AD

Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc.

47
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation75/ 100
Upside potential18/ 100
Risk potential57/ 100

AD offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

RDDT

Reddit, Inc.

70
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

RDDT has the edge over AD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

AD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Strong
Weak
Healthy

AD's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.

RDDT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

RDDT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE89x178x267x355x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE89x178x267x355x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current3.7x$27.33—
Cheap14x$108+294%
Fair20x$149+444%
Forward25x$27.33—
Expensive78x$577+2012%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AD has the edge over RDDT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

RDDT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$99.55—
Current20x$99.55—
Cheap35x$171+72%
Fair46x$228+129%
Expensive53x$262+163%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RDDT's PE is 20x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

AD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Decline
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect AD's earnings and revenue to decline, though with profitability holding steady.

RDDT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

RDDT has the edge over AD on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

AD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+13%$30.83
Downside-57%$11.62

Calculated from the latest close: $27.33 on Nov 12.

AD trails RDDT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

RDDT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+77%$175.99
Downside-41%$58.49

Calculated from the latest close: $99.55 on Nov 12.

RDDT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AD, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.63Q1 2024: $0.68Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $-0.35Q4 2024: $-0.46Q1 2025: $-0.45Q2 2025: $-0.29Q3 2025: $0.19Q4 2025: $0.56Q1 2026: $2.41Q2 2026: $6.20Q3 2026: $7.44Forward: $1.08
Q4 2023: $0.63Q1 2024: $0.68Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $-0.35Q4 2024: $-0.46Q1 2025: $-0.45Q2 2025: $-0.29Q3 2025: $0.19Q4 2025: $0.56Q1 2026: $2.41Q2 2026: $6.20Q3 2026: $7.44Forward: $1.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.08-85%
Q3 2026$7.44+3816%
Q2 2026$6.20+$6.49
Q1 2026$2.41+$2.86
Q4 2025$0.56+$1.02
Q3 2025$0.19+$0.54
Q2 2025-$0.29-135%
Q1 2025-$0.45-166%
Q4 2024-$0.46-173%

AD has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 3,816% for AD versus RDDT down 39%.

RDDT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.32+29%
Q3 2024-$7.98-$7.17
Q2 2024-$8.19-$7.15
Q1 2024-$8.38-$7.25
Q4 2023-$0.56+$0.41
Q3 2023-$0.81-$0.02
Q2 2023-$1.04-$0.48
Q1 2023-$1.13-$0.48
Q4 2022-$0.97-$0.19

RDDT has returned to profit: it earned $4.90 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

AD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $950MQ2 2024: $927MQ3 2024: $922MQ4 2024: $971MQ1 2025: $891MQ2 2025: $916MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $52MQ2 2026: $54MQ3 2026: $54M
Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $950MQ2 2024: $927MQ3 2024: $922MQ4 2024: $971MQ1 2025: $891MQ2 2025: $916MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $52MQ2 2026: $54MQ3 2026: $54M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$53.9M+14%
Q2 2026$54.1M-94%
Q1 2026$52M-94%
Q4 2025$60.3M-94%
Q3 2025$47.1M-95%
Q2 2025$916M-1.2%
Q1 2025$891M-6.2%
Q4 2024$971M-2.9%

AD's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $54M last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDDT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$895M+53%
Q2 2026$804.9M+61%
Q1 2026$663.4M+69%
Q4 2025$725.6M+70%
Q3 2025$584.9M+68%
Q2 2025$499.6M+78%
Q1 2025$392.4M+61%
Q4 2024$427.7M+71%

RDDT has the edge over AD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$7MQ1 2024: $70MQ2 2024: $176MQ3 2024: $116MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: $88MQ2 2025: $250MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: −$211MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: −$49MQ3 2026: −$177M
Q4 2023: −$7MQ1 2024: $70MQ2 2024: $176MQ3 2024: $116MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: $88MQ2 2025: $250MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: −$211MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: −$49MQ3 2026: −$177M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$177M-482%
Q2 2026-$48.6M-119%
Q1 2026$10M-89%
Q4 2025-$210.7M-$194.7M
Q3 2025$46.3M-60%
Q2 2025$250M+42%
Q1 2025$88M+26%
Q4 2024-$16M-$9M

AD's free cash flow was −$426M over the past year, against $368M the year before.

RDDT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$362.6M+98%
Q2 2026$260.7M+135%
Q1 2026$311.2M+146%
Q4 2025$263.6M+196%
Q3 2025$183.1M+161%
Q2 2025$110.8M+308%
Q1 2025$126.6M+333%
Q4 2024$89.2M+$111.2M

RDDT has the edge over AD on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 87MQ1 2024: 88MQ2 2024: 88MQ3 2024: 86MQ4 2024: 86MQ1 2025: 88MQ2 2025: 88MQ3 2025: 87MQ4 2025: 87MQ1 2026: 86MQ2 2026: 87MQ3 2026: 87M
Q4 2023: 87MQ1 2024: 88MQ2 2024: 88MQ3 2024: 86MQ4 2024: 86MQ1 2025: 88MQ2 2025: 88MQ3 2025: 87MQ4 2025: 87MQ1 2026: 86MQ2 2026: 87MQ3 2026: 87M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+13K shares
1 year-0.4%-323K shares
3 years+0.6%+523K shares
5 years-0.5%-477K shares
Available history-1.7%-1.5M shares

AD has 87M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

RDDT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-169K shares
1 year-0.4%-868K shares
3 years+24%+38.5M shares
5 years+24%+38.5M shares

RDDT has the edge over AD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 3.9xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 4.2xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 3.9xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 4.2xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20250.7xVery low
Q2 20253.9xElevated
Q1 20254.2xHigh
Q4 20244.2xHigh

AD's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

RDDT Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-5.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-13.1xNet Cash

RDDT has the edge over AD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI22.9Oversold
Stochastic11.1Oversold

AD's weekly RSI is 23 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

RDDT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.8Neutral
Stochastic6.5Oversold

RDDT's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

AD PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricADSector medianRelative
PE3.7x16x78% below
PE %02626 pts below

AD has the edge over RDDT on valuation relative to its sector.

RDDT PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricRDDTSector medianRelative
PE20x16x23% above
PE %52318 pts below

RDDT is trading at 20x earnings, a 23% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.

AD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$32.416% below
20 week MA$34.521% below
50 week MA$43.237% below
100 week MA$52.047% below
200 week MA$45.740% below

RDDT has stronger trend alignment. AD is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus RDDT above 0 of 4.

RDDT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$130.624% below
20 week MA$151.734% below
50 week MA$165.040% below
100 week MA$167.140% below

RDDT is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 100-week average.

AD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.0$30.0-14%
2021$30.0$32.1+7%
2022$32.1$20.6-36%
2023$20.6$41.5+101%
2024$41.5$63.7+53%
2025$63.7$53.5-16%
2026 YTD$53.5$27.3-49%

AD has the edge over RDDT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RDDT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$46.0$173.5+277%
2025$173.5$225.8+30%
2026 YTD$225.8$99.6-56%

RDDT has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 56% so far in 2026.

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