ADI

Analog Devices, Inc.

77
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation47/ 100
Upside potential79/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

ADI has the edge over INTC overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ADI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Healthy

ADI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

ADI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x40x60x79x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x40x60x79x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward24x$409—
Cheap30x$252-38%
Fair41x$349-15%
Current49x$409—
Expensive63x$535+31%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ADI's PE is in its fair range at 49x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 24x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ADI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ADI, with profitability improving.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ADI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$596.68
Downside-12%$360.18

Calculated from the latest close: $409.29 on Nov 12.

ADI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INTC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC trails ADI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ADI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.55Q1 2024: $5.60Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $3.34Q4 2024: $3.28Q1 2025: $3.13Q2 2025: $3.66Q3 2025: $3.91Q4 2025: $4.56Q1 2026: $5.47Q2 2026: $6.73Q3 2026: $8.43Forward: $16.89
Q4 2023: $6.55Q1 2024: $5.60Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $3.34Q4 2024: $3.28Q1 2025: $3.13Q2 2025: $3.66Q3 2025: $3.91Q4 2025: $4.56Q1 2026: $5.47Q2 2026: $6.73Q3 2026: $8.43Forward: $16.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$16.89+100%
Q3 2026$8.43+116%
Q2 2026$6.73+84%
Q1 2026$5.47+75%
Q4 2025$4.56+39%
Q3 2025$3.91+17%
Q2 2025$3.66-15%
Q1 2025$3.13-44%
Q4 2024$3.28-50%

ADI has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

ADI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.9BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $3.2BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $4B
Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.9BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $3.2BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4B+40%
Q2 2026$3.6B+37%
Q1 2026$3.2B+30%
Q4 2025$3.1B+26%
Q3 2025$2.9B+25%
Q2 2025$2.6B+22%
Q1 2025$2.4B-3.6%
Q4 2024$2.4B-10%

ADI has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

ADI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $711MQ1 2024: $916MQ2 2024: $620MQ3 2024: $701MQ4 2024: $885MQ1 2025: $978MQ2 2025: $729MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $734MQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $711MQ1 2024: $916MQ2 2024: $620MQ3 2024: $701MQ4 2024: $885MQ1 2025: $978MQ2 2025: $729MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $734MQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B+34%
Q2 2026$734.3M+0.7%
Q1 2026$1.3B+29%
Q4 2025$1.5B+68%
Q3 2025$1.1B+55%
Q2 2025$729.2M+18%
Q1 2025$977.8M+6.8%
Q4 2024$885.4M+25%

ADI has the edge over INTC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC's free cash flow has turned positive after four years mostly in the red: $3.8B over the past year.

ADI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 506MQ1 2024: 499MQ2 2024: 499MQ3 2024: 499MQ4 2024: 499MQ1 2025: 499MQ2 2025: 498MQ3 2025: 497MQ4 2025: 497MQ1 2026: 492MQ2 2026: 490MQ3 2026: 489M
Q4 2023: 506MQ1 2024: 499MQ2 2024: 499MQ3 2024: 499MQ4 2024: 499MQ1 2025: 499MQ2 2025: 498MQ3 2025: 497MQ4 2025: 497MQ1 2026: 492MQ2 2026: 490MQ3 2026: 489M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-1.6%-7.9M shares
3 years-2.9%-14.7M shares
5 years+31%+116M shares
Available history+31%+116M shares

ADI has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

ADI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.0xQ2 2024: 1.3xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 1.0x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.0xQ2 2024: 1.3xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.0xHealthy
Q2 20261.0xHealthy
Q1 20261.1xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.4xHealthy
Q2 20251.1xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

ADI has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

ADI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.7Neutral
Stochastic56.9Neutral

ADI's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

ADI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricADISector medianRelative
PE49x28x74% above
PE %623527 pts above

ADI is trading at 49x earnings, a 74% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ADI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$399.22.5% above
20 week MA$385.66.1% above
50 week MA$360.913% above
100 week MA$292.340% above
200 week MA$245.267% above

ADI has the edge over INTC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.

ADI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$119.5$144.5+21%
2021$144.5$172.7+20%
2022$172.7$163.8-5.1%
2023$163.8$198.6+21%
2024$198.6$217.0+9.3%
2025$217.0$276.8+28%
2026 YTD$276.8$409.3+48%

ADI has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 48% so far in 2026.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over ADI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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