ACTG

Acacia Research Corporation

55
Fundamentals42/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

ACTG offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT has the edge over ACTG overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

ACTG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Healthy
Strong

ACTG's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability is weak.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ACTG PE Valuation

ACTG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605—
Current24x$605—
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

ACTG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect ACTG's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ACTG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$5.09
Downside-18%$3.40

Calculated from the latest close: $4.16 on Nov 12.

ACTG trails CAT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

CAT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ACTG, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ACTG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.58Q1 2024: $0.65Q2 2024: $0.93Q3 2024: $0.82Q4 2024: $-0.36Q1 2025: $-0.11Q2 2025: $-0.06Q3 2025: $0.05Q4 2025: $0.22Q1 2026: $-0.19Q2 2026: $-0.16Q3 2026: $-0.19
Q4 2023: $0.58Q1 2024: $0.65Q2 2024: $0.93Q3 2024: $0.82Q4 2024: $-0.36Q1 2025: $-0.11Q2 2025: $-0.06Q3 2025: $0.05Q4 2025: $0.22Q1 2026: $-0.19Q2 2026: $-0.16Q3 2026: $-0.19
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.19-480%
Q2 2026-$0.16-$0.10
Q1 2026-$0.19-$0.08
Q4 2025$0.22+$0.58
Q3 2025$0.05-94%
Q2 2025-$0.06-106%
Q1 2025-$0.11-117%
Q4 2024-$0.36-162%

ACTG has swung to a loss: it lost $0.19 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $29.73
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $29.73
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$29.73+17%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT has the edge over ACTG on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ACTG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $92MQ1 2024: $24MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: $49MQ1 2025: $124MQ2 2025: $51MQ3 2025: $59MQ4 2025: $50MQ1 2026: $54MQ2 2026: $115MQ3 2026: $54M
Q4 2023: $92MQ1 2024: $24MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: $49MQ1 2025: $124MQ2 2025: $51MQ3 2025: $59MQ4 2025: $50MQ1 2026: $54MQ2 2026: $115MQ3 2026: $54M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$54.4M-8.4%
Q2 2026$114.6M+124%
Q1 2026$54.2M-56%
Q4 2025$50.1M+2.6%
Q3 2025$59.4M+155%
Q2 2025$51.2M+98%
Q1 2025$124.4M+412%
Q4 2024$48.8M-47%

ACTG has the edge over CAT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

ACTG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $55MQ2 2024: −$127MQ3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: $335,000Q2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $15M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $55MQ2 2024: −$127MQ3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: $335,000Q2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $15M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$15M+57%
Q2 2026$3.9M-92%
Q1 2026$3.4M+916%
Q4 2025$13.2M+$36.7M
Q3 2025$9.5M+$12.4M
Q2 2025$50.1M+$176.9M
Q1 2025$335K-99%
Q4 2024-$23.6M-$19M

ACTG has the edge over CAT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.

ACTG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 100MQ2 2024: 100MQ3 2024: 100MQ4 2024: 99MQ1 2025: 97MQ2 2025: 96MQ3 2025: 96MQ4 2025: 97MQ1 2026: 96MQ2 2026: 98MQ3 2026: 98M
Q4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 100MQ2 2024: 100MQ3 2024: 100MQ4 2024: 99MQ1 2025: 97MQ2 2025: 96MQ3 2025: 96MQ4 2025: 97MQ1 2026: 96MQ2 2026: 98MQ3 2026: 98M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-531K shares
1 year+1.2%+1.1M shares
3 years-1.5%-1.5M shares
5 years+101%+49M shares
Available history+79%+43.2M shares

ACTG has 98M diluted shares, up 1.2% from a year ago.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has the edge over ACTG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ACTG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -10.5xQ1 2024: -10.7xQ2 2024: -5.9xQ3 2024: -4.6xQ4 2024: -246.8xQ1 2025: -3.5xQ2 2025: -4.9xQ3 2025: -4.3xQ4 2025: -4.3xQ1 2026: -222.7xQ2 2026: -12.8xQ3 2026: -15.9x
Q4 2023: -10.5xQ1 2024: -10.7xQ2 2024: -5.9xQ3 2024: -4.6xQ4 2024: -246.8xQ1 2025: -3.5xQ2 2025: -4.9xQ3 2025: -4.3xQ4 2025: -4.3xQ1 2026: -222.7xQ2 2026: -12.8xQ3 2026: -15.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-15.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-12.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-222.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-4.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-4.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-246.8xNet Cash

ACTG has the edge over CAT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has more cash than debt.

ACTG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.6Neutral
Stochastic22.5Neutral

ACTG's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

ACTG PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricACTGSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

ACTG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.1% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

ACTG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.262.3% below
20 week MA$4.446.3% below
50 week MA$4.415.7% below
100 week MA$4.043% above
200 week MA$4.190.7% below

ACTG's trend is mixed: it's above one of its five weekly moving averages, and 0.7% below its 200-week average.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has the edge over ACTG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ACTG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.67$4.10+54%
2021$4.10$5.23+28%
2022$5.23$3.98-24%
2023$3.98$3.92-1.5%
2024$3.92$4.37+11%
2025$4.37$3.73-15%
2026 YTD$3.73$4.16+12%

ACTG has the edge over CAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 3.8% so far in 2026.

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