ADBE
Adobe Inc.
ADBE has the edge over MSFT overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
ADBE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
ADBE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
ADBE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 8.9x | $239 | — |
| Current | 13x | $239 | — |
| Cheap | 22x | $396 | +66% |
| Fair | 43x | $771 | +223% |
| Expensive | 54x | $972 | +308% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ADBE has the edge over MSFT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
ADBE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
ADBE has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
ADBE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $26.84 | +50% |
| Q3 2026 | $17.91 | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.47 | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.16 | +13% |
| Q4 2025 | $16.70 | +35% |
| Q3 2025 | $16.01 | +35% |
| Q2 2025 | $15.59 | +40% |
| Q1 2025 | $15.14 | +45% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.36 | +4.6% |
ADBE has the edge over MSFT on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.
ADBE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6.8B | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.6B | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.4B | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.2B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $6B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.9B | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.7B | +10% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.6B | +11% |
ADBE's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $6.8B last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 35% | -1.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | -2.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 38% | -0.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 36% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 36% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 38% | +20 points |
| Q4 2024 | 35% | +0.4 points |
ADBE's operating margin was 35% last quarter, down 1.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over ADBE on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over ADBE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ADBE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.4B | +15% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.1B | -1.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.9B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.1B | +8.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.1B | +8.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.1B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.5B | +116% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.9B | +85% |
ADBE has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
ADBE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.7% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -6.7% | -28.6M shares |
| 3 years | -14% | -64M shares |
| 5 years | -18% | -85.2M shares |
| Available history | -20% | -96.1M shares |
ADBE has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $2.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $2.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $2.1B |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $3.3B |
| Q4 2024 | $2.5B |
ADBE spent $9.3B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 18% from the year before.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
ADBE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
ADBE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
ADBE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.8 | Neutral |
ADBE's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
ADBE PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ADBE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 28x | 52% below |
| PE % | 3 | 35 | 32 pts below |
ADBE has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ADBE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $244.1 | 2.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $248.6 | 4.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $261.6 | 8.8% below |
| 100 week MA | $321.8 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $410.6 | 42% below |
ADBE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 42% below its 200-week average.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over ADBE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ADBE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $330.8 | $499.9 | +51% |
| 2021 | $499.9 | $569.6 | +14% |
| 2022 | $569.6 | $338.5 | -41% |
| 2023 | $338.5 | $596.6 | +76% |
| 2024 | $596.6 | $446.5 | -25% |
| 2025 | $446.5 | $353.8 | -21% |
| 2026 YTD | $353.8 | $238.5 | -33% |
ADBE has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 33% so far in 2026.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over ADBE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.