ACIW

ACI Worldwide, Inc.

58
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation40/ 100
Upside potential34/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

ACIW's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over ACIW overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

ACIW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Strong
Healthy

ACIW's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

ACIW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x43x65x87x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x43x65x87x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap20x$31.80-48%
Forward22x$61.26—
Fair29x$46.13-25%
Current38x$61.26—
Expensive46x$74.84+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ACIW's PE is in its fair range at 38x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 22x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over ACIW in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ACIW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

ACIW has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

ACIW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$71.21
Downside-31%$42.31

Calculated from the latest close: $61.26 on Nov 12.

ACIW trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ACIW, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ACIW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.12Q1 2024: $1.35Q2 2024: $1.70Q3 2024: $2.12Q4 2024: $1.91Q1 2025: $2.53Q2 2025: $2.36Q3 2025: $2.47Q4 2025: $2.16Q1 2026: $1.98Q2 2026: $2.17Q3 2026: $1.61Forward: $2.82
Q4 2023: $1.12Q1 2024: $1.35Q2 2024: $1.70Q3 2024: $2.12Q4 2024: $1.91Q1 2025: $2.53Q2 2025: $2.36Q3 2025: $2.47Q4 2025: $2.16Q1 2026: $1.98Q2 2026: $2.17Q3 2026: $1.61Forward: $2.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.82+75%
Q3 2026$1.61-35%
Q2 2026$2.17-8.1%
Q1 2026$1.98-22%
Q4 2025$2.16+13%
Q3 2025$2.47+17%
Q2 2025$2.36+39%
Q1 2025$2.53+87%
Q4 2024$1.91+71%

ACIW's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.61 over the past year, against $2.53 in early 2025.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over ACIW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ACIW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $477MQ1 2024: $316MQ2 2024: $373MQ3 2024: $452MQ4 2024: $453MQ1 2025: $395MQ2 2025: $401MQ3 2025: $482MQ4 2025: $482MQ1 2026: $426MQ2 2026: $430MQ3 2026: $427M
Q4 2023: $477MQ1 2024: $316MQ2 2024: $373MQ3 2024: $452MQ4 2024: $453MQ1 2025: $395MQ2 2025: $401MQ3 2025: $482MQ4 2025: $482MQ1 2026: $426MQ2 2026: $430MQ3 2026: $427M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$426.8M-12%
Q2 2026$430.4M+7.3%
Q1 2026$425.7M+7.9%
Q4 2025$481.6M+6.3%
Q3 2025$482.4M+6.8%
Q2 2025$401.3M+7.4%
Q1 2025$394.6M+25%
Q4 2024$453M-4.9%

ACIW's revenue has held roughly level: $427M last quarter, down 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over ACIW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ACIW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $85MQ1 2024: $120MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $50MQ4 2024: $120MQ1 2025: $76MQ2 2025: $48MQ3 2025: $70MQ4 2025: $117MQ1 2026: $61MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $116M
Q4 2023: $85MQ1 2024: $120MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $50MQ4 2024: $120MQ1 2025: $76MQ2 2025: $48MQ3 2025: $70MQ4 2025: $117MQ1 2026: $61MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $116M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$116.3M+67%
Q2 2026$63.9M+34%
Q1 2026$61.2M-19%
Q4 2025$116.6M-2.5%
Q3 2025$69.6M+38%
Q2 2025$47.6M-11%
Q1 2025$76.1M-37%
Q4 2024$119.5M+41%

ACIW's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $358M over the past year, up 14% from the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over ACIW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ACIW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 109MQ1 2024: 107MQ2 2024: 106MQ3 2024: 106MQ4 2024: 106MQ1 2025: 107MQ2 2025: 105MQ3 2025: 104MQ4 2025: 105MQ1 2026: 103MQ2 2026: 102MQ3 2026: 101M
Q4 2023: 109MQ1 2024: 107MQ2 2024: 106MQ3 2024: 106MQ4 2024: 106MQ1 2025: 107MQ2 2025: 105MQ3 2025: 104MQ4 2025: 105MQ1 2026: 103MQ2 2026: 102MQ3 2026: 101M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-360K shares
1 year-2.5%-2.6M shares
3 years-7%-7.6M shares
5 years-15%-17.2M shares
Available history-15%-17.3M shares

ACIW has the edge over NVDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has 24.3B diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago, with $55.3B in buybacks over the past year.

ACIW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.5xHealthy
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20251.5xHealthy
Q2 20251.6xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.7xHealthy

ACIW's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA has the edge over ACIW on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ACIW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI70.0Neutral
Stochastic77.4Neutral

ACIW's weekly RSI is 70 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 77 (neutral).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

ACIW PE vs Technology Sector

MetricACIWSector medianRelative
PE38x28x37% above
PE %653530 pts above

ACIW is trading at 38x earnings, a 37% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA has the edge over ACIW on valuation relative to its sector.

ACIW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$54.612% above
20 week MA$54.413% above
50 week MA$47.928% above
100 week MA$48.726% above
200 week MA$40.850% above

ACIW has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

ACIW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$37.7$38.5+2.1%
2021$38.5$34.9-9.4%
2022$34.9$22.0-37%
2023$22.0$30.6+39%
2024$30.6$51.9+70%
2025$51.9$48.7-6.1%
2026 YTD$48.7$61.3+26%

ACIW has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

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