ADBE

Adobe Inc.

80
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation93/ 100
Upside potential79/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

ADBE has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

ADBE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

ADBE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ADBE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x35x53x71x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x35x53x71x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward8.9x$239—
Current13x$239—
Cheap22x$396+66%
Fair43x$771+223%
Expensive54x$972+308%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ADBE's PE is in its cheap range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.9x next year's earnings.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ADBE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ADBE, with profitability improving.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ADBE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+48%$353.31
Downside-13%$208.15

Calculated from the latest close: $238.54 on Nov 12.

ADBE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails ADBE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ADBE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.82Q1 2024: $10.47Q2 2024: $11.14Q3 2024: $11.85Q4 2024: $12.36Q1 2025: $15.14Q2 2025: $15.59Q3 2025: $16.01Q4 2025: $16.70Q1 2026: $17.16Q2 2026: $17.47Q3 2026: $17.91Forward: $26.84
Q4 2023: $11.82Q1 2024: $10.47Q2 2024: $11.14Q3 2024: $11.85Q4 2024: $12.36Q1 2025: $15.14Q2 2025: $15.59Q3 2025: $16.01Q4 2025: $16.70Q1 2026: $17.16Q2 2026: $17.47Q3 2026: $17.91Forward: $26.84
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$26.84+50%
Q3 2026$17.91+12%
Q2 2026$17.47+12%
Q1 2026$17.16+13%
Q4 2025$16.70+35%
Q3 2025$16.01+35%
Q2 2025$15.59+40%
Q1 2025$15.14+45%
Q4 2024$12.36+4.6%

ADBE has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

ADBE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5BQ1 2024: $5.2BQ2 2024: $5.3BQ3 2024: $5.4BQ4 2024: $5.6BQ1 2025: $5.7BQ2 2025: $5.9BQ3 2025: $6BQ4 2025: $6.2BQ1 2026: $6.4BQ2 2026: $6.6BQ3 2026: $6.8B
Q4 2023: $5BQ1 2024: $5.2BQ2 2024: $5.3BQ3 2024: $5.4BQ4 2024: $5.6BQ1 2025: $5.7BQ2 2025: $5.9BQ3 2025: $6BQ4 2025: $6.2BQ1 2026: $6.4BQ2 2026: $6.6BQ3 2026: $6.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.8B+13%
Q2 2026$6.6B+13%
Q1 2026$6.4B+12%
Q4 2025$6.2B+10%
Q3 2025$6B+11%
Q2 2025$5.9B+11%
Q1 2025$5.7B+10%
Q4 2024$5.6B+11%

ADBE's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $6.8B last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

ADBE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $2.9BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: $2.4B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $2.9BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: $2.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.4B+15%
Q2 2026$2.1B-1.7%
Q1 2026$2.9B+19%
Q4 2025$3.1B+8.8%
Q3 2025$2.1B+8.2%
Q2 2025$2.1B+13%
Q1 2025$2.5B+116%
Q4 2024$2.9B+85%

ADBE has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

ADBE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 459MQ1 2024: 456MQ2 2024: 451MQ3 2024: 448MQ4 2024: 450MQ1 2025: 438MQ2 2025: 429MQ3 2025: 424MQ4 2025: 427MQ1 2026: 411MQ2 2026: 403MQ3 2026: 396M
Q4 2023: 459MQ1 2024: 456MQ2 2024: 451MQ3 2024: 448MQ4 2024: 450MQ1 2025: 438MQ2 2025: 429MQ3 2025: 424MQ4 2025: 427MQ1 2026: 411MQ2 2026: 403MQ3 2026: 396M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.7%-7M shares
1 year-6.7%-28.6M shares
3 years-14%-64M shares
5 years-18%-85.2M shares
Available history-20%-96.1M shares

ADBE has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

ADBE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash

ADBE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ADBE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.4Neutral
Stochastic25.8Neutral

ADBE's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

ADBE PE vs Technology Sector

MetricADBESector medianRelative
PE13x28x52% below
PE %33532 pts below

ADBE is trading at 13x earnings, a 52% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ADBE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$244.12.3% below
20 week MA$248.64.1% below
50 week MA$261.68.8% below
100 week MA$321.826% below
200 week MA$410.642% below

ADBE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 42% below its 200-week average.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

ADBE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.8$499.9+51%
2021$499.9$569.6+14%
2022$569.6$338.5-41%
2023$338.5$596.6+76%
2024$596.6$446.5-25%
2025$446.5$353.8-21%
2026 YTD$353.8$238.5-33%

ADBE has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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