ADBE

Adobe Inc.

80
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation93/ 100
Upside potential79/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

ADBE has the edge over LITE overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

LITE

Lumentum Holdings Inc.

77
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential45/ 100

LITE offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ADBE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

ADBE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

LITE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

LITE's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

ADBE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x35x53x71x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x35x53x71x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward8.9x$239—
Current13x$239—
Cheap22x$396+66%
Fair43x$771+223%
Expensive54x$972+308%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ADBE's PE is in its cheap range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.9x next year's earnings.

LITE PE Valuation

LITE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ADBE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ADBE, with profitability improving.

LITE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LITE, with profitability improving.

ADBE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+48%$353.31
Downside-13%$208.15

Calculated from the latest close: $238.54 on Nov 12.

ADBE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LITE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LITE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+92%$1,197.24
Downside-45%$341.49

Calculated from the latest close: $624.65 on Nov 12.

LITE trails ADBE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ADBE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.82Q1 2024: $10.47Q2 2024: $11.14Q3 2024: $11.85Q4 2024: $12.36Q1 2025: $15.14Q2 2025: $15.59Q3 2025: $16.01Q4 2025: $16.70Q1 2026: $17.16Q2 2026: $17.47Q3 2026: $17.91Forward: $26.84
Q4 2023: $11.82Q1 2024: $10.47Q2 2024: $11.14Q3 2024: $11.85Q4 2024: $12.36Q1 2025: $15.14Q2 2025: $15.59Q3 2025: $16.01Q4 2025: $16.70Q1 2026: $17.16Q2 2026: $17.47Q3 2026: $17.91Forward: $26.84
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$26.84+50%
Q3 2026$17.91+12%
Q2 2026$17.47+12%
Q1 2026$17.16+13%
Q4 2025$16.70+35%
Q3 2025$16.01+35%
Q2 2025$15.59+40%
Q1 2025$15.14+45%
Q4 2024$12.36+4.6%

ADBE has the edge over LITE on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LITE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.95Q1 2024: $-5.26Q2 2024: $-8.12Q3 2024: $-8.31Q4 2024: $-7.72Q1 2025: $-6.48Q2 2025: $0.37Q3 2025: $1.63Q4 2025: $3.40Q1 2026: $5.54Q2 2026: $-92.96Q3 2026: $-89.47Forward: $29.10
Q4 2023: $-3.95Q1 2024: $-5.26Q2 2024: $-8.12Q3 2024: $-8.31Q4 2024: $-7.72Q1 2025: $-6.48Q2 2025: $0.37Q3 2025: $1.63Q4 2025: $3.40Q1 2026: $5.54Q2 2026: $-92.96Q3 2026: $-89.47Forward: $29.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$29.10—
Q3 2026-$89.47-5589%
Q2 2026-$92.96-25224%
Q1 2026$5.54+$12.02
Q4 2025$3.40+$11.12
Q3 2025$1.63+$9.94
Q2 2025$0.37+$8.49
Q1 2025-$6.48-$1.22
Q4 2024-$7.72-$3.77

LITE has swung to a loss: it lost $89.47 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

ADBE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5BQ1 2024: $5.2BQ2 2024: $5.3BQ3 2024: $5.4BQ4 2024: $5.6BQ1 2025: $5.7BQ2 2025: $5.9BQ3 2025: $6BQ4 2025: $6.2BQ1 2026: $6.4BQ2 2026: $6.6BQ3 2026: $6.8B
Q4 2023: $5BQ1 2024: $5.2BQ2 2024: $5.3BQ3 2024: $5.4BQ4 2024: $5.6BQ1 2025: $5.7BQ2 2025: $5.9BQ3 2025: $6BQ4 2025: $6.2BQ1 2026: $6.4BQ2 2026: $6.6BQ3 2026: $6.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.8B+13%
Q2 2026$6.6B+13%
Q1 2026$6.4B+12%
Q4 2025$6.2B+10%
Q3 2025$6B+11%
Q2 2025$5.9B+11%
Q1 2025$5.7B+10%
Q4 2024$5.6B+11%

ADBE's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $6.8B last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

LITE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $367MQ1 2024: $367MQ2 2024: $308MQ3 2024: $337MQ4 2024: $402MQ1 2025: $425MQ2 2025: $481MQ3 2025: $534MQ4 2025: $666MQ1 2026: $808MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $367MQ1 2024: $367MQ2 2024: $308MQ3 2024: $337MQ4 2024: $402MQ1 2025: $425MQ2 2025: $481MQ3 2025: $534MQ4 2025: $666MQ1 2026: $808MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+137%
Q2 2026$1B+109%
Q1 2026$808.4M+90%
Q4 2025$665.5M+65%
Q3 2025$533.8M+58%
Q2 2025$480.7M+56%
Q1 2025$425.2M+16%
Q4 2024$402.2M+9.7%

LITE has the edge over ADBE on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ADBE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $2.9BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: $2.4B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $2.9BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: $2.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.4B+15%
Q2 2026$2.1B-1.7%
Q1 2026$2.9B+19%
Q4 2025$3.1B+8.8%
Q3 2025$2.1B+8.2%
Q2 2025$2.1B+13%
Q1 2025$2.5B+116%
Q4 2024$2.9B+85%

ADBE has the edge over LITE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LITE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$33MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: −$35MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: −$64MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: −$18MQ4 2025: $43MQ1 2026: $79MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $38M
Q4 2023: −$33MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: −$35MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: −$64MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: −$18MQ4 2025: $43MQ1 2026: $79MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $38M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$37.9M+$56.2M
Q2 2026$196.2M+1843%
Q1 2026$79.1M+$143.5M
Q4 2025$43.1M+$59M
Q3 2025-$18.3M+$16.2M
Q2 2025$10.1M-7.3%
Q1 2025-$64.4M-$37.8M
Q4 2024-$15.9M+$16.6M

LITE's free cash flow has turned positive after three years mostly in the red: $356M over the past year.

ADBE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 459MQ1 2024: 456MQ2 2024: 451MQ3 2024: 448MQ4 2024: 450MQ1 2025: 438MQ2 2025: 429MQ3 2025: 424MQ4 2025: 427MQ1 2026: 411MQ2 2026: 403MQ3 2026: 396M
Q4 2023: 459MQ1 2024: 456MQ2 2024: 451MQ3 2024: 448MQ4 2024: 450MQ1 2025: 438MQ2 2025: 429MQ3 2025: 424MQ4 2025: 427MQ1 2026: 411MQ2 2026: 403MQ3 2026: 396M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.7%-7M shares
1 year-6.7%-28.6M shares
3 years-14%-64M shares
5 years-18%-85.2M shares
Available history-20%-96.1M shares

ADBE has the edge over LITE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LITE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 67MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 68MQ4 2024: 69MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 78MQ4 2025: 88MQ1 2026: 96MQ3 2026: 102M
Q4 2023: 67MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 68MQ4 2024: 69MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 78MQ4 2025: 88MQ1 2026: 96MQ3 2026: 102M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+5.7%+5.5M shares
1 year+46%+32.1M shares
3 years+49%+33.4M shares
5 years+31%+24.2M shares
Available history+30%+23.7M shares

LITE has 102M diluted shares, up 46% from a year ago.

ADBE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash

ADBE has the edge over LITE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LITE Net Leverage

Q2 2025: 27.9xQ3 2025: 22.7xQ4 2025: 21.6xQ1 2026: 7.9xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q2 2025: 27.9xQ3 2025: 22.7xQ4 2025: 21.6xQ1 2026: 7.9xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20267.9xHigh
Q4 202521.6xHigh
Q3 202522.7xHigh
Q2 202527.9xHigh
Q3 2023-34.7xNet Cash
Q2 2023-7.2xNet Cash

LITE's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

ADBE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.4Neutral
Stochastic25.8Neutral

ADBE's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

LITE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.0Neutral
Stochastic22.8Neutral

LITE's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

ADBE PE vs Technology Sector

MetricADBESector medianRelative
PE13x28x52% below
PE %33532 pts below

ADBE is trading at 13x earnings, a 52% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

LITE PE vs Technology Sector

MetricLITESector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

LITE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ADBE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$244.12.3% below
20 week MA$248.64.1% below
50 week MA$261.68.8% below
100 week MA$321.826% below
200 week MA$410.642% below

ADBE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 42% below its 200-week average.

LITE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$839.326% below
20 week MA$838.626% below
50 week MA$732.715% below
100 week MA$422.748% above
200 week MA$237.9163% above

LITE has the edge over ADBE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ADBE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.8$499.9+51%
2021$499.9$569.6+14%
2022$569.6$338.5-41%
2023$338.5$596.6+76%
2024$596.6$446.5-25%
2025$446.5$353.8-21%
2026 YTD$353.8$238.5-33%

ADBE has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 33% so far in 2026.

LITE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$79.0$98.3+24%
2021$98.3$104.5+6.3%
2022$104.5$50.6-52%
2023$50.6$52.4+3.7%
2024$52.4$84.4+61%
2025$84.4$390.8+363%
2026 YTD$390.8$624.7+60%

LITE has the edge over ADBE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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