x | 21% above |
| PE % | 5 | 35 | 30 pts below |
ADSK is trading at 34x earnings, a 21% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT has the edge over ADSK on valuation relative to its sector.
ADSK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $240.0 | 8.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $233.0 | 11% above |
| 50 week MA | $242.1 | 7.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $267.7 | 3.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $249.7 | 3.9% above |
ADSK's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 3.9% above its 200-week average.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.
ADSK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $185.4 | $301.4 | +63% |
| 2021 | $301.4 | $281.0 | -6.8% |
| 2022 | $281.0 | $188.2 | -33% |
| 2023 | $188.2 | $243.5 | +29% |
| 2024 | $243.5 | $297.6 | +22% |
| 2025 | $297.6 | $300.7 | +1% |
| 2026 YTD | $300.7 | $259.5 | -14% |
ADSK has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 14% so far in 2026.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over ADSK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.