ADBE

Adobe Inc.

80
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation93/ 100
Upside potential79/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

ADBE has the edge over RDDT overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

RDDT

Reddit, Inc.

70
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

RDDT offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ADBE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

ADBE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RDDT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

RDDT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ADBE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x35x53x71x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x35x53x71x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward8.9x$239—
Current13x$239—
Cheap22x$396+66%
Fair43x$771+223%
Expensive54x$972+308%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ADBE's PE is in its cheap range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.9x next year's earnings.

RDDT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$99.55—
Current20x$99.55—
Cheap35x$171+72%
Fair46x$228+129%
Expensive53x$262+163%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RDDT has the edge over ADBE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ADBE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ADBE, with profitability improving.

RDDT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for RDDT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ADBE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+48%$353.31
Downside-13%$208.15

Calculated from the latest close: $238.54 on Nov 12.

ADBE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RDDT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDDT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+77%$175.99
Downside-41%$58.49

Calculated from the latest close: $99.55 on Nov 12.

RDDT trails ADBE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ADBE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.82Q1 2024: $10.47Q2 2024: $11.14Q3 2024: $11.85Q4 2024: $12.36Q1 2025: $15.14Q2 2025: $15.59Q3 2025: $16.01Q4 2025: $16.70Q1 2026: $17.16Q2 2026: $17.47Q3 2026: $17.91Forward: $26.84
Q4 2023: $11.82Q1 2024: $10.47Q2 2024: $11.14Q3 2024: $11.85Q4 2024: $12.36Q1 2025: $15.14Q2 2025: $15.59Q3 2025: $16.01Q4 2025: $16.70Q1 2026: $17.16Q2 2026: $17.47Q3 2026: $17.91Forward: $26.84
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$26.84+50%
Q3 2026$17.91+12%
Q2 2026$17.47+12%
Q1 2026$17.16+13%
Q4 2025$16.70+35%
Q3 2025$16.01+35%
Q2 2025$15.59+40%
Q1 2025$15.14+45%
Q4 2024$12.36+4.6%

ADBE has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 12% for ADBE versus RDDT down 39%.

RDDT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.32+29%
Q3 2024-$7.98-$7.17
Q2 2024-$8.19-$7.15
Q1 2024-$8.38-$7.25
Q4 2023-$0.56+$0.41
Q3 2023-$0.81-$0.02
Q2 2023-$1.04-$0.48
Q1 2023-$1.13-$0.48
Q4 2022-$0.97-$0.19

RDDT has returned to profit: it earned $4.90 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

ADBE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5BQ1 2024: $5.2BQ2 2024: $5.3BQ3 2024: $5.4BQ4 2024: $5.6BQ1 2025: $5.7BQ2 2025: $5.9BQ3 2025: $6BQ4 2025: $6.2BQ1 2026: $6.4BQ2 2026: $6.6BQ3 2026: $6.8B
Q4 2023: $5BQ1 2024: $5.2BQ2 2024: $5.3BQ3 2024: $5.4BQ4 2024: $5.6BQ1 2025: $5.7BQ2 2025: $5.9BQ3 2025: $6BQ4 2025: $6.2BQ1 2026: $6.4BQ2 2026: $6.6BQ3 2026: $6.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.8B+13%
Q2 2026$6.6B+13%
Q1 2026$6.4B+12%
Q4 2025$6.2B+10%
Q3 2025$6B+11%
Q2 2025$5.9B+11%
Q1 2025$5.7B+10%
Q4 2024$5.6B+11%

ADBE's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $6.8B last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDDT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$895M+53%
Q2 2026$804.9M+61%
Q1 2026$663.4M+69%
Q4 2025$725.6M+70%
Q3 2025$584.9M+68%
Q2 2025$499.6M+78%
Q1 2025$392.4M+61%
Q4 2024$427.7M+71%

RDDT has the edge over ADBE on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ADBE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $2.9BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: $2.4B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $2.9BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: $2.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.4B+15%
Q2 2026$2.1B-1.7%
Q1 2026$2.9B+19%
Q4 2025$3.1B+8.8%
Q3 2025$2.1B+8.2%
Q2 2025$2.1B+13%
Q1 2025$2.5B+116%
Q4 2024$2.9B+85%

ADBE's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $10.6B over the past year, up 10% from the year before.

RDDT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$362.6M+98%
Q2 2026$260.7M+135%
Q1 2026$311.2M+146%
Q4 2025$263.6M+196%
Q3 2025$183.1M+161%
Q2 2025$110.8M+308%
Q1 2025$126.6M+333%
Q4 2024$89.2M+$111.2M

RDDT has the edge over ADBE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ADBE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 459MQ1 2024: 456MQ2 2024: 451MQ3 2024: 448MQ4 2024: 450MQ1 2025: 438MQ2 2025: 429MQ3 2025: 424MQ4 2025: 427MQ1 2026: 411MQ2 2026: 403MQ3 2026: 396M
Q4 2023: 459MQ1 2024: 456MQ2 2024: 451MQ3 2024: 448MQ4 2024: 450MQ1 2025: 438MQ2 2025: 429MQ3 2025: 424MQ4 2025: 427MQ1 2026: 411MQ2 2026: 403MQ3 2026: 396M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.7%-7M shares
1 year-6.7%-28.6M shares
3 years-14%-64M shares
5 years-18%-85.2M shares
Available history-20%-96.1M shares

ADBE has the edge over RDDT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDDT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-169K shares
1 year-0.4%-868K shares
3 years+24%+38.5M shares
5 years+24%+38.5M shares

RDDT has 202M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

ADBE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash

ADBE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

RDDT Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-5.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-13.1xNet Cash

RDDT has the edge over ADBE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ADBE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.4Neutral
Stochastic25.8Neutral

ADBE's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

RDDT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.8Neutral
Stochastic6.5Oversold

RDDT's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

ADBE PE vs Technology Sector

MetricADBESector medianRelative
PE13x28x52% below
PE %33532 pts below

ADBE has the edge over RDDT on valuation relative to its sector.

RDDT PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricRDDTSector medianRelative
PE20x16x23% above
PE %52318 pts below

RDDT is trading at 20x earnings, a 23% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.

ADBE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$244.12.3% below
20 week MA$248.64.1% below
50 week MA$261.68.8% below
100 week MA$321.826% below
200 week MA$410.642% below

RDDT has stronger trend alignment. ADBE is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus RDDT above 0 of 4.

RDDT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$130.624% below
20 week MA$151.734% below
50 week MA$165.040% below
100 week MA$167.140% below

RDDT is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 100-week average.

ADBE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.8$499.9+51%
2021$499.9$569.6+14%
2022$569.6$338.5-41%
2023$338.5$596.6+76%
2024$596.6$446.5-25%
2025$446.5$353.8-21%
2026 YTD$353.8$238.5-33%

ADBE has the edge over RDDT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RDDT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$46.0$173.5+277%
2025$173.5$225.8+30%
2026 YTD$225.8$99.6-56%

RDDT has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 56% so far in 2026.

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