ADI

Analog Devices, Inc.

77
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation47/ 100
Upside potential79/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

ADI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over ADI overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

ADI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Healthy

ADI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

ADI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x40x60x79x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x40x60x79x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward24x$409—
Cheap30x$252-38%
Fair41x$349-15%
Current49x$409—
Expensive63x$535+31%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ADI's PE is in its fair range at 49x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 24x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over ADI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ADI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

ADI has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

ADI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$596.68
Downside-12%$360.18

Calculated from the latest close: $409.29 on Nov 12.

ADI trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ADI, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ADI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.55Q1 2024: $5.60Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $3.34Q4 2024: $3.28Q1 2025: $3.13Q2 2025: $3.66Q3 2025: $3.91Q4 2025: $4.56Q1 2026: $5.47Q2 2026: $6.73Q3 2026: $8.43Forward: $16.89
Q4 2023: $6.55Q1 2024: $5.60Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $3.34Q4 2024: $3.28Q1 2025: $3.13Q2 2025: $3.66Q3 2025: $3.91Q4 2025: $4.56Q1 2026: $5.47Q2 2026: $6.73Q3 2026: $8.43Forward: $16.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$16.89+100%
Q3 2026$8.43+116%
Q2 2026$6.73+84%
Q1 2026$5.47+75%
Q4 2025$4.56+39%
Q3 2025$3.91+17%
Q2 2025$3.66-15%
Q1 2025$3.13-44%
Q4 2024$3.28-50%

ADI earned $8.43 per share over the past year, up 116% from the year before.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over ADI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ADI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.9BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $3.2BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $4B
Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.9BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $3.2BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4B+40%
Q2 2026$3.6B+37%
Q1 2026$3.2B+30%
Q4 2025$3.1B+26%
Q3 2025$2.9B+25%
Q2 2025$2.6B+22%
Q1 2025$2.4B-3.6%
Q4 2024$2.4B-10%

ADI's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $4B last quarter, up 40% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over ADI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ADI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $711MQ1 2024: $916MQ2 2024: $620MQ3 2024: $701MQ4 2024: $885MQ1 2025: $978MQ2 2025: $729MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $734MQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $711MQ1 2024: $916MQ2 2024: $620MQ3 2024: $701MQ4 2024: $885MQ1 2025: $978MQ2 2025: $729MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $734MQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B+34%
Q2 2026$734.3M+0.7%
Q1 2026$1.3B+29%
Q4 2025$1.5B+68%
Q3 2025$1.1B+55%
Q2 2025$729.2M+18%
Q1 2025$977.8M+6.8%
Q4 2024$885.4M+25%

ADI's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $4.9B over the past year, up 34% from the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for six years: $127B over the past year, up 76% from the year before.

ADI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 506MQ1 2024: 499MQ2 2024: 499MQ3 2024: 499MQ4 2024: 499MQ1 2025: 499MQ2 2025: 498MQ3 2025: 497MQ4 2025: 497MQ1 2026: 492MQ2 2026: 490MQ3 2026: 489M
Q4 2023: 506MQ1 2024: 499MQ2 2024: 499MQ3 2024: 499MQ4 2024: 499MQ1 2025: 499MQ2 2025: 498MQ3 2025: 497MQ4 2025: 497MQ1 2026: 492MQ2 2026: 490MQ3 2026: 489M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-1.6%-7.9M shares
3 years-2.9%-14.7M shares
5 years+31%+116M shares
Available history+31%+116M shares

ADI has the edge over NVDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has 24.3B diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago, with $55.3B in buybacks over the past year.

ADI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.0xQ2 2024: 1.3xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 1.0x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.0xQ2 2024: 1.3xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.0xHealthy
Q2 20261.0xHealthy
Q1 20261.1xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.4xHealthy
Q2 20251.1xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

ADI's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.4 years a year ago.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA has the edge over ADI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ADI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.7Neutral
Stochastic56.9Neutral

ADI's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

ADI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricADISector medianRelative
PE49x28x74% above
PE %623527 pts above

ADI is trading at 49x earnings, a 74% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA has the edge over ADI on valuation relative to its sector.

ADI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$399.22.5% above
20 week MA$385.66.1% above
50 week MA$360.913% above
100 week MA$292.340% above
200 week MA$245.267% above

ADI has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

ADI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$119.5$144.5+21%
2021$144.5$172.7+20%
2022$172.7$163.8-5.1%
2023$163.8$198.6+21%
2024$198.6$217.0+9.3%
2025$217.0$276.8+28%
2026 YTD$276.8$409.3+48%

ADI has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

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