AD

Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc.

47
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation75/ 100
Upside potential18/ 100
Risk potential57/ 100

AD offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

META

Meta Platforms, Inc.

65
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

META has the edge over AD overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

AD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Strong
Weak
Healthy

AD's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.

META Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

META's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

AD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE89x178x267x355x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE89x178x267x355x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current3.7x$27.33—
Cheap14x$108+294%
Fair20x$149+444%
Forward25x$27.33—
Expensive78x$577+2012%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AD has the edge over META in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

META PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$624—
Cheap21x$613-1.7%
Current21x$624—
Fair27x$803+29%
Expensive32x$934+50%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

META's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

AD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Decline
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect AD's earnings and revenue to decline, though with profitability holding steady.

META Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Moderate
Low

META has the edge over AD on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

AD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+13%$30.83
Downside-57%$11.62

Calculated from the latest close: $27.33 on Nov 12.

AD trails META on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

META Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$829.21
Downside-18%$513.25

Calculated from the latest close: $623.61 on Nov 12.

META has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AD, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.63Q1 2024: $0.68Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $-0.35Q4 2024: $-0.46Q1 2025: $-0.45Q2 2025: $-0.29Q3 2025: $0.19Q4 2025: $0.56Q1 2026: $2.41Q2 2026: $6.20Q3 2026: $7.44Forward: $1.08
Q4 2023: $0.63Q1 2024: $0.68Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $-0.35Q4 2024: $-0.46Q1 2025: $-0.45Q2 2025: $-0.29Q3 2025: $0.19Q4 2025: $0.56Q1 2026: $2.41Q2 2026: $6.20Q3 2026: $7.44Forward: $1.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.08-85%
Q3 2026$7.44+3816%
Q2 2026$6.20+$6.49
Q1 2026$2.41+$2.86
Q4 2025$0.56+$1.02
Q3 2025$0.19+$0.54
Q2 2025-$0.29-135%
Q1 2025-$0.45-166%
Q4 2024-$0.46-173%

AD's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in seven years: $7.44 over the past year, up from $0.19 the year before. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

META Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $14.87Q1 2024: $17.38Q2 2024: $19.56Q3 2024: $21.20Q4 2024: $23.86Q1 2025: $25.58Q2 2025: $27.56Q3 2025: $22.58Q4 2025: $23.49Q1 2026: $27.50Q2 2026: $26.54Q3 2026: $29.32Forward: $32.16
Q4 2023: $14.87Q1 2024: $17.38Q2 2024: $19.56Q3 2024: $21.20Q4 2024: $23.86Q1 2025: $25.58Q2 2025: $27.56Q3 2025: $22.58Q4 2025: $23.49Q1 2026: $27.50Q2 2026: $26.54Q3 2026: $29.32Forward: $32.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$32.16+9.7%
Q3 2026$29.32+30%
Q2 2026$26.54-3.7%
Q1 2026$27.50+7.5%
Q4 2025$23.49-1.6%
Q3 2025$22.58+6.5%
Q2 2025$27.56+41%
Q1 2025$25.58+47%
Q4 2024$23.86+60%

META has the edge over AD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $950MQ2 2024: $927MQ3 2024: $922MQ4 2024: $971MQ1 2025: $891MQ2 2025: $916MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $52MQ2 2026: $54MQ3 2026: $54M
Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $950MQ2 2024: $927MQ3 2024: $922MQ4 2024: $971MQ1 2025: $891MQ2 2025: $916MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $52MQ2 2026: $54MQ3 2026: $54M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$53.9M+14%
Q2 2026$54.1M-94%
Q1 2026$52M-94%
Q4 2025$60.3M-94%
Q3 2025$47.1M-95%
Q2 2025$916M-1.2%
Q1 2025$891M-6.2%
Q4 2024$971M-2.9%

AD's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $54M last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

META Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $40.1BQ1 2024: $36.5BQ2 2024: $39.1BQ3 2024: $40.6BQ4 2024: $48.4BQ1 2025: $42.3BQ2 2025: $47.5BQ3 2025: $51.2BQ4 2025: $59.9BQ1 2026: $56.3BQ2 2026: $60.8BQ3 2026: $64.6B
Q4 2023: $40.1BQ1 2024: $36.5BQ2 2024: $39.1BQ3 2024: $40.6BQ4 2024: $48.4BQ1 2025: $42.3BQ2 2025: $47.5BQ3 2025: $51.2BQ4 2025: $59.9BQ1 2026: $56.3BQ2 2026: $60.8BQ3 2026: $64.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$64.6B+26%
Q2 2026$60.8B+28%
Q1 2026$56.3B+33%
Q4 2025$59.9B+24%
Q3 2025$51.2B+26%
Q2 2025$47.5B+22%
Q1 2025$42.3B+16%
Q4 2024$48.4B+21%

META has the edge over AD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$7MQ1 2024: $70MQ2 2024: $176MQ3 2024: $116MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: $88MQ2 2025: $250MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: −$211MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: −$49MQ3 2026: −$177M
Q4 2023: −$7MQ1 2024: $70MQ2 2024: $176MQ3 2024: $116MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: $88MQ2 2025: $250MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: −$211MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: −$49MQ3 2026: −$177M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$177M-482%
Q2 2026-$48.6M-119%
Q1 2026$10M-89%
Q4 2025-$210.7M-$194.7M
Q3 2025$46.3M-60%
Q2 2025$250M+42%
Q1 2025$88M+26%
Q4 2024-$16M-$9M

AD's free cash flow was −$426M over the past year, against $368M the year before.

META Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $11.7BQ1 2024: $12.8BQ2 2024: $11.2BQ3 2024: $16.5BQ4 2024: $13.6BQ1 2025: $11.1BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.2BQ4 2025: $14.8BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $11.7BQ1 2024: $12.8BQ2 2024: $11.2BQ3 2024: $16.5BQ4 2024: $13.6BQ1 2025: $11.1BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.2BQ4 2025: $14.8BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-110%
Q2 2026$1.7B-81%
Q1 2026$13.2B+19%
Q4 2025$14.8B+9.3%
Q3 2025$11.2B-32%
Q2 2025$9B-19%
Q1 2025$11.1B-14%
Q4 2024$13.6B+16%

META has the edge over AD on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 87MQ1 2024: 88MQ2 2024: 88MQ3 2024: 86MQ4 2024: 86MQ1 2025: 88MQ2 2025: 88MQ3 2025: 87MQ4 2025: 87MQ1 2026: 86MQ2 2026: 87MQ3 2026: 87M
Q4 2023: 87MQ1 2024: 88MQ2 2024: 88MQ3 2024: 86MQ4 2024: 86MQ1 2025: 88MQ2 2025: 88MQ3 2025: 87MQ4 2025: 87MQ1 2026: 86MQ2 2026: 87MQ3 2026: 87M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+13K shares
1 year-0.4%-323K shares
3 years+0.6%+523K shares
5 years-0.5%-477K shares
Available history-1.7%-1.5M shares

AD has the edge over META on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

META Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.6BQ1 2024: 2.6BQ2 2024: 2.6BQ3 2024: 2.6BQ4 2024: 2.6BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
Q4 2023: 2.6BQ1 2024: 2.6BQ2 2024: 2.6BQ3 2024: 2.6BQ4 2024: 2.6BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+7M shares
1 year0%+1M shares
3 years-2.6%-68M shares
5 years-10%-286M shares
Available history-11%-303M shares

META has 2.6B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

AD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 3.9xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 4.2xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 3.9xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 4.2xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20250.7xVery low
Q2 20253.9xElevated
Q1 20254.2xHigh
Q4 20244.2xHigh

AD's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

META Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

META's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

AD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI22.9Oversold
Stochastic11.1Oversold

AD's weekly RSI is 23 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

META Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.2Neutral
Stochastic33.7Neutral

META's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

AD PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricADSector medianRelative
PE3.7x16x78% below
PE %02626 pts below

AD has the edge over META on valuation relative to its sector.

META PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricMETASector medianRelative
PE21x16x29% above
PE %18268 pts below

META is trading at 21x earnings, a 29% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

AD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$32.416% below
20 week MA$34.521% below
50 week MA$43.237% below
100 week MA$52.047% below
200 week MA$45.740% below

AD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 200-week average.

META Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$674.97.6% below
20 week MA$634.51.7% below
50 week MA$630.81.1% below
100 week MA$647.83.7% below
200 week MA$517.521% above

META has the edge over AD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.0$30.0-14%
2021$30.0$32.1+7%
2022$32.1$20.6-36%
2023$20.6$41.5+101%
2024$41.5$63.7+53%
2025$63.7$53.5-16%
2026 YTD$53.5$27.3-49%

AD has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 49% so far in 2026.

META Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$208.1$267.4+28%
2021$267.4$335.2+25%
2022$335.2$118.0-65%
2023$118.0$354.0+200%
2024$354.0$599.8+69%
2025$599.8$663.3+11%
2026 YTD$663.3$623.6-6%

META has the edge over AD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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