ADBE

Adobe Inc.

80
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation93/ 100
Upside potential79/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

ADBE has the edge over META overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

META

Meta Platforms, Inc.

65
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

META trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

ADBE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

ADBE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

META Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

META's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

ADBE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x35x53x71x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x35x53x71x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward8.9x$239—
Current13x$239—
Cheap22x$396+66%
Fair43x$771+223%
Expensive54x$972+308%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ADBE has the edge over META in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

META PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$624—
Cheap21x$613-1.7%
Current21x$624—
Fair27x$803+29%
Expensive32x$934+50%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

META's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

ADBE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

ADBE has the edge over META on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

META Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for META, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ADBE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+48%$353.31
Downside-13%$208.15

Calculated from the latest close: $238.54 on Nov 12.

ADBE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than META, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

META Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$829.21
Downside-18%$513.25

Calculated from the latest close: $623.61 on Nov 12.

META trails ADBE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

ADBE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.82Q1 2024: $10.47Q2 2024: $11.14Q3 2024: $11.85Q4 2024: $12.36Q1 2025: $15.14Q2 2025: $15.59Q3 2025: $16.01Q4 2025: $16.70Q1 2026: $17.16Q2 2026: $17.47Q3 2026: $17.91Forward: $26.84
Q4 2023: $11.82Q1 2024: $10.47Q2 2024: $11.14Q3 2024: $11.85Q4 2024: $12.36Q1 2025: $15.14Q2 2025: $15.59Q3 2025: $16.01Q4 2025: $16.70Q1 2026: $17.16Q2 2026: $17.47Q3 2026: $17.91Forward: $26.84
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$26.84+50%
Q3 2026$17.91+12%
Q2 2026$17.47+12%
Q1 2026$17.16+13%
Q4 2025$16.70+35%
Q3 2025$16.01+35%
Q2 2025$15.59+40%
Q1 2025$15.14+45%
Q4 2024$12.36+4.6%

ADBE has the edge over META on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

META Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $14.87Q1 2024: $17.38Q2 2024: $19.56Q3 2024: $21.20Q4 2024: $23.86Q1 2025: $25.58Q2 2025: $27.56Q3 2025: $22.58Q4 2025: $23.49Q1 2026: $27.50Q2 2026: $26.54Q3 2026: $29.32Forward: $32.16
Q4 2023: $14.87Q1 2024: $17.38Q2 2024: $19.56Q3 2024: $21.20Q4 2024: $23.86Q1 2025: $25.58Q2 2025: $27.56Q3 2025: $22.58Q4 2025: $23.49Q1 2026: $27.50Q2 2026: $26.54Q3 2026: $29.32Forward: $32.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$32.16+9.7%
Q3 2026$29.32+30%
Q2 2026$26.54-3.7%
Q1 2026$27.50+7.5%
Q4 2025$23.49-1.6%
Q3 2025$22.58+6.5%
Q2 2025$27.56+41%
Q1 2025$25.58+47%
Q4 2024$23.86+60%

META earned $29.32 per share over the past year, up 30% from the year before.

ADBE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5BQ1 2024: $5.2BQ2 2024: $5.3BQ3 2024: $5.4BQ4 2024: $5.6BQ1 2025: $5.7BQ2 2025: $5.9BQ3 2025: $6BQ4 2025: $6.2BQ1 2026: $6.4BQ2 2026: $6.6BQ3 2026: $6.8B
Q4 2023: $5BQ1 2024: $5.2BQ2 2024: $5.3BQ3 2024: $5.4BQ4 2024: $5.6BQ1 2025: $5.7BQ2 2025: $5.9BQ3 2025: $6BQ4 2025: $6.2BQ1 2026: $6.4BQ2 2026: $6.6BQ3 2026: $6.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.8B+13%
Q2 2026$6.6B+13%
Q1 2026$6.4B+12%
Q4 2025$6.2B+10%
Q3 2025$6B+11%
Q2 2025$5.9B+11%
Q1 2025$5.7B+10%
Q4 2024$5.6B+11%

ADBE's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $6.8B last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

META Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $40.1BQ1 2024: $36.5BQ2 2024: $39.1BQ3 2024: $40.6BQ4 2024: $48.4BQ1 2025: $42.3BQ2 2025: $47.5BQ3 2025: $51.2BQ4 2025: $59.9BQ1 2026: $56.3BQ2 2026: $60.8BQ3 2026: $64.6B
Q4 2023: $40.1BQ1 2024: $36.5BQ2 2024: $39.1BQ3 2024: $40.6BQ4 2024: $48.4BQ1 2025: $42.3BQ2 2025: $47.5BQ3 2025: $51.2BQ4 2025: $59.9BQ1 2026: $56.3BQ2 2026: $60.8BQ3 2026: $64.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$64.6B+26%
Q2 2026$60.8B+28%
Q1 2026$56.3B+33%
Q4 2025$59.9B+24%
Q3 2025$51.2B+26%
Q2 2025$47.5B+22%
Q1 2025$42.3B+16%
Q4 2024$48.4B+21%

META has the edge over ADBE on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ADBE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $2.9BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: $2.4B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $2.9BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: $2.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.4B+15%
Q2 2026$2.1B-1.7%
Q1 2026$2.9B+19%
Q4 2025$3.1B+8.8%
Q3 2025$2.1B+8.2%
Q2 2025$2.1B+13%
Q1 2025$2.5B+116%
Q4 2024$2.9B+85%

ADBE has the edge over META on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

META Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $11.7BQ1 2024: $12.8BQ2 2024: $11.2BQ3 2024: $16.5BQ4 2024: $13.6BQ1 2025: $11.1BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.2BQ4 2025: $14.8BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $11.7BQ1 2024: $12.8BQ2 2024: $11.2BQ3 2024: $16.5BQ4 2024: $13.6BQ1 2025: $11.1BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.2BQ4 2025: $14.8BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-110%
Q2 2026$1.7B-81%
Q1 2026$13.2B+19%
Q4 2025$14.8B+9.3%
Q3 2025$11.2B-32%
Q2 2025$9B-19%
Q1 2025$11.1B-14%
Q4 2024$13.6B+16%

META usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$1.2B, but it generated $28.6B over the past year.

ADBE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 459MQ1 2024: 456MQ2 2024: 451MQ3 2024: 448MQ4 2024: 450MQ1 2025: 438MQ2 2025: 429MQ3 2025: 424MQ4 2025: 427MQ1 2026: 411MQ2 2026: 403MQ3 2026: 396M
Q4 2023: 459MQ1 2024: 456MQ2 2024: 451MQ3 2024: 448MQ4 2024: 450MQ1 2025: 438MQ2 2025: 429MQ3 2025: 424MQ4 2025: 427MQ1 2026: 411MQ2 2026: 403MQ3 2026: 396M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.7%-7M shares
1 year-6.7%-28.6M shares
3 years-14%-64M shares
5 years-18%-85.2M shares
Available history-20%-96.1M shares

ADBE has the edge over META on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

META Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.6BQ1 2024: 2.6BQ2 2024: 2.6BQ3 2024: 2.6BQ4 2024: 2.6BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
Q4 2023: 2.6BQ1 2024: 2.6BQ2 2024: 2.6BQ3 2024: 2.6BQ4 2024: 2.6BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+7M shares
1 year0%+1M shares
3 years-2.6%-68M shares
5 years-10%-286M shares
Available history-11%-303M shares

META has 2.6B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

ADBE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash

ADBE has the edge over META on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

META Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

META's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ADBE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.4Neutral
Stochastic25.8Neutral

ADBE's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

META Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.2Neutral
Stochastic33.7Neutral

META's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

ADBE PE vs Technology Sector

MetricADBESector medianRelative
PE13x28x52% below
PE %33532 pts below

ADBE has the edge over META on valuation relative to its sector.

META PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricMETASector medianRelative
PE21x16x29% above
PE %18268 pts below

META is trading at 21x earnings, a 29% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

ADBE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$244.12.3% below
20 week MA$248.64.1% below
50 week MA$261.68.8% below
100 week MA$321.826% below
200 week MA$410.642% below

ADBE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 42% below its 200-week average.

META Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$674.97.6% below
20 week MA$634.51.7% below
50 week MA$630.81.1% below
100 week MA$647.83.7% below
200 week MA$517.521% above

META has the edge over ADBE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ADBE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.8$499.9+51%
2021$499.9$569.6+14%
2022$569.6$338.5-41%
2023$338.5$596.6+76%
2024$596.6$446.5-25%
2025$446.5$353.8-21%
2026 YTD$353.8$238.5-33%

ADBE has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 33% so far in 2026.

META Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$208.1$267.4+28%
2021$267.4$335.2+25%
2022$335.2$118.0-65%
2023$118.0$354.0+200%
2024$354.0$599.8+69%
2025$599.8$663.3+11%
2026 YTD$663.3$623.6-6%

META has the edge over ADBE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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