ADBE

Adobe Inc.

80
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation93/ 100
Upside potential79/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

ADBE has the edge over ARM overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

ARM

Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares

67
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

ARM's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

ADBE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

ADBE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ARM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

ARM's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ADBE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x35x53x71x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x35x53x71x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward8.9x$239—
Current13x$239—
Cheap22x$396+66%
Fair43x$771+223%
Expensive54x$972+308%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ADBE has the edge over ARM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ARM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE160x321x481x642x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE160x321x481x642x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap167x$147-27%
Fair224x$197-1.4%
Current227x$200—
Expensive361x$317+59%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ARM's PE is in its fair range at 227x.

ADBE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ADBE, with profitability improving.

ARM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ARM, with profitability improving.

ADBE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+48%$353.31
Downside-13%$208.15

Calculated from the latest close: $238.54 on Nov 12.

ADBE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ARM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ARM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+80%$358.92
Downside-28%$143.85

Calculated from the latest close: $199.78 on Nov 12.

ARM trails ADBE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ADBE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.82Q1 2024: $10.47Q2 2024: $11.14Q3 2024: $11.85Q4 2024: $12.36Q1 2025: $15.14Q2 2025: $15.59Q3 2025: $16.01Q4 2025: $16.70Q1 2026: $17.16Q2 2026: $17.47Q3 2026: $17.91Forward: $26.84
Q4 2023: $11.82Q1 2024: $10.47Q2 2024: $11.14Q3 2024: $11.85Q4 2024: $12.36Q1 2025: $15.14Q2 2025: $15.59Q3 2025: $16.01Q4 2025: $16.70Q1 2026: $17.16Q2 2026: $17.47Q3 2026: $17.91Forward: $26.84
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$26.84+50%
Q3 2026$17.91+12%
Q2 2026$17.47+12%
Q1 2026$17.16+13%
Q4 2025$16.70+35%
Q3 2025$16.01+35%
Q2 2025$15.59+40%
Q1 2025$15.14+45%
Q4 2024$12.36+4.6%

ADBE has the edge over ARM on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.08Q1 2024: $0.29Q3 2024: $0.60Q4 2024: $0.76Q1 2025: $0.75Q2 2025: $0.66Q3 2025: $0.78Q4 2025: $0.75Q1 2026: $0.85Q2 2026: $0.98Q3 2026: $0.88
Q4 2023: $0.08Q1 2024: $0.29Q3 2024: $0.60Q4 2024: $0.76Q1 2025: $0.75Q2 2025: $0.66Q3 2025: $0.78Q4 2025: $0.75Q1 2026: $0.85Q2 2026: $0.98Q3 2026: $0.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.88+13%
Q2 2026$0.98+48%
Q1 2026$0.85+13%
Q4 2025$0.75-1.3%
Q3 2025$0.78+30%
Q1 2025$0.75+159%
Q4 2024$0.76+850%
Q3 2024$0.60+233%

ARM earned $0.88 per share over the past year, up 13% from the year before.

ADBE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5BQ1 2024: $5.2BQ2 2024: $5.3BQ3 2024: $5.4BQ4 2024: $5.6BQ1 2025: $5.7BQ2 2025: $5.9BQ3 2025: $6BQ4 2025: $6.2BQ1 2026: $6.4BQ2 2026: $6.6BQ3 2026: $6.8B
Q4 2023: $5BQ1 2024: $5.2BQ2 2024: $5.3BQ3 2024: $5.4BQ4 2024: $5.6BQ1 2025: $5.7BQ2 2025: $5.9BQ3 2025: $6BQ4 2025: $6.2BQ1 2026: $6.4BQ2 2026: $6.6BQ3 2026: $6.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.8B+13%
Q2 2026$6.6B+13%
Q1 2026$6.4B+12%
Q4 2025$6.2B+10%
Q3 2025$6B+11%
Q2 2025$5.9B+11%
Q1 2025$5.7B+10%
Q4 2024$5.6B+11%

ADBE's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $6.8B last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

ARM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $824MQ1 2024: $928MQ2 2024: $939MQ3 2024: $844MQ4 2024: $983MQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $824MQ1 2024: $928MQ2 2024: $939MQ3 2024: $844MQ4 2024: $983MQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+27%
Q2 2026$1.3B+22%
Q1 2026$1.5B+20%
Q4 2025$1.2B+26%
Q3 2025$1.1B+34%
Q2 2025$1.1B+12%
Q1 2025$1.2B+34%
Q4 2024$983M+19%

ARM has the edge over ADBE on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ADBE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $2.9BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: $2.4B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $2.9BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: $2.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.4B+15%
Q2 2026$2.1B-1.7%
Q1 2026$2.9B+19%
Q4 2025$3.1B+8.8%
Q3 2025$2.1B+8.2%
Q2 2025$2.1B+13%
Q1 2025$2.5B+116%
Q4 2024$2.9B+85%

ADBE has the edge over ARM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $289MQ1 2024: $656MQ2 2024: −$319MQ3 2024: −$47MQ4 2024: $360MQ1 2025: $184MQ2 2025: $178MQ3 2025: $429MQ4 2025: $186MQ1 2026: $186MQ2 2026: $705MQ3 2026: $135M
Q4 2023: $289MQ1 2024: $656MQ2 2024: −$319MQ3 2024: −$47MQ4 2024: $360MQ1 2025: $184MQ2 2025: $178MQ3 2025: $429MQ4 2025: $186MQ1 2026: $186MQ2 2026: $705MQ3 2026: $135M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$135M-69%
Q2 2026$705M+296%
Q1 2026$186M+1.1%
Q4 2025$186M-48%
Q3 2025$429M+$476M
Q2 2025$178M+$497M
Q1 2025$184M-72%
Q4 2024$360M+25%

ARM generated $1.2B in free cash flow over the past year, up 5.3% from the year before.

ADBE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 459MQ1 2024: 456MQ2 2024: 451MQ3 2024: 448MQ4 2024: 450MQ1 2025: 438MQ2 2025: 429MQ3 2025: 424MQ4 2025: 427MQ1 2026: 411MQ2 2026: 403MQ3 2026: 396M
Q4 2023: 459MQ1 2024: 456MQ2 2024: 451MQ3 2024: 448MQ4 2024: 450MQ1 2025: 438MQ2 2025: 429MQ3 2025: 424MQ4 2025: 427MQ1 2026: 411MQ2 2026: 403MQ3 2026: 396M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.7%-7M shares
1 year-6.7%-28.6M shares
3 years-14%-64M shares
5 years-18%-85.2M shares
Available history-20%-96.1M shares

ADBE has the edge over ARM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ARM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1BQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1BQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+1M shares
1 year+0.9%+10M shares
3 years+5.2%+53.7M shares

ARM has 1.1B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

ADBE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash

ADBE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ARM Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2023-1.6xNet Cash

ARM has more cash than debt.

ADBE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.4Neutral
Stochastic25.8Neutral

ADBE's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

ARM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic11.0Oversold

ARM's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

ADBE PE vs Technology Sector

MetricADBESector medianRelative
PE13x28x52% below
PE %33532 pts below

ADBE has the edge over ARM on valuation relative to its sector.

ARM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricARMSector medianRelative
PE227x28x715% above
PE %512328 pts above

ARM is trading at 227x earnings, a 715% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ADBE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$244.12.3% below
20 week MA$248.64.1% below
50 week MA$261.68.8% below
100 week MA$321.826% below
200 week MA$410.642% below

ARM has stronger trend alignment. ADBE is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus ARM above 1 of 4.

ARM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$237.816% below
20 week MA$257.322% below
50 week MA$213.96.6% below
100 week MA$176.513% above

ARM has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 13% above its 100-week average.

ADBE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.8$499.9+51%
2021$499.9$569.6+14%
2022$569.6$338.5-41%
2023$338.5$596.6+76%
2024$596.6$446.5-25%
2025$446.5$353.8-21%
2026 YTD$353.8$238.5-33%

ADBE has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 33% so far in 2026.

ARM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$60.8$75.2+24%
2024$75.2$129.2+72%
2025$129.2$110.3-15%
2026 YTD$110.3$199.8+81%

ARM has the edge over ADBE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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