ACIW
ACI Worldwide, Inc.
ACIW has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
ACIW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
ACIW's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ACIW PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 20x | $31.80 | -48% |
| Forward | 22x | $61.26 | — |
| Fair | 29x | $46.13 | -25% |
| Current | 38x | $61.26 | — |
| Expensive | 46x | $74.84 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ACIW's PE is in its fair range at 38x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 22x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ACIW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ACIW, with profitability improving.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ACIW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.82 | +75% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.61 | -35% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.17 | -8.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.98 | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.16 | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.47 | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.36 | +39% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.53 | +87% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.91 | +71% |
ACIW has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
ACIW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $426.8M | -12% |
| Q2 2026 | $430.4M | +7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $425.7M | +7.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $481.6M | +6.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $482.4M | +6.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $401.3M | +7.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $394.6M | +25% |
| Q4 2024 | $453M | -4.9% |
ACIW's revenue has held roughly level: $427M last quarter, down 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 12% | -14 points |
| Q2 2026 | 10% | +1.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 14% | -1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 23% | -4.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 26% | -0.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7% | -5.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 15% | +12 points |
| Q4 2024 | 27% | -9.2 points |
ACIW has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over ACIW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
ACIW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $116.3M | +67% |
| Q2 2026 | $63.9M | +34% |
| Q1 2026 | $61.2M | -19% |
| Q4 2025 | $116.6M | -2.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $69.6M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $47.6M | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $76.1M | -37% |
| Q4 2024 | $119.5M | +41% |
ACIW has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
ACIW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -360K shares |
| 1 year | -2.5% | -2.6M shares |
| 3 years | -7% | -7.6M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -17.2M shares |
| Available history | -15% | -17.3M shares |
ACIW has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50M |
| Q2 2026 | $41.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $65.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $52.6M |
| Q3 2025 | $16.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $119.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $14.4M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
ACIW spent $209M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 40% from the year before.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
ACIW Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.7x | Healthy |
ACIW's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ACIW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 70.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 77.4 | Neutral |
ACIW's weekly RSI is 70 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 77 (neutral).
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
ACIW PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ACIW | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38x | 28x | 37% above |
| PE % | 65 | 35 | 30 pts above |
ACIW is trading at 38x earnings, a 37% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ACIW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $54.6 | 12% above |
| 20 week MA | $54.4 | 13% above |
| 50 week MA | $47.9 | 28% above |
| 100 week MA | $48.7 | 26% above |
| 200 week MA | $40.8 | 50% above |
ACIW has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.
ACIW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $37.7 | $38.5 | +2.1% |
| 2021 | $38.5 | $34.9 | -9.4% |
| 2022 | $34.9 | $22.0 | -37% |
| 2023 | $22.0 | $30.6 | +39% |
| 2024 | $30.6 | $51.9 | +70% |
| 2025 | $51.9 | $48.7 | -6.1% |
| 2026 YTD | $48.7 | $61.3 | +26% |
ACIW has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.