ACIC

American Coastal Insurance Corporation

31
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential16/ 100
Risk potential47/ 100

ACIC trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over ACIC overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

ACIC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Strong
N/A
N/A

ACIC's profitability is currently strong, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ACIC.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

ACIC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2.6x5.3x7.9x11x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2.6x5.3x7.9x11x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5x$8.85-14%
Current5.8x$10.34—
Fair7.1x$12.55+21%
Expensive8.2x$14.58+41%
Forward12x$10.34—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ACIC's PE is in its cheap range at 5.8x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 12x next year's earnings, in its expensive range.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over ACIC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ACIC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect ACIC's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

SOFI has the edge over ACIC on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

ACIC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+9%$11.29
Downside-47%$5.51

Calculated from the latest close: $10.34 on Nov 12.

ACIC trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ACIC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ACIC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.98Q1 2024: $1.32Q2 2024: $1.30Q3 2024: $1.63Q4 2024: $1.54Q1 2025: $1.49Q2 2025: $1.63Q3 2025: $1.71Q4 2025: $2.15Q1 2026: $2.11Q2 2026: $2.02Q3 2026: $1.77Forward: $0.89
Q4 2023: $6.98Q1 2024: $1.32Q2 2024: $1.30Q3 2024: $1.63Q4 2024: $1.54Q1 2025: $1.49Q2 2025: $1.63Q3 2025: $1.71Q4 2025: $2.15Q1 2026: $2.11Q2 2026: $2.02Q3 2026: $1.77Forward: $0.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.89-50%
Q3 2026$1.77+3.5%
Q2 2026$2.02+24%
Q1 2026$2.11+42%
Q4 2025$2.15+40%
Q3 2025$1.71+4.9%
Q2 2025$1.63+25%
Q1 2025$1.49+13%
Q4 2024$1.54-78%

ACIC has the edge over SOFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

ACIC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $73MQ2 2024: $69MQ3 2024: $82MQ4 2024: $79MQ1 2025: $72MQ2 2025: $86MQ3 2025: $90MQ4 2025: $86MQ1 2026: $71MQ2 2026: $83MQ3 2026: $71M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $73MQ2 2024: $69MQ3 2024: $82MQ4 2024: $79MQ1 2025: $72MQ2 2025: $86MQ3 2025: $90MQ4 2025: $86MQ1 2026: $71MQ2 2026: $83MQ3 2026: $71M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$70.7M-22%
Q2 2026$82.6M-4.5%
Q1 2026$71.2M-1.4%
Q4 2025$86.4M+9%
Q3 2025$90.4M+10%
Q2 2025$86.5M+26%
Q1 2025$72.2M-1.4%
Q1 2024$73.2M-19%

ACIC's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $71M last quarter, down 22% from the same quarter a year ago.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI has the edge over ACIC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ACIC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $49MQ1 2024: $124MQ2 2024: $126MQ3 2024: −$9MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $26MQ2 2025: $128MQ3 2025: −$36MQ4 2025: −$48MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $58MQ3 2026: $64M
Q4 2023: $49MQ1 2024: $124MQ2 2024: $126MQ3 2024: −$9MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $26MQ2 2025: $128MQ3 2025: −$36MQ4 2025: −$48MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $58MQ3 2026: $64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$64.4M+$100M
Q2 2026$58.3M-54%
Q1 2026-$5.9M-122%
Q4 2025-$47.8M-3105%
Q3 2025-$35.6M-$26.6M
Q2 2025$127.9M+1.2%
Q1 2025$26.3M-79%
Q4 2024$1.6M-97%

ACIC has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

ACIC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 44MQ1 2024: 49MQ2 2024: 49MQ3 2024: 50MQ4 2024: 49MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 50MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 50MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 49MQ3 2026: 48M
Q4 2023: 44MQ1 2024: 49MQ2 2024: 49MQ3 2024: 50MQ4 2024: 49MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 50MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 50MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 49MQ3 2026: 48M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.8%-893K shares
1 year-3%-1.5M shares
3 years+9.7%+4.3M shares
5 years+13%+5.4M shares
Available history+13%+5.6M shares

ACIC has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

ACIC Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -1.0xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -1.2x
Q4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -1.0xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.7xNet Cash

ACIC has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ACIC.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has the edge over ACIC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ACIC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.8Neutral
Stochastic57.6Neutral

ACIC's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

ACIC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricACICSector medianRelative
PE5.8x13x55% below
PE %316332 pts below

ACIC has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

ACIC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.30.9% above
20 week MA$10.12% above
50 week MA$10.84.6% below
100 week MA$11.27.3% below
200 week MA$9.815.4% above

ACIC has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.

ACIC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.4$6.08-51%
2021$6.08$4.33-29%
2022$4.33$0.88-80%
2023$0.88$9.46+975%
2024$9.46$13.4+41%
2025$13.4$12.5-6.3%
2026 YTD$12.5$10.3-18%

ACIC has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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