ADBE
Adobe Inc.
ADBE has the edge over SHOP overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
SHOP
Shopify Inc.
SHOP offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
ADBE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
ADBE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
SHOP Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
SHOP's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
ADBE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 8.9x | $239 | — |
| Current | 13x | $239 | — |
| Cheap | 22x | $396 | +66% |
| Fair | 43x | $771 | +223% |
| Expensive | 54x | $972 | +308% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ADBE has the edge over SHOP in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
SHOP PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 67x | $147 | — |
| Cheap | 78x | $129 | -12% |
| Current | 89x | $147 | — |
| Fair | 107x | $177 | +21% |
| Expensive | 338x | $557 | +280% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SHOP's PE is in its cheap range at 89x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 67x next year's earnings.
ADBE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
ADBE has the edge over SHOP on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
SHOP Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SHOP, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ADBE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $26.84 | +50% |
| Q3 2026 | $17.91 | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.47 | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.16 | +13% |
| Q4 2025 | $16.70 | +35% |
| Q3 2025 | $16.01 | +35% |
| Q2 2025 | $15.59 | +40% |
| Q1 2025 | $15.14 | +45% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.36 | +4.6% |
ADBE has the edge over SHOP on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SHOP Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.20 | +33% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.65 | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.49 | -17% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.02 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.94 | -40% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.36 | +27% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.80 | +84% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.24 | +$1.41 |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +1633% |
SHOP's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.65 over the past year, against $2.68 in late 2021.
ADBE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6.8B | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.6B | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.4B | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.2B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $6B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.9B | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.7B | +10% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.6B | +11% |
ADBE's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $6.8B last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 35% | -1.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | -2.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 38% | -0.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 36% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 36% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 38% | +20 points |
| Q4 2024 | 35% | +0.4 points |
ADBE has the edge over SHOP on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SHOP Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +32% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.6B | +34% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.2B | +34% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.7B | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +31% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.4B | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.8B | +31% |
SHOP has the edge over ADBE on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | +2.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | +3.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | +0.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 12% | -1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8.6% | +4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 17% | +3.1 points |
SHOP's operating margin was 15% last quarter, up 3.1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
ADBE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.4B | +15% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.1B | -1.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.9B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.1B | +8.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.1B | +8.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.1B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.5B | +116% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.9B | +85% |
ADBE's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $10.6B over the past year, up 10% from the year before.
SHOP Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $816M | +61% |
| Q2 2026 | $654M | +55% |
| Q1 2026 | $476M | +31% |
| Q4 2025 | $715M | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $507M | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $422M | +27% |
| Q1 2025 | $363M | +56% |
| Q4 2024 | $611M | +37% |
SHOP has the edge over ADBE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ADBE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.7% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -6.7% | -28.6M shares |
| 3 years | -14% | -64M shares |
| 5 years | -18% | -85.2M shares |
| Available history | -20% | -96.1M shares |
ADBE has the edge over SHOP on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $2.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $2.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $2.1B |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $3.3B |
| Q4 2024 | $2.5B |
ADBE spent $9.3B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 18% from the year before.
SHOP Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -7.2M shares |
| 1 year | -1.7% | -22.1M shares |
| 3 years | -0.4% | -5.1M shares |
| 5 years | +1.1% | +14.5M shares |
| Available history | +11% | +130M shares |
SHOP has 1.3B diluted shares, down 1.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $562M |
| Q2 2026 | $1.4B |
| Q1 2026 | $491M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
ADBE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
ADBE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
SHOP Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
SHOP has the edge over ADBE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ADBE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.8 | Neutral |
ADBE's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
SHOP Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 52.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 51.5 | Neutral |
SHOP's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).
ADBE PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ADBE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 28x | 52% below |
| PE % | 3 | 35 | 32 pts below |
ADBE has the edge over SHOP on valuation relative to its sector.
SHOP PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SHOP | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 89x | 28x | 219% above |
| PE % | 29 | 35 | 6 pts below |
SHOP is trading at 89x earnings, a 219% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ADBE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $244.1 | 2.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $248.6 | 4.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $261.6 | 8.8% below |
| 100 week MA | $321.8 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $410.6 | 42% below |
ADBE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 42% below its 200-week average.
SHOP Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $157.0 | 6.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $143.1 | 2.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $134.4 | 9.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $128.1 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $97.7 | 50% above |
SHOP has the edge over ADBE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ADBE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $330.8 | $499.9 | +51% |
| 2021 | $499.9 | $569.6 | +14% |
| 2022 | $569.6 | $338.5 | -41% |
| 2023 | $338.5 | $596.6 | +76% |
| 2024 | $596.6 | $446.5 | -25% |
| 2025 | $446.5 | $353.8 | -21% |
| 2026 YTD | $353.8 | $238.5 | -33% |
ADBE has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 33% so far in 2026.
SHOP Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $40.8 | $122.6 | +200% |
| 2021 | $122.6 | $143.9 | +17% |
| 2022 | $143.9 | $33.7 | -77% |
| 2023 | $33.7 | $77.9 | +131% |
| 2024 | $77.9 | $108.2 | +39% |
| 2025 | $108.2 | $170.8 | +58% |
| 2026 YTD | $170.8 | $146.8 | -14% |
SHOP has the edge over ADBE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.