ACI

Albertsons Companies, Inc.

45
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

ACI has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

CELH

Celsius Holdings, Inc.

72
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CELH has the edge over ACI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

ACI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Under pressure

ACI's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

CELH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Strong

CELH's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

ACI PE Valuation

ACI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CELH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$31.89—
Current35x$31.89—
Cheap40x$35.95+13%
Fair141x$127+299%
Expensive650x$585+1735%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CELH's PE is in its cheap range at 35x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 21x next year's earnings.

ACI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong decline
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect ACI's revenue to grow, but its earnings to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CELH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

CELH has the edge over ACI on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

ACI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$17.53
Downside-25%$9.84

Calculated from the latest close: $13.18 on Nov 12.

ACI trails CELH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CELH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+69%$54.01
Downside-25%$23.76

Calculated from the latest close: $31.89 on Nov 12.

CELH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ACI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ACI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.44Q1 2024: $2.23Q2 2024: $1.92Q3 2024: $1.71Q4 2024: $1.78Q1 2025: $1.64Q2 2025: $1.64Q3 2025: $1.69Q4 2025: $1.55Q1 2026: $0.40Q2 2026: $0.16Q3 2026: $-0.03Forward: $1.65
Q4 2023: $2.44Q1 2024: $2.23Q2 2024: $1.92Q3 2024: $1.71Q4 2024: $1.78Q1 2025: $1.64Q2 2025: $1.64Q3 2025: $1.69Q4 2025: $1.55Q1 2026: $0.40Q2 2026: $0.16Q3 2026: $-0.03Forward: $1.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.65—
Q3 2026-$0.03-102%
Q2 2026$0.16-90%
Q1 2026$0.40-76%
Q4 2025$1.55-13%
Q3 2025$1.69-1.2%
Q2 2025$1.64-15%
Q1 2025$1.64-26%
Q4 2024$1.78-27%

ACI has swung to a loss: it lost $0.03 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

CELH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.53+70%
Q3 2026$0.90+718%
Q2 2026$0.24-37%
Q1 2026$0.43+30%
Q4 2025$0.25-44%
Q3 2025$0.11-85%
Q2 2025$0.38-62%
Q1 2025$0.33-64%
Q4 2024$0.45-42%

CELH has the edge over ACI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ACI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.6BQ1 2024: $18.3BQ2 2024: $24.3BQ3 2024: $18.6BQ4 2024: $18.8BQ1 2025: $18.8BQ2 2025: $24.9BQ3 2025: $18.9BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $20.3BQ2 2026: $24.9BQ3 2026: $18.9B
Q4 2023: $18.6BQ1 2024: $18.3BQ2 2024: $24.3BQ3 2024: $18.6BQ4 2024: $18.8BQ1 2025: $18.8BQ2 2025: $24.9BQ3 2025: $18.9BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $20.3BQ2 2026: $24.9BQ3 2026: $18.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.9B-0.1%
Q2 2026$24.9B+0.2%
Q1 2026$20.3B+7.7%
Q4 2025$19.1B+1.9%
Q3 2025$18.9B+2%
Q2 2025$24.9B+2.5%
Q1 2025$18.8B+2.5%
Q4 2024$18.8B+1.2%

ACI's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $18.9B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

CELH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$847.2M+17%
Q2 2026$817.9M+11%
Q1 2026$782.6M+138%
Q4 2025$721.6M+117%
Q3 2025$725.1M+173%
Q2 2025$739.3M+84%
Q1 2025$329.3M-7.4%
Q4 2024$332.2M-4.4%

CELH's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $847M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

ACI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$68MQ1 2024: $432MQ2 2024: $418MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $54MQ1 2025: $274MQ2 2025: $170MQ3 2025: $162MQ4 2025: −$95MQ1 2026: $291MQ2 2026: $207MQ3 2026: $104M
Q4 2023: −$68MQ1 2024: $432MQ2 2024: $418MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $54MQ1 2025: $274MQ2 2025: $170MQ3 2025: $162MQ4 2025: −$95MQ1 2026: $291MQ2 2026: $207MQ3 2026: $104M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$103.9M-36%
Q2 2026$206.8M+22%
Q1 2026$290.5M+6%
Q4 2025-$94.7M-277%
Q3 2025$161.7M+4046%
Q2 2025$169.8M-59%
Q1 2025$274M-37%
Q4 2024$53.6M+$121.4M

ACI still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $507M over the past year.

CELH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$127.7M-60%
Q2 2026$205.5M+479%
Q1 2026$65.8M-32%
Q4 2025-$130M-285%
Q3 2025$321.5M+3599%
Q2 2025$35.5M+17%
Q1 2025$96.4M-26%
Q4 2024$70.3M+16394%

CELH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $269M over the past year.

ACI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 581MQ1 2024: 581MQ2 2024: 581MQ3 2024: 583MQ4 2024: 584MQ1 2025: 584MQ2 2025: 575MQ3 2025: 563MQ4 2025: 535MQ1 2026: 547MQ2 2026: 498MQ3 2026: 488M
Q4 2023: 581MQ1 2024: 581MQ2 2024: 581MQ3 2024: 583MQ4 2024: 584MQ1 2025: 584MQ2 2025: 575MQ3 2025: 563MQ4 2025: 535MQ1 2026: 547MQ2 2026: 498MQ3 2026: 488M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2%-10M shares
1 year-13%-74.3M shares
3 years-16%-93.7M shares
5 years-15%-84.8M shares
Available history+75%+209M shares

ACI has the edge over CELH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CELH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-2M shares
1 year-1.1%-2.9M shares
3 years+7.4%+17.6M shares
5 years+8.3%+19.5M shares
Available history+32%+62.4M shares

CELH has 255M diluted shares, down 1.1% from a year ago.

ACI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 2.2xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 2.2xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 3.3xQ2 2026: 3.6xQ3 2026: 3.8x
Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 2.2xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 2.2xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 3.3xQ2 2026: 3.6xQ3 2026: 3.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.8xElevated
Q2 20263.6xElevated
Q1 20263.3xElevated
Q4 20252.6xModerate
Q3 20252.3xModerate
Q2 20252.3xModerate
Q1 20252.2xModerate
Q4 20242.2xModerate

ACI's net debt is about 3.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.3 years a year ago.

CELH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 2025-7.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.5xNet Cash

CELH has the edge over ACI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ACI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.2Neutral
Stochastic56.4Neutral

ACI's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).

CELH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.3Neutral
Stochastic56.8Neutral

CELH's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

ACI PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricACISector medianRelative
PE82x19x320% above
PE %1001882 pts above

ACI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CELH PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricCELHSector medianRelative
PE35x19x82% above
PE %11187 pts below

CELH has the edge over ACI on valuation relative to its sector.

ACI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.73.7% above
20 week MA$12.73.5% above
50 week MA$15.213% below
100 week MA$17.725% below
200 week MA$19.332% below

ACI has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 32% below its 200-week average.

CELH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.19.4% above
20 week MA$29.67.8% above
50 week MA$36.112% below
100 week MA$38.818% below
200 week MA$44.629% below

CELH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 29% below its 200-week average.

ACI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.5$15.8+1.9%
2021$15.8$29.9+90%
2022$29.9$21.1-29%
2023$21.1$23.0+8.8%
2024$23.0$19.9-13%
2025$19.9$17.4-13%
2026 YTD$17.4$13.2-24%

ACI has the edge over CELH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CELH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.58$14.7+832%
2021$14.7$24.9+69%
2022$24.9$35.6+43%
2023$35.6$54.5+53%
2024$54.5$26.5-51%
2025$26.5$45.6+72%
2026 YTD$45.6$31.9-30%

CELH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +832% in 2020 to −51% in 2024. It's down 30% so far in 2026.

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