ADMA

ADMA Biologics, Inc.

68
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation59/ 100
Upside potential51/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

ADMA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over ADMA overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

ADMA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Strong

ADMA's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ADMA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE38x75x113x151x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE38x75x113x151x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$10.76-19%
Forward16x$13.24—
Current17x$13.24—
Fair21x$16.22+23%
Expensive66x$50.55+282%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ADMA has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ADMA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ADMA, with profitability improving.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

ADMA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+34%$17.69
Downside-32%$9.03

Calculated from the latest close: $13.24 on Nov 12.

ADMA trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ADMA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ADMA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.13Q1 2024: $-0.02Q2 2024: $0.14Q3 2024: $0.28Q4 2024: $0.81Q1 2025: $0.84Q2 2025: $0.85Q3 2025: $0.85Q4 2025: $0.60Q1 2026: $0.68Q2 2026: $0.70Q3 2026: $0.77Forward: $0.81
Q4 2023: $-0.13Q1 2024: $-0.02Q2 2024: $0.14Q3 2024: $0.28Q4 2024: $0.81Q1 2025: $0.84Q2 2025: $0.85Q3 2025: $0.85Q4 2025: $0.60Q1 2026: $0.68Q2 2026: $0.70Q3 2026: $0.77Forward: $0.81
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.81+5.6%
Q3 2026$0.77-9.4%
Q2 2026$0.70-18%
Q1 2026$0.68-19%
Q4 2025$0.60-26%
Q3 2025$0.85+204%
Q2 2025$0.85+507%
Q1 2025$0.84+$0.86
Q4 2024$0.81+$0.94

ADMA earned $0.77 per share over the past year, down 9.4% from the year before.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over ADMA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ADMA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $74MQ1 2024: $82MQ2 2024: $107MQ3 2024: $120MQ4 2024: $118MQ1 2025: $115MQ2 2025: $122MQ3 2025: $134MQ4 2025: $139MQ1 2026: $114MQ2 2026: $124MQ3 2026: $141M
Q4 2023: $74MQ1 2024: $82MQ2 2024: $107MQ3 2024: $120MQ4 2024: $118MQ1 2025: $115MQ2 2025: $122MQ3 2025: $134MQ4 2025: $139MQ1 2026: $114MQ2 2026: $124MQ3 2026: $141M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$141.1M+5.1%
Q2 2026$124.4M+2%
Q1 2026$114.5M-0.3%
Q4 2025$139.2M+18%
Q3 2025$134.2M+12%
Q2 2025$122M+14%
Q1 2025$114.8M+40%
Q4 2024$117.5M+59%

ADMA's revenue is growing: $141M last quarter, up 5.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over ADMA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ADMA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $16MQ1 2024: −$5MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: −$24MQ2 2025: $19MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: $35MQ1 2026: $56MQ2 2026: $27MQ3 2026: $15M
Q4 2023: $16MQ1 2024: −$5MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: −$24MQ2 2025: $19MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: $35MQ1 2026: $56MQ2 2026: $27MQ3 2026: $15M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$15.4M+$16.4M
Q2 2026$27.3M+46%
Q1 2026$55.7M+$80.1M
Q4 2025$34.6M-27%
Q3 2025-$1.1M-104%
Q2 2025$18.7M-57%
Q1 2025-$24.4M-$19.8M
Q4 2024$47.5M+189%

ADMA has burned cash in most quarters: $133M over the past year, about three times what it generated the year before.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over ADMA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ADMA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 224MQ1 2024: 236MQ2 2024: 242MQ3 2024: 245MQ4 2024: 243MQ1 2025: 245MQ2 2025: 249MQ3 2025: 245MQ4 2025: 245MQ1 2026: 240MQ2 2026: 230MQ3 2026: 226M
Q4 2023: 224MQ1 2024: 236MQ2 2024: 242MQ3 2024: 245MQ4 2024: 243MQ1 2025: 245MQ2 2025: 249MQ3 2025: 245MQ4 2025: 245MQ1 2026: 240MQ2 2026: 230MQ3 2026: 226M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2%-4.5M shares
1 year-7.7%-18.8M shares
3 years-3.4%-7.9M shares
5 years+77%+98.4M shares
Available history+206%+152M shares

ADMA has the edge over LLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has 893M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

ADMA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.8xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: -1.8xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.7xNet Cash

ADMA has the edge over LLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

ADMA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI69.1Neutral
Stochastic85.4Overbought

ADMA's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

ADMA PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricADMASector medianRelative
PE17x26x34% below
PE %28291 pt below

ADMA has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

ADMA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.020% above
20 week MA$9.9134% above
50 week MA$12.010% above
100 week MA$14.911% below
200 week MA$11.417% above

ADMA's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 17% above its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over ADMA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ADMA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$3.95$2.15-46%
2021$2.15$1.27-41%
2022$1.27$3.65+187%
2023$3.65$4.52+24%
2024$4.52$17.5+286%
2025$17.5$19.3+10%
2026 YTD$19.3$13.2-31%

ADMA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +286% in 2024 to −46% in 2020. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over ADMA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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