ACRE

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation

42
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation6/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

ACRE's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 174x earnings, about 13 times its usual 13x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

ACRE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

ACRE's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for real estate companies like ACRE.

ACRE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE95x190x285x381x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE95x190x285x381x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.2x$0.18-95%
Forward11x$3.47โ€”
Fair13x$0.26-93%
Expensive25x$0.49-86%
Current174x$3.47โ€”

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ACRE's PE is in its expensive range at 174x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ACRE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ACRE, with profitability improving.

ACRE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$4.37
Downside-20%$2.77

Calculated from the latest close: $3.47 on Nov 12.

ACRE's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +26% against โˆ’20%.

ACRE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.72Q1 2024: $-0.83Q2 2024: $-0.90Q3 2024: $-1.18Q4 2024: $-0.64Q1 2025: $-0.24Q2 2025: $-0.33Q3 2025: $-0.14Q4 2025: $-0.02Q1 2026: $-0.36Q2 2026: $-0.08Q3 2026: $0.02Forward: $0.32
Q4 2023: $-0.72Q1 2024: $-0.83Q2 2024: $-0.90Q3 2024: $-1.18Q4 2024: $-0.64Q1 2025: $-0.24Q2 2025: $-0.33Q3 2025: $-0.14Q4 2025: $-0.02Q1 2026: $-0.36Q2 2026: $-0.08Q3 2026: $0.02Forward: $0.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.32+1510%
Q3 2026$0.02+$0.16
Q2 2026-$0.08+$0.25
Q1 2026-$0.36-$0.12
Q4 2025-$0.02+$0.62
Q3 2025-$0.14+$1.04
Q2 2025-$0.33+$0.57
Q1 2025-$0.24+$0.59
Q4 2024-$0.64+$0.08

ACRE has returned to profit: it earned $0.02 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

ACRE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $17MQ3 2024: $17MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: $14M
Q4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $17MQ3 2024: $17MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: $14M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$13.5M-4.2%
Q2 2026$14.4M+14%
Q1 2026$13.5M-10%
Q4 2025$13.2M-25%
Q3 2025$14.1M-15%
Q2 2025$12.6M-25%
Q1 2025$14.9M-20%
Q4 2024$17.5M-0.2%

ACRE's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $14M last quarter, down 4.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

ACRE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: โˆ’$57MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $2M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: โˆ’$57MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.1M-46%
Q2 2026$63.5M+1202%
Q1 2026-$56.6M-807%
Q4 2025$4.6M-35%
Q3 2025$3.8M-54%
Q2 2025$4.9M-44%
Q1 2025$8M-30%
Q4 2024$7.1M-30%

ACRE's free cash flow was $14M over the past year, down 43% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for real estate companies like ACRE.

ACRE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 54MQ1 2024: 54MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 54MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 56MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 56MQ4 2025: 55MQ1 2026: 55MQ2 2026: 56MQ3 2026: 56M
Q4 2023: 54MQ1 2024: 54MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 54MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 56MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 56MQ4 2025: 55MQ1 2026: 55MQ2 2026: 56MQ3 2026: 56M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+30.6K shares
1 year+1.1%+610K shares
3 years+2.9%+1.6M shares
5 years+19%+9.2M shares
Available history+95%+27.5M shares

ACRE has 56M diluted shares, up 1.1% from a year ago.

ACRE Net Leverage

Q3 2025: 396.1xQ4 2025: 117.4xQ2 2026: 969.4xQ3 2026: 202.9x
Q3 2025: 396.1xQ4 2025: 117.4xQ2 2026: 969.4xQ3 2026: 202.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026202.9xHigh
Q2 2026969.4xHigh
Q4 2025117.4xHigh
Q3 2025396.1xHigh
Q4 202227.1xHigh
Q3 202217.3xHigh
Q2 202215.7xHigh
Q1 202212.1xHigh

ACRE's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from more than 20 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for real estate companies like ACRE.

ACRE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.9Neutral
Stochastic19.3Oversold

ACRE's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

ACRE PE vs Real Estate Sector

MetricACRESector medianRelative
PE174x24x626% above
PE %922369 pts above

ACRE is trading at 174x earnings, a 626% premium to the Real Estate sector's median of 24x.

ACRE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.613.9% below
20 week MA$4.1817% below
50 week MA$4.6626% below
100 week MA$4.7627% below
200 week MA$6.7449% below

ACRE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

ACRE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.0$12.2-24%
2021$12.2$14.8+21%
2022$14.8$10.9-26%
2023$10.9$10.4-5.3%
2024$10.4$6.11-41%
2025$6.11$5.04-18%
2026 YTD$5.04$3.47-31%

ACRE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 31% so far in 2026.

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