ADBE

Adobe Inc.

80
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation93/ 100
Upside potential79/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

ADBE has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

DDOG

Datadog, Inc.

83
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation78/ 100
Upside potential85/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

DDOG has a slight edge over ADBE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

ADBE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

ADBE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

DDOG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

DDOG's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ADBE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x35x53x71x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x35x53x71x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward8.9x$239—
Current13x$239—
Cheap22x$396+66%
Fair43x$771+223%
Expensive54x$972+308%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ADBE has the edge over DDOG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

DDOG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2520x5041x7561x10082x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2520x5041x7561x10082x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward62x$184—
Cheap251x$181-2.1%
Current256x$184—
Fair379x$273+48%
Expensive621x$447+142%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DDOG's PE is in its cheap range at 256x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 62x next year's earnings.

ADBE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

ADBE has the edge over DDOG on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

DDOG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Broad
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for DDOG, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ADBE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+48%$353.31
Downside-13%$208.15

Calculated from the latest close: $238.54 on Nov 12.

ADBE trails DDOG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DDOG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+95%$358.84
Downside-17%$153.66

Calculated from the latest close: $184.46 on Nov 12.

DDOG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ADBE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ADBE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.82Q1 2024: $10.47Q2 2024: $11.14Q3 2024: $11.85Q4 2024: $12.36Q1 2025: $15.14Q2 2025: $15.59Q3 2025: $16.01Q4 2025: $16.70Q1 2026: $17.16Q2 2026: $17.47Q3 2026: $17.91Forward: $26.84
Q4 2023: $11.82Q1 2024: $10.47Q2 2024: $11.14Q3 2024: $11.85Q4 2024: $12.36Q1 2025: $15.14Q2 2025: $15.59Q3 2025: $16.01Q4 2025: $16.70Q1 2026: $17.16Q2 2026: $17.47Q3 2026: $17.91Forward: $26.84
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$26.84+50%
Q3 2026$17.91+12%
Q2 2026$17.47+12%
Q1 2026$17.16+13%
Q4 2025$16.70+35%
Q3 2025$16.01+35%
Q2 2025$15.59+40%
Q1 2025$15.14+45%
Q4 2024$12.36+4.6%

ADBE has the edge over DDOG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DDOG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.14Q1 2024: $0.34Q2 2024: $0.47Q3 2024: $0.55Q4 2024: $0.52Q1 2025: $0.47Q2 2025: $0.36Q3 2025: $0.32Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.39Q2 2026: $0.50Q3 2026: $0.72Forward: $2.99
Q4 2023: $0.14Q1 2024: $0.34Q2 2024: $0.47Q3 2024: $0.55Q4 2024: $0.52Q1 2025: $0.47Q2 2025: $0.36Q3 2025: $0.32Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.39Q2 2026: $0.50Q3 2026: $0.72Forward: $2.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.99+315%
Q3 2026$0.72+125%
Q2 2026$0.50+39%
Q1 2026$0.39-17%
Q4 2025$0.31-40%
Q3 2025$0.32-42%
Q2 2025$0.36-23%
Q1 2025$0.47+38%
Q4 2024$0.52+271%

DDOG earned $0.72 per share over the past year, up 125% from the year before.

ADBE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5BQ1 2024: $5.2BQ2 2024: $5.3BQ3 2024: $5.4BQ4 2024: $5.6BQ1 2025: $5.7BQ2 2025: $5.9BQ3 2025: $6BQ4 2025: $6.2BQ1 2026: $6.4BQ2 2026: $6.6BQ3 2026: $6.8B
Q4 2023: $5BQ1 2024: $5.2BQ2 2024: $5.3BQ3 2024: $5.4BQ4 2024: $5.6BQ1 2025: $5.7BQ2 2025: $5.9BQ3 2025: $6BQ4 2025: $6.2BQ1 2026: $6.4BQ2 2026: $6.6BQ3 2026: $6.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.8B+13%
Q2 2026$6.6B+13%
Q1 2026$6.4B+12%
Q4 2025$6.2B+10%
Q3 2025$6B+11%
Q2 2025$5.9B+11%
Q1 2025$5.7B+10%
Q4 2024$5.6B+11%

ADBE's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $6.8B last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

DDOG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $590MQ1 2024: $611MQ2 2024: $645MQ3 2024: $690MQ4 2024: $738MQ1 2025: $762MQ2 2025: $827MQ3 2025: $886MQ4 2025: $953MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $590MQ1 2024: $611MQ2 2024: $645MQ3 2024: $690MQ4 2024: $738MQ1 2025: $762MQ2 2025: $827MQ3 2025: $886MQ4 2025: $953MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+35%
Q2 2026$1.1B+36%
Q1 2026$1B+32%
Q4 2025$953.2M+29%
Q3 2025$885.7M+28%
Q2 2025$826.8M+28%
Q1 2025$761.6M+25%
Q4 2024$737.7M+25%

DDOG has the edge over ADBE on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ADBE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $2.9BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: $2.4B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $2.9BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: $2.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.4B+15%
Q2 2026$2.1B-1.7%
Q1 2026$2.9B+19%
Q4 2025$3.1B+8.8%
Q3 2025$2.1B+8.2%
Q2 2025$2.1B+13%
Q1 2025$2.5B+116%
Q4 2024$2.9B+85%

ADBE's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $10.6B over the past year, up 10% from the year before.

DDOG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $210MQ1 2024: $198MQ2 2024: $160MQ3 2024: $220MQ4 2024: $257MQ1 2025: $263MQ2 2025: $185MQ3 2025: $235MQ4 2025: $318MQ1 2026: $323MQ2 2026: $306MQ3 2026: $279M
Q4 2023: $210MQ1 2024: $198MQ2 2024: $160MQ3 2024: $220MQ4 2024: $257MQ1 2025: $263MQ2 2025: $185MQ3 2025: $235MQ4 2025: $318MQ1 2026: $323MQ2 2026: $306MQ3 2026: $279M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$279.1M+19%
Q2 2026$306M+65%
Q1 2026$323.3M+23%
Q4 2025$318.2M+24%
Q3 2025$234.7M+6.5%
Q2 2025$184.9M+16%
Q1 2025$262.8M+33%
Q4 2024$257.5M+23%

DDOG has the edge over ADBE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ADBE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 459MQ1 2024: 456MQ2 2024: 451MQ3 2024: 448MQ4 2024: 450MQ1 2025: 438MQ2 2025: 429MQ3 2025: 424MQ4 2025: 427MQ1 2026: 411MQ2 2026: 403MQ3 2026: 396M
Q4 2023: 459MQ1 2024: 456MQ2 2024: 451MQ3 2024: 448MQ4 2024: 450MQ1 2025: 438MQ2 2025: 429MQ3 2025: 424MQ4 2025: 427MQ1 2026: 411MQ2 2026: 403MQ3 2026: 396M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.7%-7M shares
1 year-6.7%-28.6M shares
3 years-14%-64M shares
5 years-18%-85.2M shares
Available history-20%-96.1M shares

ADBE has the edge over DDOG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

DDOG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 350MQ1 2024: 356MQ2 2024: 357MQ3 2024: 358MQ4 2024: 359MQ1 2025: 363MQ2 2025: 359MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 363MQ1 2026: 365MQ2 2026: 371MQ3 2026: 375M
Q4 2023: 350MQ1 2024: 356MQ2 2024: 357MQ3 2024: 358MQ4 2024: 359MQ1 2025: 363MQ2 2025: 359MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 363MQ1 2026: 365MQ2 2026: 371MQ3 2026: 375M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+4M shares
1 year+3.6%+13M shares
3 years+6.7%+23.7M shares
5 years+21%+64.8M shares
Available history+14%+47.2M shares

DDOG has 375M diluted shares, up 3.6% from a year ago.

ADBE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash

ADBE has the edge over DDOG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

DDOG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 192.8xQ1 2024: 8.9xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 3.6xQ1 2025: 6.9xQ2 2025: 16.5xQ3 2025: 94.8xQ4 2025: 123.2xQ1 2026: 18.2xQ2 2026: 7.0xQ3 2026: 0.6x
Q4 2023: 192.8xQ1 2024: 8.9xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 3.6xQ1 2025: 6.9xQ2 2025: 16.5xQ3 2025: 94.8xQ4 2025: 123.2xQ1 2026: 18.2xQ2 2026: 7.0xQ3 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.6xVery low
Q2 20267.0xHigh
Q1 202618.2xHigh
Q4 2025123.2xHigh
Q3 202594.8xHigh
Q2 202516.5xHigh
Q1 20256.9xHigh
Q4 20243.6xElevated

DDOG's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

ADBE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.4Neutral
Stochastic25.8Neutral

ADBE's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

DDOG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.5Neutral
Stochastic16.7Oversold

DDOG's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).

ADBE PE vs Technology Sector

MetricADBESector medianRelative
PE13x28x52% below
PE %33532 pts below

ADBE has the edge over DDOG on valuation relative to its sector.

DDOG PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDDOGSector medianRelative
PE256x28x820% above
PE %193516 pts below

DDOG is trading at 256x earnings, a 820% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ADBE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$244.12.3% below
20 week MA$248.64.1% below
50 week MA$261.68.8% below
100 week MA$321.826% below
200 week MA$410.642% below

ADBE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 42% below its 200-week average.

DDOG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$244.324% below
20 week MA$243.624% below
50 week MA$189.32.6% below
100 week MA$161.114% above
200 week MA$134.537% above

DDOG has the edge over ADBE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ADBE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.8$499.9+51%
2021$499.9$569.6+14%
2022$569.6$338.5-41%
2023$338.5$596.6+76%
2024$596.6$446.5-25%
2025$446.5$353.8-21%
2026 YTD$353.8$238.5-33%

ADBE has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 33% so far in 2026.

DDOG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$106.3+194%
2021$106.3$180.4+70%
2022$180.4$72.4-60%
2023$72.4$121.4+68%
2024$121.4$146.0+20%
2025$146.0$138.3-5.3%
2026 YTD$138.3$184.5+33%

DDOG has the edge over ADBE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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