ACIC

American Coastal Insurance Corporation

31
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential16/ 100
Risk potential47/ 100

ACIC trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over ACIC overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

ACIC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Strong
N/A
N/A

ACIC's profitability is currently strong, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ACIC.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

ACIC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2.6x5.3x7.9x11x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2.6x5.3x7.9x11x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5x$8.85-14%
Current5.8x$10.34—
Fair7.1x$12.55+21%
Expensive8.2x$14.58+41%
Forward12x$10.34—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ACIC's PE is in its cheap range at 5.8x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 12x next year's earnings, in its expensive range.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS has the edge over ACIC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ACIC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect ACIC's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

GS has the edge over ACIC on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

ACIC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+9%$11.29
Downside-47%$5.51

Calculated from the latest close: $10.34 on Nov 12.

ACIC trails GS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ACIC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ACIC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.98Q1 2024: $1.32Q2 2024: $1.30Q3 2024: $1.63Q4 2024: $1.54Q1 2025: $1.49Q2 2025: $1.63Q3 2025: $1.71Q4 2025: $2.15Q1 2026: $2.11Q2 2026: $2.02Q3 2026: $1.77Forward: $0.89
Q4 2023: $6.98Q1 2024: $1.32Q2 2024: $1.30Q3 2024: $1.63Q4 2024: $1.54Q1 2025: $1.49Q2 2025: $1.63Q3 2025: $1.71Q4 2025: $2.15Q1 2026: $2.11Q2 2026: $2.02Q3 2026: $1.77Forward: $0.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.89-50%
Q3 2026$1.77+3.5%
Q2 2026$2.02+24%
Q1 2026$2.11+42%
Q4 2025$2.15+40%
Q3 2025$1.71+4.9%
Q2 2025$1.63+25%
Q1 2025$1.49+13%
Q4 2024$1.54-78%

ACIC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.77 over the past year, against $6.98 in late 2023.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over ACIC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ACIC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $73MQ2 2024: $69MQ3 2024: $82MQ4 2024: $79MQ1 2025: $72MQ2 2025: $86MQ3 2025: $90MQ4 2025: $86MQ1 2026: $71MQ2 2026: $83MQ3 2026: $71M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $73MQ2 2024: $69MQ3 2024: $82MQ4 2024: $79MQ1 2025: $72MQ2 2025: $86MQ3 2025: $90MQ4 2025: $86MQ1 2026: $71MQ2 2026: $83MQ3 2026: $71M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$70.7M-22%
Q2 2026$82.6M-4.5%
Q1 2026$71.2M-1.4%
Q4 2025$86.4M+9%
Q3 2025$90.4M+10%
Q2 2025$86.5M+26%
Q1 2025$72.2M-1.4%
Q1 2024$73.2M-19%

ACIC's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $71M last quarter, down 22% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the edge over ACIC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ACIC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $49MQ1 2024: $124MQ2 2024: $126MQ3 2024: −$9MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $26MQ2 2025: $128MQ3 2025: −$36MQ4 2025: −$48MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $58MQ3 2026: $64M
Q4 2023: $49MQ1 2024: $124MQ2 2024: $126MQ3 2024: −$9MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $26MQ2 2025: $128MQ3 2025: −$36MQ4 2025: −$48MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $58MQ3 2026: $64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$64.4M+$100M
Q2 2026$58.3M-54%
Q1 2026-$5.9M-122%
Q4 2025-$47.8M-3105%
Q3 2025-$35.6M-$26.6M
Q2 2025$127.9M+1.2%
Q1 2025$26.3M-79%
Q4 2024$1.6M-97%

ACIC has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

ACIC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 44MQ1 2024: 49MQ2 2024: 49MQ3 2024: 50MQ4 2024: 49MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 50MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 50MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 49MQ3 2026: 48M
Q4 2023: 44MQ1 2024: 49MQ2 2024: 49MQ3 2024: 50MQ4 2024: 49MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 50MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 50MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 49MQ3 2026: 48M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.8%-893K shares
1 year-3%-1.5M shares
3 years+9.7%+4.3M shares
5 years+13%+5.4M shares
Available history+13%+5.6M shares

ACIC has 48M diluted shares, down 3% from a year ago.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over ACIC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ACIC Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -1.0xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -1.2x
Q4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -1.0xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.7xNet Cash

ACIC has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ACIC.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over ACIC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ACIC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.8Neutral
Stochastic57.6Neutral

ACIC's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

ACIC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricACICSector medianRelative
PE5.8x13x55% below
PE %316332 pts below

ACIC has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

ACIC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.30.9% above
20 week MA$10.12% above
50 week MA$10.84.6% below
100 week MA$11.27.3% below
200 week MA$9.815.4% above

ACIC's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 5.4% above its 200-week average.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

ACIC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.4$6.08-51%
2021$6.08$4.33-29%
2022$4.33$0.88-80%
2023$0.88$9.46+975%
2024$9.46$13.4+41%
2025$13.4$12.5-6.3%
2026 YTD$12.5$10.3-18%

ACIC's yearly returns have swung widely, from +975% in 2023 to −80% in 2022. It's down 18% so far in 2026.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over ACIC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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