AD

Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc.

47
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation75/ 100
Upside potential18/ 100
Risk potential57/ 100

AD trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NFLX

Netflix, Inc.

79
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NFLX has the edge over AD overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

AD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Strong
Weak
Healthy

AD's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.

NFLX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE89x178x267x355x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE89x178x267x355x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current3.7x$27.33—
Cheap14x$108+294%
Fair20x$149+444%
Forward25x$27.33—
Expensive78x$577+2012%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AD has the edge over NFLX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NFLX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$62.69—
Current18x$62.69—
Cheap27x$94.95+51%
Fair47x$161+157%
Expensive81x$281+348%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NFLX's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.

AD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Decline
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect AD's earnings and revenue to decline, though with profitability holding steady.

NFLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

NFLX has the edge over AD on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

AD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+13%$30.83
Downside-57%$11.62

Calculated from the latest close: $27.33 on Nov 12.

AD trails NFLX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NFLX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$98.20
Downside-9%$56.77

Calculated from the latest close: $62.69 on Nov 12.

NFLX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AD, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.63Q1 2024: $0.68Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $-0.35Q4 2024: $-0.46Q1 2025: $-0.45Q2 2025: $-0.29Q3 2025: $0.19Q4 2025: $0.56Q1 2026: $2.41Q2 2026: $6.20Q3 2026: $7.44Forward: $1.08
Q4 2023: $0.63Q1 2024: $0.68Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $-0.35Q4 2024: $-0.46Q1 2025: $-0.45Q2 2025: $-0.29Q3 2025: $0.19Q4 2025: $0.56Q1 2026: $2.41Q2 2026: $6.20Q3 2026: $7.44Forward: $1.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.08-85%
Q3 2026$7.44+3816%
Q2 2026$6.20+$6.49
Q1 2026$2.41+$2.86
Q4 2025$0.56+$1.02
Q3 2025$0.19+$0.54
Q2 2025-$0.29-135%
Q1 2025-$0.45-166%
Q4 2024-$0.46-173%

AD's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in seven years: $7.44 over the past year, up from $0.19 the year before. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

NFLX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.58+3.5%
Q3 2026$3.46+45%
Q2 2026$3.18+35%
Q1 2026$3.10+46%
Q4 2025$2.53+28%
Q3 2025$2.39+35%
Q2 2025$2.35+47%
Q1 2025$2.12+47%
Q4 2024$1.98+65%

NFLX has the edge over AD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $950MQ2 2024: $927MQ3 2024: $922MQ4 2024: $971MQ1 2025: $891MQ2 2025: $916MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $52MQ2 2026: $54MQ3 2026: $54M
Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $950MQ2 2024: $927MQ3 2024: $922MQ4 2024: $971MQ1 2025: $891MQ2 2025: $916MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $52MQ2 2026: $54MQ3 2026: $54M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$53.9M+14%
Q2 2026$54.1M-94%
Q1 2026$52M-94%
Q4 2025$60.3M-94%
Q3 2025$47.1M-95%
Q2 2025$916M-1.2%
Q1 2025$891M-6.2%
Q4 2024$971M-2.9%

AD's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $54M last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

NFLX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.9B+12%
Q2 2026$12.6B+13%
Q1 2026$12.2B+16%
Q4 2025$12.1B+18%
Q3 2025$11.5B+17%
Q2 2025$11.1B+16%
Q1 2025$10.5B+13%
Q4 2024$10.2B+16%

NFLX has the edge over AD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$7MQ1 2024: $70MQ2 2024: $176MQ3 2024: $116MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: $88MQ2 2025: $250MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: −$211MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: −$49MQ3 2026: −$177M
Q4 2023: −$7MQ1 2024: $70MQ2 2024: $176MQ3 2024: $116MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: $88MQ2 2025: $250MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: −$211MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: −$49MQ3 2026: −$177M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$177M-482%
Q2 2026-$48.6M-119%
Q1 2026$10M-89%
Q4 2025-$210.7M-$194.7M
Q3 2025$46.3M-60%
Q2 2025$250M+42%
Q1 2025$88M+26%
Q4 2024-$16M-$9M

AD's free cash flow was −$426M over the past year, against $368M the year before.

NFLX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B+8.4%
Q2 2026$1.5B-33%
Q1 2026$5.1B+91%
Q4 2025$1.9B+36%
Q3 2025$2.7B+21%
Q2 2025$2.3B+87%
Q1 2025$2.7B+25%
Q4 2024$1.4B-13%

NFLX has the edge over AD on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 87MQ1 2024: 88MQ2 2024: 88MQ3 2024: 86MQ4 2024: 86MQ1 2025: 88MQ2 2025: 88MQ3 2025: 87MQ4 2025: 87MQ1 2026: 86MQ2 2026: 87MQ3 2026: 87M
Q4 2023: 87MQ1 2024: 88MQ2 2024: 88MQ3 2024: 86MQ4 2024: 86MQ1 2025: 88MQ2 2025: 88MQ3 2025: 87MQ4 2025: 87MQ1 2026: 86MQ2 2026: 87MQ3 2026: 87M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+13K shares
1 year-0.4%-323K shares
3 years+0.6%+523K shares
5 years-0.5%-477K shares
Available history-1.7%-1.5M shares

AD has 87M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

NFLX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-66.2M shares
1 year-3.3%-145M shares
3 years-6.8%-305M shares
5 years-7.8%-354M shares
Available history-7.1%-323M shares

NFLX has the edge over AD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 3.9xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 4.2xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 3.9xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 4.2xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20250.7xVery low
Q2 20253.9xElevated
Q1 20254.2xHigh
Q4 20244.2xHigh

AD's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

NFLX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

NFLX has the edge over AD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI22.9Oversold
Stochastic11.1Oversold

AD's weekly RSI is 23 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

NFLX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

AD PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricADSector medianRelative
PE3.7x16x78% below
PE %02626 pts below

AD has the edge over NFLX on valuation relative to its sector.

NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNFLXSector medianRelative
PE18x16x9.8% above
PE %42622 pts below

NFLX is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

AD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$32.416% below
20 week MA$34.521% below
50 week MA$43.237% below
100 week MA$52.047% below
200 week MA$45.740% below

AD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 200-week average.

NFLX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.65.9% below
20 week MA$71.813% below
50 week MA$82.424% below
100 week MA$96.035% below
200 week MA$74.416% below

NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

AD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.0$30.0-14%
2021$30.0$32.1+7%
2022$32.1$20.6-36%
2023$20.6$41.5+101%
2024$41.5$63.7+53%
2025$63.7$53.5-16%
2026 YTD$53.5$27.3-49%

AD has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 49% so far in 2026.

NFLX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.9$51.4+56%
2021$51.4$61.4+19%
2022$61.4$29.5-52%
2023$29.5$48.7+65%
2024$48.7$90.8+86%
2025$90.8$94.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$94.5$62.7-34%

NFLX has the edge over AD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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