ACIW

ACI Worldwide, Inc.

58
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation40/ 100
Upside potential34/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

ACIW's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

AMD

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

79
Fundamentals90/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

AMD has the edge over ACIW overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

ACIW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Strong
Healthy

ACIW's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

AMD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

AMD's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

ACIW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x43x65x87x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x43x65x87x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap20x$31.80-48%
Forward22x$61.26—
Fair29x$46.13-25%
Current38x$61.26—
Expensive46x$74.84+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ACIW has the edge over AMD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AMD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward39x$585—
Cheap40x$182-69%
Fair112x$514-12%
Current127x$585—
Expensive206x$947+62%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMD's PE is in its fair range at 127x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 39x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ACIW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ACIW, with profitability improving.

AMD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AMD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ACIW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$71.21
Downside-31%$42.31

Calculated from the latest close: $61.26 on Nov 12.

ACIW trails AMD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+83%$1,068.23
Downside-20%$471.03

Calculated from the latest close: $585.30 on Nov 12.

AMD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ACIW, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ACIW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.12Q1 2024: $1.35Q2 2024: $1.70Q3 2024: $2.12Q4 2024: $1.91Q1 2025: $2.53Q2 2025: $2.36Q3 2025: $2.47Q4 2025: $2.16Q1 2026: $1.98Q2 2026: $2.17Q3 2026: $1.61Forward: $2.82
Q4 2023: $1.12Q1 2024: $1.35Q2 2024: $1.70Q3 2024: $2.12Q4 2024: $1.91Q1 2025: $2.53Q2 2025: $2.36Q3 2025: $2.47Q4 2025: $2.16Q1 2026: $1.98Q2 2026: $2.17Q3 2026: $1.61Forward: $2.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.82+75%
Q3 2026$1.61-35%
Q2 2026$2.17-8.1%
Q1 2026$1.98-22%
Q4 2025$2.16+13%
Q3 2025$2.47+17%
Q2 2025$2.36+39%
Q1 2025$2.53+87%
Q4 2024$1.91+71%

ACIW's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.61 over the past year, against $2.53 in early 2025.

AMD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$15.05+227%
Q3 2026$4.60+127%
Q2 2026$3.89+122%
Q1 2026$3.05+123%
Q4 2025$2.65+165%
Q3 2025$2.03+81%
Q2 2025$1.75+111%
Q1 2025$1.37+99%
Q4 2024$1.00+89%

AMD has the edge over ACIW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ACIW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $477MQ1 2024: $316MQ2 2024: $373MQ3 2024: $452MQ4 2024: $453MQ1 2025: $395MQ2 2025: $401MQ3 2025: $482MQ4 2025: $482MQ1 2026: $426MQ2 2026: $430MQ3 2026: $427M
Q4 2023: $477MQ1 2024: $316MQ2 2024: $373MQ3 2024: $452MQ4 2024: $453MQ1 2025: $395MQ2 2025: $401MQ3 2025: $482MQ4 2025: $482MQ1 2026: $426MQ2 2026: $430MQ3 2026: $427M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$426.8M-12%
Q2 2026$430.4M+7.3%
Q1 2026$425.7M+7.9%
Q4 2025$481.6M+6.3%
Q3 2025$482.4M+6.8%
Q2 2025$401.3M+7.4%
Q1 2025$394.6M+25%
Q4 2024$453M-4.9%

ACIW's revenue has held roughly level: $427M last quarter, down 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$13.4B+45%
Q2 2026$11.5B+50%
Q1 2026$10.3B+38%
Q4 2025$10.3B+34%
Q3 2025$9.2B+36%
Q2 2025$7.7B+32%
Q1 2025$7.4B+36%
Q4 2024$7.7B+24%

AMD has the edge over ACIW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ACIW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $85MQ1 2024: $120MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $50MQ4 2024: $120MQ1 2025: $76MQ2 2025: $48MQ3 2025: $70MQ4 2025: $117MQ1 2026: $61MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $116M
Q4 2023: $85MQ1 2024: $120MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $50MQ4 2024: $120MQ1 2025: $76MQ2 2025: $48MQ3 2025: $70MQ4 2025: $117MQ1 2026: $61MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $116M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$116.3M+67%
Q2 2026$63.9M+34%
Q1 2026$61.2M-19%
Q4 2025$116.6M-2.5%
Q3 2025$69.6M+38%
Q2 2025$47.6M-11%
Q1 2025$76.1M-37%
Q4 2024$119.5M+41%

ACIW's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $358M over the past year, up 14% from the year before.

AMD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$554M-71%
Q2 2026$1.6B-9.9%
Q1 2026$2.6B+253%
Q4 2025$2.4B+118%
Q3 2025$1.9B+283%
Q2 2025$1.7B+294%
Q1 2025$727M+92%
Q4 2024$1.1B+351%

AMD has the edge over ACIW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ACIW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 109MQ1 2024: 107MQ2 2024: 106MQ3 2024: 106MQ4 2024: 106MQ1 2025: 107MQ2 2025: 105MQ3 2025: 104MQ4 2025: 105MQ1 2026: 103MQ2 2026: 102MQ3 2026: 101M
Q4 2023: 109MQ1 2024: 107MQ2 2024: 106MQ3 2024: 106MQ4 2024: 106MQ1 2025: 107MQ2 2025: 105MQ3 2025: 104MQ4 2025: 105MQ1 2026: 103MQ2 2026: 102MQ3 2026: 101M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-360K shares
1 year-2.5%-2.6M shares
3 years-7%-7.6M shares
5 years-15%-17.2M shares
Available history-15%-17.3M shares

ACIW has the edge over AMD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+2M shares
1 year+1.2%+20M shares
3 years+2%+32M shares
5 years+35%+431M shares
Available history+40%+473M shares

AMD has 1.7B diluted shares, up 1.2% from a year ago.

ACIW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.5xHealthy
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20251.5xHealthy
Q2 20251.6xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.7xHealthy

ACIW's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

AMD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2020-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2020-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2019-1.2xNet Cash

AMD has more cash than debt.

ACIW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI70.0Neutral
Stochastic77.4Neutral

ACIW's weekly RSI is 70 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 77 (neutral).

AMD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.3Neutral
Stochastic41.4Neutral

AMD's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

ACIW PE vs Technology Sector

MetricACIWSector medianRelative
PE38x28x37% above
PE %653530 pts above

ACIW has the edge over AMD on valuation relative to its sector.

AMD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAMDSector medianRelative
PE127x28x357% above
PE %613526 pts above

AMD is trading at 127x earnings, a 357% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ACIW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$54.612% above
20 week MA$54.413% above
50 week MA$47.928% above
100 week MA$48.726% above
200 week MA$40.850% above

ACIW is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 50% above its 200-week average.

AMD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$557.25.1% above
20 week MA$525.911% above
50 week MA$389.750% above
100 week MA$266.9119% above
200 week MA$199.6193% above

AMD is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 193% above its 200-week average.

ACIW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$37.7$38.5+2.1%
2021$38.5$34.9-9.4%
2022$34.9$22.0-37%
2023$22.0$30.6+39%
2024$30.6$51.9+70%
2025$51.9$48.7-6.1%
2026 YTD$48.7$61.3+26%

ACIW has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 26% so far in 2026.

AMD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$46.2$91.8+99%
2021$91.8$146.1+59%
2022$146.1$64.5-56%
2023$64.5$147.4+128%
2024$147.4$125.2-15%
2025$125.2$215.0+72%
2026 YTD$215.0$585.3+172%

AMD has the edge over ACIW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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