AD

Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc.

47
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation75/ 100
Upside potential18/ 100
Risk potential57/ 100

AD trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

TMUS

T-Mobile US, Inc.

69
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation82/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

TMUS has the edge over AD overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

AD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Strong
Weak
Healthy

AD's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.

TMUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

TMUS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

AD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE89x178x267x355x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE89x178x267x355x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current3.7x$27.33—
Cheap14x$108+294%
Fair20x$149+444%
Forward25x$27.33—
Expensive78x$577+2012%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AD has the edge over TMUS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TMUS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$171—
Current16x$171—
Cheap21x$218+27%
Fair26x$274+60%
Expensive56x$581+240%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TMUS's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.

AD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Decline
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect AD's earnings and revenue to decline, though with profitability holding steady.

TMUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

TMUS has the edge over AD on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

AD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+13%$30.83
Downside-57%$11.62

Calculated from the latest close: $27.33 on Nov 12.

AD trails TMUS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

TMUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$240.82
Downside-9%$155.85

Calculated from the latest close: $171.03 on Nov 12.

TMUS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AD, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.63Q1 2024: $0.68Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $-0.35Q4 2024: $-0.46Q1 2025: $-0.45Q2 2025: $-0.29Q3 2025: $0.19Q4 2025: $0.56Q1 2026: $2.41Q2 2026: $6.20Q3 2026: $7.44Forward: $1.08
Q4 2023: $0.63Q1 2024: $0.68Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $-0.35Q4 2024: $-0.46Q1 2025: $-0.45Q2 2025: $-0.29Q3 2025: $0.19Q4 2025: $0.56Q1 2026: $2.41Q2 2026: $6.20Q3 2026: $7.44Forward: $1.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.08-85%
Q3 2026$7.44+3816%
Q2 2026$6.20+$6.49
Q1 2026$2.41+$2.86
Q4 2025$0.56+$1.02
Q3 2025$0.19+$0.54
Q2 2025-$0.29-135%
Q1 2025-$0.45-166%
Q4 2024-$0.46-173%

AD's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in seven years: $7.44 over the past year, up from $0.19 the year before. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

TMUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.49+30%
Q3 2026$10.37-0.2%
Q2 2026$9.56-9.7%
Q1 2026$9.41-8.1%
Q4 2025$9.72+0.6%
Q3 2025$10.39+18%
Q2 2025$10.59+33%
Q1 2025$10.24+39%
Q4 2024$9.66+39%

TMUS earned $10.37 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

AD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $950MQ2 2024: $927MQ3 2024: $922MQ4 2024: $971MQ1 2025: $891MQ2 2025: $916MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $52MQ2 2026: $54MQ3 2026: $54M
Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $950MQ2 2024: $927MQ3 2024: $922MQ4 2024: $971MQ1 2025: $891MQ2 2025: $916MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $52MQ2 2026: $54MQ3 2026: $54M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$53.9M+14%
Q2 2026$54.1M-94%
Q1 2026$52M-94%
Q4 2025$60.3M-94%
Q3 2025$47.1M-95%
Q2 2025$916M-1.2%
Q1 2025$891M-6.2%
Q4 2024$971M-2.9%

AD's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $54M last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

TMUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$23.6B+7.4%
Q2 2026$22.8B+7.9%
Q1 2026$23.1B+11%
Q4 2025$24.3B+11%
Q3 2025$22B+8.9%
Q2 2025$21.1B+6.9%
Q1 2025$20.9B+6.6%
Q4 2024$21.9B+6.8%

TMUS has the edge over AD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$7MQ1 2024: $70MQ2 2024: $176MQ3 2024: $116MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: $88MQ2 2025: $250MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: −$211MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: −$49MQ3 2026: −$177M
Q4 2023: −$7MQ1 2024: $70MQ2 2024: $176MQ3 2024: $116MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: $88MQ2 2025: $250MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: −$211MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: −$49MQ3 2026: −$177M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$177M-482%
Q2 2026-$48.6M-119%
Q1 2026$10M-89%
Q4 2025-$210.7M-$194.7M
Q3 2025$46.3M-60%
Q2 2025$250M+42%
Q1 2025$88M+26%
Q4 2024-$16M-$9M

AD's free cash flow was −$426M over the past year, against $368M the year before.

TMUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+5.3%
Q2 2026$4.8B+4.4%
Q1 2026$4.6B+4.6%
Q4 2025$4.2B+25%
Q3 2025$4.8B+15%
Q2 2025$4.6B+32%
Q1 2025$4.4B+79%
Q4 2024$3.3B+2%

TMUS has the edge over AD on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 87MQ1 2024: 88MQ2 2024: 88MQ3 2024: 86MQ4 2024: 86MQ1 2025: 88MQ2 2025: 88MQ3 2025: 87MQ4 2025: 87MQ1 2026: 86MQ2 2026: 87MQ3 2026: 87M
Q4 2023: 87MQ1 2024: 88MQ2 2024: 88MQ3 2024: 86MQ4 2024: 86MQ1 2025: 88MQ2 2025: 88MQ3 2025: 87MQ4 2025: 87MQ1 2026: 86MQ2 2026: 87MQ3 2026: 87M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+13K shares
1 year-0.4%-323K shares
3 years+0.6%+523K shares
5 years-0.5%-477K shares
Available history-1.7%-1.5M shares

AD has 87M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

TMUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-10.8M shares
1 year-4.9%-55M shares
3 years-8.8%-103M shares
5 years-15%-182M shares
Available history+24%+207M shares

TMUS has the edge over AD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 3.9xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 4.2xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 3.9xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 4.2xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20250.7xVery low
Q2 20253.9xElevated
Q1 20254.2xHigh
Q4 20244.2xHigh

AD's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

TMUS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20242.4xModerate

TMUS has the edge over AD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI22.9Oversold
Stochastic11.1Oversold

AD's weekly RSI is 23 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

TMUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.9Neutral
Stochastic42.1Neutral

TMUS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

AD PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricADSector medianRelative
PE3.7x16x78% below
PE %02626 pts below

AD has the edge over TMUS on valuation relative to its sector.

TMUS PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTMUSSector medianRelative
PE16x16xSame PE
PE %12625 pts below

TMUS is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

AD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$32.416% below
20 week MA$34.521% below
50 week MA$43.237% below
100 week MA$52.047% below
200 week MA$45.740% below

AD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 200-week average.

TMUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$159.17.5% above
20 week MA$172.00.5% below
50 week MA$187.88.9% below
100 week MA$212.920% below
200 week MA$188.79.4% below

TMUS has the edge over AD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.0$30.0-14%
2021$30.0$32.1+7%
2022$32.1$20.6-36%
2023$20.6$41.5+101%
2024$41.5$63.7+53%
2025$63.7$53.5-16%
2026 YTD$53.5$27.3-49%

AD has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 49% so far in 2026.

TMUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$77.2$132.9+72%
2021$132.9$119.9-9.8%
2022$119.9$140.0+17%
2023$140.0$160.3+15%
2024$160.3$223.0+39%
2025$223.0$201.0-9.9%
2026 YTD$201.0$171.0-15%

TMUS has the edge over AD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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