ACIC
American Coastal Insurance Corporation
ACIC trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has the edge over ACIC overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
ACIC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
ACIC's profitability is currently strong, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ACIC.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
ACIC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5x | $8.85 | -14% |
| Current | 5.8x | $10.34 | — |
| Fair | 7.1x | $12.55 | +21% |
| Expensive | 8.2x | $14.58 | +41% |
| Forward | 12x | $10.34 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ACIC's PE is in its cheap range at 5.8x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 12x next year's earnings, in its expensive range.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS has the edge over ACIC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
ACIC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong decline | |
| Decline | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect ACIC's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
MS has the edge over ACIC on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
ACIC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.89 | -50% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.77 | +3.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.02 | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.11 | +42% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.15 | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.71 | +4.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.63 | +25% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.49 | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.54 | -78% |
ACIC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.77 over the past year, against $6.98 in late 2023.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over ACIC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ACIC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $70.7M | -22% |
| Q2 2026 | $82.6M | -4.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $71.2M | -1.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $86.4M | +9% |
| Q3 2025 | $90.4M | +10% |
| Q2 2025 | $86.5M | +26% |
| Q1 2025 | $72.2M | -1.4% |
| Q1 2024 | $73.2M | -19% |
ACIC's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $71M last quarter, down 22% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 37% | -9.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | -7.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 36% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 43% | +32 points |
| Q3 2025 | 46% | +2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 42% | +6.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 35% | -6.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | N/A |
ACIC has the edge over MS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS has the edge over ACIC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS's operating margin was 32% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
ACIC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $64.4M | +$100M |
| Q2 2026 | $58.3M | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$5.9M | -122% |
| Q4 2025 | -$47.8M | -3105% |
| Q3 2025 | -$35.6M | -$26.6M |
| Q2 2025 | $127.9M | +1.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $26.3M | -79% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.6M | -97% |
ACIC has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
ACIC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.8% | -893K shares |
| 1 year | -3% | -1.5M shares |
| 3 years | +9.7% | +4.3M shares |
| 5 years | +13% | +5.4M shares |
| Available history | +13% | +5.6M shares |
ACIC has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.
ACIC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
ACIC has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
ACIC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 49.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.6 | Neutral |
ACIC's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
ACIC PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | ACIC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 5.8x | 13x | 55% below |
| PE % | 31 | 63 | 32 pts below |
ACIC has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
ACIC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $10.3 | 0.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 2% above |
| 50 week MA | $10.8 | 4.6% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.2 | 7.3% below |
| 200 week MA | $9.81 | 5.4% above |
ACIC's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 5.4% above its 200-week average.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.
ACIC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $12.4 | $6.08 | -51% |
| 2021 | $6.08 | $4.33 | -29% |
| 2022 | $4.33 | $0.88 | -80% |
| 2023 | $0.88 | $9.46 | +975% |
| 2024 | $9.46 | $13.4 | +41% |
| 2025 | $13.4 | $12.5 | -6.3% |
| 2026 YTD | $12.5 | $10.3 | -18% |
ACIC's yearly returns have swung widely, from +975% in 2023 to −80% in 2022. It's down 18% so far in 2026.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has the edge over ACIC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.