ADI
Analog Devices, Inc.
ADI has a slight edge over MSFT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
ADI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
ADI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
ADI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 24x | $409 | — |
| Cheap | 30x | $252 | -38% |
| Fair | 41x | $349 | -15% |
| Current | 49x | $409 | — |
| Expensive | 63x | $535 | +31% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ADI's PE is in its fair range at 49x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 24x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over ADI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
ADI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
ADI has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
ADI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $16.89 | +100% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.43 | +116% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.73 | +84% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.47 | +75% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.56 | +39% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.91 | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.66 | -15% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.13 | -44% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.28 | -50% |
ADI earned $8.43 per share over the past year, up 116% from the year before.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.
ADI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4B | +40% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.6B | +37% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.2B | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.1B | +26% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.9B | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | +22% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.4B | -3.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.4B | -10% |
ADI's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $4B last quarter, up 40% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | +12 points |
| Q2 2026 | 38% | +12 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +11 points |
| Q4 2025 | 31% | +7.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 28% | +7.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 26% | +7.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 20% | -3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 23% | 0 points |
ADI's operating margin was 40% last quarter, up 12 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over ADI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ADI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | +34% |
| Q2 2026 | $734.3M | +0.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3B | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.5B | +68% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1B | +55% |
| Q2 2025 | $729.2M | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $977.8M | +6.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $885.4M | +25% |
ADI has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
ADI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -1.6% | -7.9M shares |
| 3 years | -2.9% | -14.7M shares |
| 5 years | +31% | +116M shares |
| Available history | +31% | +116M shares |
ADI has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $772.9M |
| Q1 2026 | $516.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $680.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1B |
| Q2 2025 | $248.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $160.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $94.9M |
ADI spent $3.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 98% from the year before.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
ADI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.4x | Healthy |
ADI's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.4 years a year ago.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT has the edge over ADI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ADI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 55.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 56.9 | Neutral |
ADI's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
ADI PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ADI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 49x | 28x | 74% above |
| PE % | 62 | 35 | 27 pts above |
ADI is trading at 49x earnings, a 74% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT has the edge over ADI on valuation relative to its sector.
ADI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $399.2 | 2.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $385.6 | 6.1% above |
| 50 week MA | $360.9 | 13% above |
| 100 week MA | $292.3 | 40% above |
| 200 week MA | $245.2 | 67% above |
ADI has the edge over MSFT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.
ADI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $119.5 | $144.5 | +21% |
| 2021 | $144.5 | $172.7 | +20% |
| 2022 | $172.7 | $163.8 | -5.1% |
| 2023 | $163.8 | $198.6 | +21% |
| 2024 | $198.6 | $217.0 | +9.3% |
| 2025 | $217.0 | $276.8 | +28% |
| 2026 YTD | $276.8 | $409.3 | +48% |
ADI has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.