ACMR

ACM Research, Inc.

66
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

ACMR has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ACMR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

ACMR's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ACMR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE51x102x153x204x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE51x102x153x204x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$24.47-51%
Forward18x$49.88—
Fair26x$41.77-16%
Current31x$49.88—
Expensive74x$119+139%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ACMR's PE is in its fair range at 31x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ACMR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ACMR, with profitability improving.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ACMR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+93%$96.09
Downside-30%$35.01

Calculated from the latest close: $49.88 on Nov 12.

ACMR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails ACMR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

ACMR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.16Q1 2024: $1.31Q2 2024: $1.25Q3 2024: $1.31Q4 2024: $1.53Q1 2025: $1.57Q2 2025: $1.66Q3 2025: $1.73Q4 2025: $1.37Q1 2026: $1.31Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $1.60Forward: $2.80
Q4 2023: $1.16Q1 2024: $1.31Q2 2024: $1.25Q3 2024: $1.31Q4 2024: $1.53Q1 2025: $1.57Q2 2025: $1.66Q3 2025: $1.73Q4 2025: $1.37Q1 2026: $1.31Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $1.60Forward: $2.80
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.80+75%
Q3 2026$1.60-7.5%
Q2 2026$2.10+27%
Q1 2026$1.31-17%
Q4 2025$1.37-10%
Q3 2025$1.73+32%
Q2 2025$1.66+33%
Q1 2025$1.57+20%
Q4 2024$1.53+32%

ACMR has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

ACMR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170MQ1 2024: $152MQ2 2024: $202MQ3 2024: $204MQ4 2024: $223MQ1 2025: $172MQ2 2025: $215MQ3 2025: $269MQ4 2025: $244MQ1 2026: $231MQ2 2026: $293MQ3 2026: $368M
Q4 2023: $170MQ1 2024: $152MQ2 2024: $202MQ3 2024: $204MQ4 2024: $223MQ1 2025: $172MQ2 2025: $215MQ3 2025: $269MQ4 2025: $244MQ1 2026: $231MQ2 2026: $293MQ3 2026: $368M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$367.7M+37%
Q2 2026$292.9M+36%
Q1 2026$231.3M+34%
Q4 2025$244.4M+9.4%
Q3 2025$269.2M+32%
Q2 2025$215.4M+6.4%
Q1 2025$172.3M+13%
Q4 2024$223.5M+31%

ACMR's revenue has grown year over year for 18 quarters in a row: $368M last quarter, up 37% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

ACMR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$46MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: $48MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: $77MQ1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: −$60MQ3 2025: −$16MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: −$52MQ2 2026: −$71MQ3 2026: −$96M
Q4 2023: −$46MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: $48MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: $77MQ1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: −$60MQ3 2025: −$16MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: −$52MQ2 2026: −$71MQ3 2026: −$96M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$95.6M-$80M
Q2 2026-$71.5M-$11.8M
Q1 2026-$51.7M-$40.3M
Q4 2025$20.1M-74%
Q3 2025-$15.6M+$5M
Q2 2025-$59.6M-223%
Q1 2025-$11.4M+$23.6M
Q4 2024$77.2M+$122.7M

ACMR has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

ACMR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 67MQ2 2025: 67MQ3 2025: 68MQ4 2025: 67MQ1 2026: 70MQ2 2026: 72MQ3 2026: 74M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 67MQ2 2025: 67MQ3 2025: 68MQ4 2025: 67MQ1 2026: 70MQ2 2026: 72MQ3 2026: 74M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.5%+1.8M shares
1 year+7.6%+5.2M shares
3 years+12%+8.2M shares
5 years+13%+8.2M shares
Available history+28%+16.2M shares

ACMR has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

ACMR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.9xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.2xQ4 2024: -1.4xQ1 2025: -1.5xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -5.6xQ4 2025: -3.8xQ1 2026: -4.0xQ2 2026: -4.0xQ3 2026: -2.9x
Q4 2023: -0.9xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.2xQ4 2024: -1.4xQ1 2025: -1.5xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -5.6xQ4 2025: -3.8xQ1 2026: -4.0xQ2 2026: -4.0xQ3 2026: -2.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-4.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.4xNet Cash

ACMR has more cash than debt.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ACMR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.7Neutral
Stochastic13.7Oversold

ACMR's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

ACMR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricACMRSector medianRelative
PE31x28x12% above
PE %543519 pts above

ACMR is trading at 31x earnings, a 12% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ACMR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$59.516% below
20 week MA$72.831% below
50 week MA$64.222% below
100 week MA$45.410% above
200 week MA$31.558% above

ACMR has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

ACMR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$6.13$23.2+279%
2021$23.2$25.9+11%
2022$25.9$7.52-71%
2023$7.52$19.5+160%
2024$19.5$15.2-22%
2025$15.2$40.6+167%
2026 YTD$40.6$49.9+23%

ACMR has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

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